TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Valentyn Lobas vs Maxim Marchuk · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Starts Oct 10, 21:05Scheduled
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Head to head
41 – 17
All 58 meetings · 70.7%
Last 10 · 9–1Same side
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Price verdict
No edgeThe price already says it
Nothing we measure separates from the price on this match.
Measured with only what was known before each match, against 100/odds and the price taken before the first serve. It says where the price misses, not who wins.
Round robin · match 1 of 15
0 of 15 playedGroup 8 of 14 on the day's ladder
Round robin before this match
| # | Player | W–L | Sets | To play |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| = | Maxim MarchukThis match | 0–0 | 0–0 | 5 |
| = | Oleksandr Gomilko | 0–0 | 0–0 | 5 |
| = | Oleksandr Melashenko | 0–0 | 0–0 | 5 |
| = | Valentyn LobasThis match | 0–0 | 0–0 | 5 |
| = | Vitalii Kobets | 0–0 | 0–0 | 5 |
| = | Yan Krol | 0–0 | 0–0 | 5 |
Rebuilt from the schedule and public results. Only matches that started earlier count.
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLobas 1.363 / Marchuk 3.00
Setka Cup · #13270498
Lobas1.36
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 1 day ago (Oct 09)
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite62% won 111 of 179
Up 2–0, closes it92% 60 of 65
Up 1–0, closes it76% 90 of 118
Marchuk3.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog39% won 39 of 100
Down 0–1, comes back17% 8 of 47
Down 0–2, comes back9% 3 of 32
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLobas9wins
AwayMarchuk1wins
1 of 10 to a deciderLobas leads 9–1, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLobas100%7 of 7
AwayMarchuk33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lobas7Marchuk3n = 10Lobas took 7 of 10
S2Lobas9Marchuk1n = 10Lobas took 9 of 10
S3Lobas7Marchuk3n = 10Lobas took 7 of 10
S4Lobas3Marchuk1n = 4Lobas took 3 of 4
S5
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home550%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricLobasMarchukL − MBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match36.427.9+8.5per matchSweeps51+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLobasMarchukBasisWin rate · lifetime251 / 438 vs 197 / 44757.3%44.1%251 / 438 vs 197 / 447Avg sets wonper match2.21.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.237.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match WinnerForecastThe edge lives in the pick, one screen up
No price history
Neither player has a record at this price yet, so there is no odds range to publish.
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WOct 3 · 02:05V. Lobas4291111113M. Marchuk25113831
WSep 26 · 21:05V. Lobas4291111113M. Marchuk35119871
WSep 19 · 21:05V. Lobas351311113M. Marchuk2111190
LSep 19 · 04:05V. Lobas169430M. Marchuk331111113
WSep 12 · 21:05V. Lobas4112117113M. Marchuk301061131
WSep 5 · 21:05V. Lobas331111113M. Marchuk259970
WAug 29 · 21:05V. Lobas361411113M. Marchuk2412930
WAug 16 · 02:05V. Lobas341112113M. Marchuk2071030
WAug 9 · 03:05V. Lobas50111198113M. Marchuk3757111132
WAug 1 · 22:35V. Lobas351311113M. Marchuk2911990
V. Lobas10
LOct 9 · 23:05V. Lobas1.44126671V. Kobets2.63101111113WOct 9 · 22:05O. Gomilko1.83941171V. Lobas1.8311115113LOct 4 · 03:05V. Lobas1.361110351V. Kobets3.0051211113WOct 4 · 01:35V. Lobas1.36151411113O. Melashenko3.001316621LOct 4 · 00:05V. Lobas1.6711471172Y. Krol2.10911115113LOct 3 · 22:35V. Lobas1.53114951K. Hrynenko2.3861111113LOct 3 · 21:05V. Lobas1.831551271O. Gomilko1.83131114113WOct 3 · 04:05V. Lobas1.91812711113O. Gomilko1.80111011672WOct 3 · 02:05M. Marchuk3.00113831V. Lobas1.3691111113WOct 3 · 00:05Y. Krol2.00116491V. Lobas1.7391111113
M. Marchuk10
LOct 9 · 22:35Y. Krol1.8311712153M. Marchuk1.8341110131LOct 9 · 21:35O. Melashenko1.531111113M. Marchuk2.389260WOct 3 · 03:05Y. Krol1.837650M. Marchuk1.831111113LOct 3 · 02:05M. Marchuk3.00113831V. Lobas1.3691111113LOct 3 · 01:05M. Marchuk2.50117111372D. Derevynskyi1.50511715113LOct 2 · 23:35M. Marchuk2.10118681K. Hrynenko1.6751111113WOct 2 · 21:35M. Marchuk1.91111148113O. Gomilko1.8065111192LSep 27 · 03:35V. Kobets2.20111265113M. Marchuk1.61810111182WSep 27 · 02:35Y. Krol1.8391280M. Marchuk1.831114113LSep 27 · 01:05O. Gomilko1.73911811113M. Marchuk2.0011311652
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