TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Denys Maltsev vs Dmytro Palii · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Starts Oct 10, 13:05Scheduled
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Head to head
8 – 8
All 16 meetings · 50.0%
Last 10 · 4–6
8–2Last 10Won last 5
Dmytro Palii arrives on a run of 5 straight wins. The streak is one of the signals the engine reads.
Compare playersPrice verdict
No edgeThe price already says it
Nothing we measure separates from the price on this match.
Measured with only what was known before each match, against 100/odds and the price taken before the first serve. It says where the price misses, not who wins.
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMaltsev 2.10 / Palii 1.666
Setka Cup · #13270769
Maltsev2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog43% won 86 of 200
Down 0–1, comes back19% 17 of 92
Down 0–2, comes back9% 4 of 45
Palii1.67
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 5
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite57% won 25 of 44
Up 2–0, closes it86% 12 of 14
Up 1–0, closes it67% 16 of 24
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMaltsev4wins
AwayPalii6wins
2 of 10 to a deciderPalii leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMaltsev57.1%4 of 7
AwayPalii100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Maltsev7Palii3n = 10Maltsev took 7 of 10
S2Maltsev4Palii6n = 10Palii took 6 of 10
S3Maltsev4Palii5n = 9Palii took 5 of 9
S4Maltsev0Palii5n = 5Palii took 5 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricMaltsevPaliiM − PBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match35.335.2+0.1per matchSweeps32+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMaltsevPaliiBasisWin rate · lifetime459 / 903 vs 136 / 22650.8%60.2%459 / 903 vs 136 / 226Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.036.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match WinnerForecastThe edge lives in the pick, one screen up
No price history
Neither player has a record at this price yet, so there is no odds range to publish.
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LSep 12 · 07:25D. Maltsev281131041D. Palii3951112113
WSep 11 · 15:55D. Maltsev49118118113D. Palii3871141152
LJun 13 · 05:55D. Maltsev37119891D. Palii4291111113
LJun 12 · 12:55D. Maltsev176560D. Palii331111113
LJun 12 · 01:45D. Maltsev36191070D. Palii442112113
WFeb 15 · 09:25D. Maltsev331111113D. Palii128310
LFeb 14 · 15:55D. Maltsev381461261D. Palii48121114113
WDec 28 · 08:25D. Maltsev331111113D. Palii166550
LDec 27 · 14:25D. Maltsev47512119102D. Palii451110111123
D. Maltsev10
LOct 9 · 20:00D. Maltsev2.75112861I. Pytsko1.4091111113LOct 7 · 11:05Y. Tebenko1.731116113D. Maltsev2.0071430WOct 7 · 10:05I. Fashchevskyi2.2514119462D. Maltsev1.571261111113WOct 7 · 08:35M. Potapov2.105970D. Maltsev1.671111113WOct 7 · 06:35I. Pytsko1.3371160D. Maltsev3.251113113WOct 7 · 04:35O. Storozhenko1.67101191172D. Maltsev2.10129119113WOct 6 · 19:05D. Maltsev1.6112117113I. Fashchevskyi2.201091141LOct 6 · 17:05M. Potapov2.101151111113D. Maltsev1.6761171392LOct 6 · 15:05V. Moshovskyi1.671211123D. Maltsev2.10109100LOct 6 · 14:05D. Maltsev3.00119961I. Pytsko1.3671111113
D. Palii10
WOct 9 · 21:00Y. Tebenko1.6177110D. Palii2.201111133WOct 4 · 10:55A. Kotiash3.008940D. Palii1.361111113WOct 4 · 09:55I. Fashchevskyi1.8391030D. Palii1.831112113WOct 4 · 08:25O. Gazhula2.1087111782D. Palii1.671111515113WOct 4 · 06:25M. Slozka1.8081060D. Palii1.911112113LOct 4 · 04:25V. Kuzmych2.2012111114113D. Palii1.6114761682WOct 3 · 18:55D. Palii1.40861111103A. Kotiash2.7511113682LOct 3 · 16:55V. Kuzmych2.3891111113D. Palii1.53113491WOct 3 · 14:55O. Gazhula2.10141191392D. Palii1.671291115113WOct 3 · 13:55D. Palii1.911111113I. Fashchevskyi1.807780
Upcoming Matches
D. Maltsev
Oct 9 · 23:00D. Maltsev2.10D. Palii1.67—Oct 10 · 00:30D. Maltsev2.63Y. Tebenko1.44—Oct 10 · 02:00D. Maltsev2.00O. Budnikov1.73—Oct 10 · 14:35D. Maltsev1.61M. Potapov2.20—Oct 10 · 15:35D. Maltsev1.57I. Fashchevskyi2.25—Oct 10 · 16:35D. Maltsev1.53M. Slozka2.38—Oct 10 · 18:35D. Maltsev3.25I. Pytsko1.33—
D. Palii
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