TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Mykola Slozka vs Ivan Pytsko 0-2 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 10Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
0 – 2
Set by set
121481188––––
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:58 and never touched: 56.2% is still 56.2%
Graded at full timeIvan Pytsko to win
56.2%
56.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingMykola Slozka above · Ivan Pytsko below
Set 1 · 12-14
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 8-8
Point 61 set 3, 8-8 · our read held Ivan Pytsko at 56.2%
61 points played in total.
H2H Mykola Slozka 38–31 Ivan Pytsko Ivan Pytsko has won 31 of their 69 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:5856.2%Our read60.0%to break even at 1.666
short by 3.8pp60.0% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.666 they are the same number)
What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Pytsko
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
38-31 in 69
Slozka
Wrong
gap of 7 in 69, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Slozka 1567 vs Pytsko 1654
Pytsko
Correct
both rated, 87 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Slozka 80% vs Pytsko 100%
Pytsko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Slozka 60% vs Pytsko 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Slozka +2 · Pytsko +5
Pytsko
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% · Slight lean (leans Pytsko) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pytsko form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSlozka 2.10 / Pytsko 1.666
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Pytsko)-3.8pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13271019
Slozka2.10
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog43% won 82 of 189
Down 0–1, comes back26% 27 of 103
Down 0–2, comes back7% 4 of 55
Pytsko1.67
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 5
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite54% won 90 of 166
Up 2–0, closes it96% 43 of 45
Up 1–0, closes it77% 69 of 90
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSlozka6wins
AwayPytsko4wins
6 of 10 to a deciderSlozka leads 6–4, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSlozka66.7%4 of 6
AwayPytsko50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Slozka6Pytsko4n = 10Slozka took 6 of 10
S2Slozka5Pytsko5n = 10split evenly
S3Slozka3Pytsko7n = 10Pytsko took 7 of 10
S4Slozka4Pytsko3n = 7Slozka took 4 of 7
S5Slozka4Pytsko2n = 6Slozka took 4 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricSlozkaPytskoS − PBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match40.840.5+0.3per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSlozkaPytskoBasisWin rate · lifetime348 / 766 vs 346 / 61645.4%56.2%348 / 766 vs 346 / 616Avg sets wonper match1.92.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.138.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
PytskoSlozka 2.10/Pytsko 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.2%
Pytsko · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–2
Pytsko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 30 · 11:35M. Slozka4011711113I. Pytsko33911761
WSep 29 · 16:05M. Slozka495101112113I. Pytsko44111251062
WSep 5 · 17:25M. Slozka331111113I. Pytsko228770
LSep 2 · 05:05M. Slozka239860I. Pytsko331111113
LSep 1 · 13:05M. Slozka226880I. Pytsko331111113
LAug 31 · 23:30M. Slozka3911114582I. Pytsko47861111113
WAug 29 · 06:25M. Slozka538111211113I. Pytsko5011914972
WAug 28 · 17:24M. Slozka48115912113I. Pytsko44611111062
LAug 28 · 13:25M. Slozka4411118862I. Pytsko43371111113
WAug 27 · 20:45M. Slozka57131498133I. Pytsko5611121111112
M. Slozka10
WOct 10 · 18:05M. Slozka2.381511711113M. Potapov1.53139111362LOct 10 · 16:35M. Slozka2.3861111862D. Maltsev1.53119811113LOct 10 · 15:05M. Slozka2.209640D. Palii1.611111113LOct 10 · 13:35M. Slozka1.677570I. Fashchevskyi2.101111113WOct 10 · 02:45M. Slozka1.611511911113I. Fashchevskyi2.20131311382WOct 10 · 00:45A. Kotiash2.253611141M. Slozka1.5711119163LOct 9 · 23:45M. Slozka1.832111371O. Gazhula1.83111311113WOct 9 · 22:45V. Korobko2.2066110M. Slozka1.611111133WOct 9 · 21:15M. Slozka1.83121111113V. Moshovskyi1.831091371LOct 4 · 11:25M. Slozka2.50571171I. Fashchevskyi1.5011118113
I. Pytsko10
LOct 10 · 18:35D. Maltsev3.2511116113I. Pytsko1.33741181LOct 10 · 17:35I. Fashchevskyi2.50121111123I. Pytsko1.501449101LOct 10 · 16:05M. Potapov1.91111210113I. Pytsko1.807101281WOct 10 · 14:05D. Palii2.25711761I. Pytsko1.571171193WOct 10 · 02:30Y. Tebenko1.8061111862I. Pytsko1.91118811113WOct 10 · 01:30M. Potapov1.91571131I. Pytsko1.8011119113WOct 10 · 00:00O. Budnikov1.57861181I. Pytsko2.2511118113WOct 9 · 22:00D. Palii2.20711981I. Pytsko1.6111511113WOct 9 · 20:00D. Maltsev2.75112861I. Pytsko1.4091111113LOct 7 · 11:35I. Pytsko1.4411851172I. Fashchevskyi2.63911119113
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