TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Patryk Jendrzejewski vs Jakub Kuzmicz 1-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Oct 9Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1012119711411––
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:29 and never touched: 61.2% is still 61.2%
Graded at full timeJakub Kuzmicz to win
61.2%
61.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
75 points played in total.
Set by set
1012119711411––
H2H Patryk Jendrzejewski 21–24 Jakub Kuzmicz Patryk Jendrzejewski has won 21 of their 45 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:2961.2%Our read51.3%to break even at 1.95
clears by 9.9pp51.3% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.95 they are the same number)
What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.75 (53%)
Jendrzejewski
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
21-24 in 45
Kuzmicz
Correct
gap of 3 in 45, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jendrzejewski 1711 vs Kuzmicz 1780
Kuzmicz
Correct
both rated, 69 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jendrzejewski 60% vs Kuzmicz 80%
Kuzmicz
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jendrzejewski 50% vs Kuzmicz 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Jendrzejewski -1 · Kuzmicz +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% · Slight lean (leans Kuzmicz) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kuzmicz form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (51%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJendrzejewski 1.75 / Kuzmicz 1.95
Signal prob.39% / 61%
Edge (Kuzmicz)+9.9pp
TT Elite Series · #13267901
Jendrzejewski1.75
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite56% won 118 of 211
Up 2–0, closes it95% 61 of 64
Up 1–0, closes it82% 95 of 116
Kuzmicz1.95
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog50% won 129 of 257
Down 0–1, comes back33% 42 of 128
Down 0–2, comes back8% 4 of 49
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeJendrzejewski5wins
AwayKuzmicz5wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJendrzejewski42.9%3 of 7
AwayKuzmicz33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jendrzejewski7Kuzmicz3n = 10Jendrzejewski took 7 of 10
S2Jendrzejewski3Kuzmicz7n = 10Kuzmicz took 7 of 10
S3Jendrzejewski5Kuzmicz5n = 10split evenly
S4Jendrzejewski4Kuzmicz6n = 10Kuzmicz took 6 of 10
S5Jendrzejewski3Kuzmicz2n = 5Jendrzejewski took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricJendrzejewskiKuzmiczJ − KBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match44.743.3+1.4per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJendrzejewskiKuzmiczBasisWin rate · lifetime393 / 802 vs 750 / 131049%57.3%393 / 802 vs 750 / 1310Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.039.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
KuzmiczJendrzejewski 1.75/Kuzmicz 1.95
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
61.2%
Kuzmicz · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kuzmicz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 22 · 09:00P. Jendrzejewski51911119113J. Kuzmicz4611961192
LSep 17 · 08:05P. Jendrzejewski36117991J. Kuzmicz3851111113
WSep 12 · 19:40P. Jendrzejewski4211911113J. Kuzmicz32811581
WSep 5 · 19:40P. Jendrzejewski45121111113J. Kuzmicz381013691
LSep 4 · 23:35P. Jendrzejewski50118101382J. Kuzmicz549111211113
WAug 6 · 21:25P. Jendrzejewski49126119113J. Kuzmicz47101171182
LAug 5 · 18:05P. Jendrzejewski391179121J. Kuzmicz4261111143
LJul 31 · 22:50P. Jendrzejewski4711811892J. Kuzmicz47811611113
LJul 29 · 21:25P. Jendrzejewski381011981J. Kuzmicz4312911113
WJul 29 · 16:55P. Jendrzejewski50711711143J. Kuzmicz46119113122
P. Jendrzejewski10
LOct 9 · 06:50P. Jendrzejewski2.75411121182J. Braun1.40117148113WOct 9 · 05:35P. Jendrzejewski2.2011118113P. Klos1.57291151WOct 9 · 04:00P. Jendrzejewski1.90111111113K. Kapik1.80139961LOct 9 · 03:00P. Jendrzejewski4.0581171172K. Wloczko1.18116117113WOct 8 · 14:35J. Mitas1.87176111072P. Jendrzejewski1.841511712113WOct 8 · 13:25P. Jendrzejewski1.471211911123M. Rutkowski2.40144113102LOct 8 · 12:10G. Poliniewicz1.86131176113P. Jendrzejewski1.80118111182LOct 8 · 10:55K. Kapik1.9111119113P. Jendrzejewski1.80681171LOct 8 · 09:20J. Stecyszyn1.5171111113P. Jendrzejewski2.41115571WOct 8 · 07:40K. Wloczko1.508880P. Jendrzejewski2.401111113
J. Kuzmicz10
WOct 9 · 09:45K. Kolodziej1.851081181J. Kuzmicz1.8012114113WOct 9 · 07:15J. Kuzmicz1.901114113K. Wloczko1.8081280LOct 9 · 06:00J. Braun1.7511512113J. Kuzmicz1.907111091WOct 9 · 04:50P. Klos1.87471181J. Kuzmicz1.8311119113WOct 9 · 03:20K. Kapik2.754580J. Kuzmicz1.401111113WOct 7 · 08:05J. Kuzmicz1.321111113D. Kosmal3.103790LOct 7 · 06:25J. Zochniak2.17111356123J. Kuzmicz1.628111111102LOct 7 · 05:35K. Kapik2.051211712113J. Kuzmicz1.65107111492WOct 7 · 04:50J. Kuzmicz1.75114146113M. Rutkowski1.97711121182LOct 7 · 03:40J. Kuzmicz2.056860K. Wloczko1.681111113
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