TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Michal Chalupa vs Tomas Kypr 3-1 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 28Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1171199111210––
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
How it is goingMichal Chalupa above · Tomas Kypr below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 12-10
Point 80 set 4, 12-10
80 points played in total.
H2H Michal Chalupa 3–2 Tomas Kypr Tomas Kypr has won 2 of their 5 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Chalupa beat Kypr 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kypr form (20%) is below what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsChalupa 1.67 / Kypr 2.10
Czech Liga Pro · #13213662
Chalupa1.67
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite58% won 122 of 209
Up 2–0, closes it88% 52 of 59
Up 1–0, closes it77% 86 of 112
Kypr2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog54% won 21 of 39
Down 0–1, comes back50% 11 of 22
Down 0–2, comes back27% 3 of 11
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeChalupa3wins
AwayKypr2wins
1 of 5 to a deciderChalupa leads 3–2, and 1 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeChalupa66.7%2 of 3
AwayKyprn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Chalupa3Kypr2n = 5Chalupa took 3 of 5
S2Chalupa3Kypr2n = 5Chalupa took 3 of 5
S3Chalupa3Kypr2n = 5Chalupa took 3 of 5
S4Chalupa2Kypr1n = 3Chalupa took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home120%
3–1Four sets, home240%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away120%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away120%
These 5 meetings
MetricChalupaKyprC − KBasisWins32+1in 5 meetingsFirst set32+1of 5Avg pointsper match38.638.2+0.4per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricChalupaKyprBasisWin rate · lifetime396 / 747 vs 70 / 13053%53.9%396 / 747 vs 70 / 130Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.338.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ChalupaChalupa 1.67/Kypr 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
—
no pick shipped on this market
What happened
3–1
Chalupa won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
WSep 28 · 19:30M. Chalupa4612911143T. Kypr4110118121
LSep 26 · 18:00M. Chalupa45121451042T. Kypr5610121112113
WSep 17 · 21:28M. Chalupa4491311113T. Kypr331111831
LSep 17 · 18:30M. Chalupa228950T. Kypr331111113
WSep 3 · 18:30M. Chalupa361411113T. Kypr2812970
M. Chalupa10
LSep 28 · 20:00M. Chalupa1.44911531D. Szotek2.6311911113WSep 28 · 19:30T. Kypr2.0010118121M. Chalupa1.7312911143LSep 28 · 18:00M. Chalupa1.5311124652M. Holub2.388101111113WSep 26 · 21:00M. Chalupa1.4011115113Z. Pagac2.75971181LSep 26 · 20:00M. Chalupa1.67291181D. Szotek2.1011119113WSep 26 · 19:30Z. Pagac2.6310940M. Chalupa1.441211113LSep 26 · 18:00M. Chalupa1.57121451042T. Kypr2.2510121112113LSep 24 · 21:30R. Hudeczek1.85111111113M. Chalupa1.85241381WSep 24 · 20:00M. Chalupa1.8311141013113R. Hudeczek1.83912121582LSep 24 · 19:30D. Szotek2.251112211113M. Chalupa1.5791411792
T. Kypr10
LSep 28 · 20:30M. Holub2.631311113T. Kypr1.4411950LSep 28 · 19:30T. Kypr2.0010118121M. Chalupa1.7312911143LSep 28 · 18:30D. Szotek2.251113115123T. Kypr1.57715811102WSep 27 · 16:59D. Szotek1.91881141T. Kypr1.8011119113LSep 27 · 16:00D. Szotek2.0071111113T. Kypr1.73119781LSep 27 · 15:00Z. Pagac2.2012811113T. Kypr1.611011961WSep 27 · 14:30T. Kypr1.731441111113D. Unzeitig2.0016119582WSep 26 · 21:30T. Kypr1.781211113D. Szotek1.9210720WSep 26 · 20:30T. Kypr1.831111113Z. Pagac1.833980WSep 26 · 18:00M. Chalupa1.57121451042T. Kypr2.2510121112113
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.