TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Serhii Khandetskyi vs Serhii Pitsyk 2-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 11Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
119117411511311
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:57 and never touched: 55.1% is still 55.1%
Graded at full timeSerhii Pitsyk to win
55.1%
55.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingSerhii Khandetskyi above · Serhii Pitsyk below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 5-11
Set 5 · 3-11
Point 83 set 5, 3-11 · our read held Serhii Pitsyk at 55.1%
83 points played in total.
H2H Serhii Khandetskyi 38–39 Serhii Pitsyk Serhii Khandetskyi has won 38 of their 77 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:5755.1%Our read57.9%to break even at 1.727
short by 2.8pp57.9% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.727 they are the same number)
What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Pitsyk
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
38-39 in 77
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Khandetskyi 1545 vs Pitsyk 1558
Pitsyk
Correct
both rated, 13 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Khandetskyi 60% vs Pitsyk 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Khandetskyi 60% vs Pitsyk 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Khandetskyi -1 · Pitsyk -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 4 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% · Slight lean (leans Pitsyk) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKhandetskyi 2.00 / Pitsyk 1.727
Signal prob.45% / 55%
Edge (Pitsyk)-2.8pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13276832
Khandetskyi2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog47% won 73 of 154
Down 0–1, comes back18% 13 of 73
Down 0–2, comes back7% 3 of 44
Pitsyk1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite59% won 102 of 172
Up 2–0, closes it96% 51 of 53
Up 1–0, closes it80% 74 of 92
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKhandetskyi5wins
AwayPitsyk5wins
1 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKhandetskyi100%4 of 4
AwayPitsyk83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Khandetskyi4Pitsyk6n = 10Pitsyk took 6 of 10
S2Khandetskyi6Pitsyk4n = 10Khandetskyi took 6 of 10
S3Khandetskyi5Pitsyk5n = 10split evenly
S4Khandetskyi1Pitsyk3n = 4Pitsyk took 3 of 4
S5
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricKhandetskyiPitsykK − PBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match31.631.60.0per matchSweeps3303–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKhandetskyiPitsykBasisWin rate · lifetime401 / 802 vs 317 / 57450%55.2%401 / 802 vs 317 / 574Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.938.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
PitsykKhandetskyi 2.00/Pitsyk 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.1%
Pitsyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Pitsyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LOct 5 · 02:35S. Khandetskyi217950S. Pitsyk331111113
LSep 30 · 03:35S. Khandetskyi199910S. Pitsyk331111113
WSep 24 · 01:55S. Khandetskyi341112113S. Pitsyk1861020
WSep 17 · 01:35S. Khandetskyi331111113S. Pitsyk198470
LSep 9 · 02:05S. Khandetskyi341181141S. Pitsyk4113116113
WAug 27 · 03:25S. Khandetskyi331111113S. Pitsyk174850
WAug 25 · 18:25S. Khandetskyi4681611113S. Pitsyk411114971
WAug 20 · 02:35S. Khandetskyi45111184113S. Pitsyk4278111152
LAug 17 · 14:55S. Khandetskyi30511771S. Pitsyk3711411113
LAug 12 · 20:25S. Khandetskyi2151150S. Pitsyk351113113
S. Khandetskyi10
LOct 11 · 22:05Y. Stepanchuk1.73961111113S. Khandetskyi2.0011111722WOct 9 · 04:05A. Peretiatko3.001179131S. Khandetskyi1.3671111153LOct 9 · 02:35S. Khandetskyi2.10617591H. Kulishov1.67111511113WOct 9 · 00:35M. Skliar2.755550S. Khandetskyi1.401111113WOct 8 · 22:35D. Kim1.61106150S. Khandetskyi2.201211173WOct 8 · 21:35M. Fomin1.7311711392S. Khandetskyi2.00411911113WOct 8 · 03:35H. Kulishov1.8387111292S. Khandetskyi1.831111910113WOct 8 · 02:35D. Kim1.611011681S. Khandetskyi2.2012411113LOct 8 · 01:05Y. Sokoltsov2.0091111113S. Khandetskyi1.73118891LOct 7 · 23:05M. Fomin1.671011116123S. Khandetskyi2.10124911102
S. Pitsyk10
LOct 11 · 21:05Y. Sokoltsov1.91117116113S. Pitsyk1.8071141182LOct 7 · 04:05S. Pitsyk3.25511671D. Derevynskyi1.3311811113WOct 7 · 02:05D. Rehotun2.258780S. Pitsyk1.571111113WOct 7 · 00:05O. Melashenko1.4485111152S. Pitsyk2.63111145113WOct 6 · 23:05S. Pitsyk3.2514911113K. Hrynenko1.331211851LOct 6 · 22:05Y. Stepanchuk2.63811116113S. Pitsyk1.4411581192WOct 5 · 03:35D. Kim2.505490S. Pitsyk1.501111113WOct 5 · 02:35S. Khandetskyi1.837950S. Pitsyk1.831111113LOct 5 · 01:05M. Polysynskyi2.101111113S. Pitsyk1.678960LOct 4 · 23:05H. Kulishov1.9191112113S. Pitsyk1.801171071
Upcoming Matches
S. Khandetskyi
Oct 12 · 00:05S. Khandetskyi1.73Y. Sokoltsov2.00—Oct 12 · 02:05S. Khandetskyi1.28M. Skliar3.50—Oct 12 · 04:05S. Khandetskyi1.40A. Peretiatko2.75—Oct 12 · 23:05S. Khandetskyi1.61D. Us2.20—Oct 13 · 01:05S. Khandetskyi1.83M. Fomin1.83—Oct 13 · 02:35S. Khandetskyi1.40A. Peretiatko2.75—Oct 13 · 03:35S. Khandetskyi1.80D. Kim1.91—
S. Pitsyk
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