TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Daniel Unzeitig vs Tomas Kypr 3-0 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProA18 · Ostrava
Played Oct 9Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
117115119––––
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:27 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeDaniel Unzeitig to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingDaniel Unzeitig above · Tomas Kypr below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 54 set 3, 11-9 · our read held Daniel Unzeitig at 54.0%
54 points played in total.
H2H Daniel Unzeitig 7–5 Tomas Kypr Tomas Kypr has won 5 of their 12 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Unzeitig beat Kypr 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:2754.0%Our read55.6%to break even at 1.80
short by 1.6pp55.6% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.80 they are the same number)
What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Unzeitig
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
7-5 in 12
Unzeitig
Correct
gap of 2 in 12, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Unzeitig 1633 vs Kypr 1657
Kypr
Wrong
both rated, 24 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Unzeitig 60% vs Kypr 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Unzeitig 60% vs Kypr 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Unzeitig +1 · Kypr +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Unzeitig) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsUnzeitig 1.80 / Kypr 1.90
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Unzeitig)-1.6pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13270260
Unzeitig1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite59% won 35 of 59
Up 2–0, closes it85% 17 of 20
Up 1–0, closes it69% 22 of 32
Kypr1.90
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog54% won 22 of 41
Down 0–1, comes back46% 11 of 24
Down 0–2, comes back25% 3 of 12
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeUnzeitig5wins
AwayKypr5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeUnzeitig66.7%4 of 6
AwayKypr75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Unzeitig6Kypr4n = 10Unzeitig took 6 of 10
S2Unzeitig8Kypr2n = 10Unzeitig took 8 of 10
S3Unzeitig6Kypr4n = 10Unzeitig took 6 of 10
S4Unzeitig3Kypr4n = 7Kypr took 4 of 7
S5Unzeitig0Kypr3n = 3Kypr took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricUnzeitigKyprU − KBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match37.635.8+1.8per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricUnzeitigKyprBasisWin rate · lifetime151 / 319 vs 75 / 13847.3%54.4%151 / 319 vs 75 / 138Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.638.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
UnzeitigUnzeitig 1.80/Kypr 1.90
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Unzeitig · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Unzeitig won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WOct 9 · 14:30D. Unzeitig351113113T. Kypr2581160
LSep 27 · 14:30D. Unzeitig4916119582T. Kypr511441111113
LSep 11 · 14:30D. Unzeitig34811961T. Kypr3911611113
WSep 10 · 18:00D. Unzeitig45111011133T. Kypr398128111
WSep 3 · 14:30D. Unzeitig3841111123T. Kypr321129101
LAug 24 · 15:00D. Unzeitig44101151172T. Kypr41124113113
LAug 23 · 17:01D. Unzeitig3911125652T. Kypr507101111113
WAug 23 · 16:00D. Unzeitig331111113T. Kypr193970
WJun 6 · 21:28D. Unzeitig331111113T. Kypr215970
LJun 6 · 20:00D. Unzeitig26761121T. Kypr4111118113
D. Unzeitig10
WOct 9 · 16:30Z. Pagac1.577540D. Unzeitig2.251111113LOct 9 · 15:30D. Unzeitig1.9111671182M. Holub1.80611115113WOct 9 · 14:30T. Kypr1.8081160D. Unzeitig1.911113113LOct 5 · 17:29D. Unzeitig2.209111281J. Holubec1.6111714113WOct 5 · 16:30Z. Pagac1.50971471D. Unzeitig2.50111112113WOct 5 · 15:30D. Unzeitig1.9113118133D. Langer1.8011911111LOct 5 · 14:30J. Holubec1.731116113D. Unzeitig2.0081490WSep 30 · 17:10D. Unzeitig1.7391111113J. Holubec2.00117671LSep 30 · 16:30D. Unzeitig2.00121179122J. Simecek1.731091111143WSep 30 · 15:00D. Unzeitig2.25117811133J. Holubec1.57911111112
T. Kypr10
WOct 9 · 16:00M. Holub2.6311611462T. Kypr1.44411911113WOct 9 · 15:00Z. Pagac1.915440T. Kypr1.801111113LOct 9 · 14:30T. Kypr1.8081160D. Unzeitig1.911113113LOct 2 · 21:30T. Kypr1.65811931L. Kern2.1011511113WOct 2 · 20:30M. Holub2.209740T. Kypr1.611111113WOct 2 · 19:30T. Kypr2.1011912113M. Chalupa1.677111051WOct 2 · 18:30L. Kern2.38172161T. Kypr1.53111119113LSep 28 · 20:59M. Chalupa1.6711119123T. Kypr2.107911101LSep 28 · 20:30M. Holub2.631311113T. Kypr1.4411950LSep 28 · 19:30T. Kypr2.0010118121M. Chalupa1.7312911143
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