TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Szymon Radlo vs Jakub Chojnacki 2-3 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Oct 9Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
12108111210811911
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 06:29 and never touched: 68.1% is still 68.1%
Graded at full timeSzymon Radlo to win
68.1%
68.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
102 points played in total.
Set by set
12108111210811911
H2H Szymon Radlo 3–3 Jakub Chojnacki Dead even across their 6 meetings.
Last 6 · 3–3Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 06:2968.1%Our read73.5%to break even at 1.36
short by 5.4pp73.5% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.36 they are the same number)
What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (68%)
Radlo
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
3-3 in 6
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Radlo 1544 vs Chojnacki 1535
Radlo
Wrong
both rated, 8 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Radlo 60% vs Chojnacki 40%
Radlo
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Radlo 40% vs Chojnacki 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Radlo -1 · Chojnacki +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% · Clear lean (leans Radlo) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Radlo form (60%) is below what odds imply (74%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRadlo 1.36 / Chojnacki 2.85
Signal prob.68% / 32%
Edge (Radlo)-5.4pp (anti-value)
TT Cup · #13267697
Radlo1.36
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite53% won 109 of 207
Up 2–0, closes it95% 57 of 60
Up 1–0, closes it76% 90 of 119
Chojnacki2.85
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog34% won 13 of 38
Down 0–1, comes back9% 2 of 23
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 14
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeRadlo3wins
AwayChojnacki3wins
2 of 6 to a deciderLevel at 3–3, and 2 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRadlo66.7%2 of 3
AwayChojnacki66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Radlo3Chojnacki3n = 6split evenly
S2Radlo5Chojnacki1n = 6Radlo took 5 of 6
S3Radlo2Chojnacki4n = 6Chojnacki took 4 of 6
S4Radlo2Chojnacki4n = 6Chojnacki took 4 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home233%
3–2Decider, home117%
2–3Decider, away117%
1–3Four sets, away233%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 6 meetings
MetricRadloChojnackiR − CBasisWins330in 6 meetingsFirst set330of 6Avg pointsper match44.244.8−0.6per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRadloChojnackiBasisWin rate · lifetime408 / 826 vs 22 / 5049.4%44%408 / 826 vs 22 / 50Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.839.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
RadloRadlo 1.36/Chojnacki 2.85
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
68.1%
Radlo · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Chojnacki won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
LOct 9 · 06:30S. Radlo4912812892J. Chojnacki5310111011113
WOct 6 · 07:30S. Radlo4713158113J. Chojnacki4411131191
LOct 5 · 10:30S. Radlo391011991J. Chojnacki4112711113
LSep 30 · 12:00S. Radlo30711661J. Chojnacki3911611113
WSep 29 · 11:00S. Radlo551311811123J. Chojnacki541191113102
WSep 28 · 07:00S. Radlo45111112113J. Chojnacki381361091
S. Radlo10
LOct 9 · 05:00S. Radlo2.25811961M. Lysakowski1.5411411113WOct 6 · 13:30P. Gola1.80891171S. Radlo1.9011118113WOct 6 · 11:00M. Lysakowski1.46111510882S. Radlo2.505131211113LOct 6 · 10:00S. Radlo1.60911111082M. Burkacki2.20117912113WOct 6 · 09:00S. Radlo2.051112113M. Galus1.6841090WOct 6 · 07:30S. Radlo1.4113158113J. Chojnacki2.7011131191LOct 6 · 05:30S. Radlo2.1014111321P. Gola1.6016715113LOct 5 · 12:40S. Wloszek1.801181311113S. Radlo1.9131115992LOct 5 · 11:30M. Galus1.571111123S. Radlo2.2589100LOct 5 · 10:30J. Chojnacki3.1012711113S. Radlo1.331011991
J. Chojnacki10
WOct 9 · 05:30B. Molka1.4211741192J. Chojnacki2.69711118113WOct 8 · 12:30J. Masternak2.6081112562J. Chojnacki1.441171011113LOct 8 · 11:00D. Stapor1.4011113113J. Chojnacki2.75951181LOct 8 · 10:00J. Chojnacki2.40111281272B. Molka1.508101114113LOct 8 · 09:00J. Chojnacki2.10812101182J. Masternak1.651110128113LOct 8 · 07:30J. Chojnacki2.4081011101S. Wloszek1.5011129123LOct 8 · 05:30J. Chojnacki2.851191171M. Lysakowski1.3613117113WOct 6 · 13:00M. Lysakowski1.3481090J. Chojnacki3.001112113LOct 6 · 07:30S. Radlo1.4113158113J. Chojnacki2.7011131191WOct 5 · 10:30J. Chojnacki3.1012711113S. Radlo1.331011991
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