TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Bruno Mrowetz vs Tomas Krenek 3-0 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Oct 9Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
114118119––––
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:22 and never touched: 55.3% is still 55.3%
Graded at full timeTomas Krenek to win
55.3%
55.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingBruno Mrowetz above · Tomas Krenek below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 54 set 3, 11-9 · our read held Tomas Krenek at 55.3%
54 points played in total.
H2H Bruno Mrowetz 20–25 Tomas Krenek Bruno Mrowetz has won 20 of their 45 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:2255.3%Our read57.9%to break even at 1.727
short by 2.6pp57.9% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.727 they are the same number)
What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Krenek
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
20-25 in 45
Krenek
Wrong
gap of 5 in 45, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Mrowetz 1620 vs Krenek 1645
Krenek
Wrong
both rated, 25 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mrowetz 40% vs Krenek 60%
Krenek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mrowetz 40% vs Krenek 60%
Krenek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Mrowetz -1 · Krenek +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% · Slight lean (leans Krenek) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMrowetz 2.00 / Krenek 1.727
Signal prob.45% / 55%
Edge (Krenek)-2.6pp (anti-value)
TT Cup · #13266744
Mrowetz2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog42% won 64 of 153
Down 0–1, comes back22% 16 of 72
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 38
Krenek1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite57% won 136 of 239
Up 2–0, closes it93% 55 of 59
Up 1–0, closes it73% 90 of 123
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMrowetz3wins
AwayKrenek7wins
3 of 10 to a deciderKrenek leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMrowetz50%3 of 6
AwayKrenek100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mrowetz6Krenek4n = 10Mrowetz took 6 of 10
S2Mrowetz5Krenek5n = 10split evenly
S3Mrowetz5Krenek5n = 10split evenly
S4Mrowetz2Krenek5n = 7Krenek took 5 of 7
S5Mrowetz0Krenek3n = 3Krenek took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricMrowetzKrenekM − KBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match39.039.4−0.4per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMrowetzKrenekBasisWin rate · lifetime270 / 537 vs 520 / 101150.3%51.4%270 / 537 vs 520 / 1011Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.239.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
KrenekMrowetz 2.00/Krenek 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55.3%
Krenek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Mrowetz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WOct 9 · 10:40B. Mrowetz331111113T. Krenek214890
WOct 6 · 12:10B. Mrowetz331111113T. Krenek196760
LOct 5 · 08:53B. Mrowetz4581111872T. Krenek41115311113
LOct 5 · 05:45B. Mrowetz46118611102T. Krenek48611118123
LSep 17 · 14:15B. Mrowetz27511651T. Krenek4211911113
WSep 3 · 05:45B. Mrowetz44111111113T. Krenek34613781
LSep 2 · 11:15B. Mrowetz3651011101T. Krenek4311128123
LAug 25 · 12:38B. Mrowetz59121182082T. Krenek591051122113
LAug 25 · 11:10B. Mrowetz195680T. Krenek331111113
LAug 24 · 10:10B. Mrowetz4814101771T. Krenek54121219113
B. Mrowetz10
WOct 9 · 11:40B. Mrowetz1.7311613113R. Benes2.008111171LOct 9 · 09:40B. Mrowetz1.57911981M. Moravec2.2511911113WOct 6 · 12:40J. Krupnik1.80116116112B. Mrowetz1.91711711133WOct 6 · 12:10T. Krenek1.736760B. Mrowetz2.001111113LOct 6 · 11:10B. Mrowetz1.91911971J. Skvrna1.8011711113LOct 6 · 09:40J. Krupnik1.83771111113B. Mrowetz1.8311119962LOct 5 · 08:53T. Krenek1.40115311113B. Mrowetz2.7581111872WOct 5 · 07:45B. Mrowetz1.501111113L. Slavik2.506880LOct 5 · 06:45B. Mrowetz1.61391481R. Benes2.20111112113LOct 5 · 05:45B. Mrowetz1.91118611102T. Krenek1.80611118123
T. Krenek10
WOct 9 · 10:10R. Benes1.83148861T. Krenek1.83121111113LOct 8 · 17:20T. Krenek1.4491111662V. Konvicka2.63112411113LOct 8 · 15:45A. Kanak2.00111114113T. Krenek1.73991641WOct 8 · 15:15V. Konvicka2.631191171T. Krenek1.4413119113WOct 8 · 14:00T. Krenek1.73811119113R. Sedlacek2.0011661132LOct 8 · 13:15J. Krupnik1.83111156143T. Krenek1.83891111122WOct 8 · 12:15M. Moravec2.3846110T. Krenek1.531111133LOct 6 · 12:10T. Krenek1.736760B. Mrowetz2.001111113WOct 5 · 08:53T. Krenek1.40115311113B. Mrowetz2.7581111872WOct 5 · 05:45B. Mrowetz1.91118611102T. Krenek1.80611118123
Upcoming Matches
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T. Krenek
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