TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Vitalii Mukhin vs Vasily Kondratenko · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Starts 07:30Scheduled
7–3Last 10Won last 6
Head to head
4 – 10
All 14 meetings · 28.6%
Last 10 · 4–6Same side
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Both players are 7–3 over their last ten. The difference is the direction: Vitalii Mukhin arrives off a win, Vasily Kondratenko off a loss, and the streak is one of the signals the engine reads.
Compare playersPrice verdict
Value · MediumVitalii Mukhin at 2.10
The underdog is priced longer than what we measure says.
Measured with only what was known before each match, against 100/odds and the price taken before the first serve. It says where the price misses, not who wins.
Round robin · match 7 of 15
0 of 15 playedGroup 7 of 9 on the day's ladder
Round robin before this match
Earlier matches of this round robin are still to finish: the table moves as they do.
| # | Player | W–L | Sets | To play |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| = | Sergey Osipov | 0–0 | 0–0 | 5 |
| = | Sergii Skhabitskiy | 0–0 | 0–0 | 5 |
| = | Vasily KondratenkoThis match | 0–0 | 0–0 | 5 |
| = | Vitalii MukhinThis match | 0–0 | 0–0 | 5 |
| = | Vladyslav Stukalov | 0–0 | 0–0 | 5 |
| = | Volodymyr Varchenko | 0–0 | 0–0 | 5 |
Rebuilt from the schedule and public results. Only matches that started earlier count.
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMukhin 2.10 / Kondratenko 1.666
Setka Cup · #13270580
Mukhin2.10
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 3 days ago (Oct 07)
Won last 6
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog33% won 36 of 109
Down 0–1, comes back18% 11 of 63
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 38
Kondratenko1.67
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 3 days ago (Oct 07)
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite60% won 89 of 148
Up 2–0, closes it93% 41 of 44
Up 1–0, closes it79% 63 of 80
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMukhin4wins
AwayKondratenko6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderKondratenko leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMukhin66.7%2 of 3
AwayKondratenko71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mukhin3Kondratenko7n = 10Kondratenko took 7 of 10
S2Mukhin5Kondratenko5n = 10split evenly
S3Mukhin5Kondratenko5n = 10split evenly
S4Mukhin3Kondratenko5n = 8Kondratenko took 5 of 8
S5Mukhin2Kondratenko1n = 3Mukhin took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricMukhinKondratenkoM − KBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match37.338.6−1.3per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMukhinKondratenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime193 / 365 vs 248 / 54852.9%45.3%193 / 365 vs 248 / 548Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.937.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match WinnerForecastThe edge lives in the pick, one screen up
No price history
Neither player has a record at this price yet, so there is no odds range to publish.
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WOct 7 · 11:05V. Mukhin351113113V. Kondratenko1941140
LSep 30 · 08:05V. Mukhin291171011V. Kondratenko4061112113
WSep 29 · 16:40V. Mukhin5310111110113V. Kondratenko4712881272
LAug 27 · 04:30V. Mukhin348115101V. Kondratenko4111711123
LAug 19 · 07:30V. Mukhin33811681V. Kondratenko4211911113
LAug 6 · 09:00V. Mukhin4591151192V. Kondratenko47119115113
LJul 13 · 07:30V. Mukhin31591251V. Kondratenko43111110113
WJul 9 · 08:05V. Mukhin3911611113V. Kondratenko31911741
LJun 8 · 10:30V. Mukhin227870V. Kondratenko331111113
WJun 4 · 11:05V. Mukhin52991111123V. Kondratenko43111165102
V. Mukhin10
WOct 7 · 11:05V. Mukhin2.251113113V. Kondratenko1.5741140WOct 7 · 09:35V. Mukhin1.1411114113V. Stukalov5.00771151WOct 7 · 08:05V. Mukhin3.001111133O. Mytsyk1.3657110WOct 7 · 06:35V. Mukhin1.5311115113S. Semenets2.38681171WOct 6 · 16:40V. Mukhin1.171111113V. Stukalov4.503840WOct 6 · 15:10V. Mukhin1.44811511113P. Ostrovskyi2.6311411692LOct 6 · 13:40V. Mukhin1.57111171192S. Hovorunets2.25513113113LOct 6 · 12:10V. Mukhin1.50164121182S. Semenets2.501811105113LOct 6 · 10:40V. Mukhin2.7596111172S. Skhabitskiy1.40111177113WOct 2 · 11:05V. Mukhin1.171111113V. Stukalov4.509440
V. Kondratenko10
LOct 7 · 11:05V. Mukhin2.251113113V. Kondratenko1.5741140WOct 7 · 10:05V. Kondratenko2.251111108133O. Mytsyk1.57931211112LOct 7 · 09:05V. Kondratenko1.7341311992S. Hovorunets2.001111611113LOct 7 · 07:35V. Kondratenko1.6111711572V. Stukalov2.20811711113WOct 7 · 05:33V. Kondratenko1.531111113S. Semenets2.387970WOct 4 · 16:15M. Khalenko1.5712115862V. Kondratenko2.251021111113WOct 4 · 15:10K. Klymenko1.5311111171V. Kondratenko2.3813813113WOct 4 · 13:40V. Kondratenko1.67931111113V. Stukalov2.1011117462WOct 4 · 12:10V. Kondratenko1.361111133V. Varchenko3.0079110WOct 4 · 10:40V. Kondratenko2.501491193M. Khalenko1.501211851
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