TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Roman Cherevko vs Alexander Tuzhylin · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Starts 00:25Scheduled
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
Head to head
65 – 165
All 230 meetings · 28.3%
Last 10 · 6–4Split
9–1Last 10Won last 1
Roman Cherevko arrives off 4 straight losses. The streak is one of the signals the engine reads.
Compare playersPrice verdict
No edgeThe price already says it
Nothing we measure separates from the price on this match.
Measured with only what was known before each match, against 100/odds and the price taken before the first serve. It says where the price misses, not who wins.
Round robin · match 7 of 15
4 of 15 playedGroup 6 of 26 on the day's ladder
Round robin before this match
Earlier matches of this round robin are still to finish: the table moves as they do.
| # | Player | W–L | Sets | To play |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Valeriy Melnik | 1–0 | 3–1 | 4 |
| 2 | Alexander TuzhylinThis match | 1–0 | 3–0 | 4 |
| 3 | Yevhen Masko | 1–0 | 3–1 | 4 |
| 4 | Evgeniy Pismenniy | 1–1 | 4–4 | 3 |
| 5 | Dmytro Neborak | 0–1 | 0–3 | 4 |
| 6 | Roman CherevkoThis match | 0–2 | 2–6 | 3 |
Rebuilt from the schedule and public results. Only matches that started earlier count.
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsCherevko 2.625 / Tuzhylin 1.444
Setka Cup · #13266331
Cherevko2.63
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog40% won 60 of 149
Down 0–1, comes back17% 15 of 89
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 55
Tuzhylin1.44
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite73% won 185 of 253
Up 2–0, closes it99% 119 of 120
Up 1–0, closes it91% 143 of 158
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeCherevko6wins
AwayTuzhylin4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderCherevko leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeCherevko100%6 of 6
AwayTuzhylin100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Cherevko6Tuzhylin4n = 10Cherevko took 6 of 10
S2Cherevko5Tuzhylin5n = 10split evenly
S3Cherevko6Tuzhylin4n = 10Cherevko took 6 of 10
S4Cherevko0Tuzhylin3n = 3Tuzhylin took 3 of 3
S5
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricCherevkoTuzhylinC − TBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match35.834.7+1.1per matchSweeps43+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricCherevkoTuzhylinBasisWin rate · lifetime374 / 727 vs 489 / 64051.4%76.4%374 / 727 vs 489 / 640Avg sets wonper match2.02.6per matchAvg pointsper match39.038.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match WinnerForecastThe edge lives in the pick, one screen up
No price history
Neither player has a record at this price yet, so there is no odds range to publish.
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 27 · 20:25R. Cherevko331111113A. Tuzhylin207850
LSep 26 · 13:25R. Cherevko399111091A. Tuzhylin4011612113
WSep 25 · 23:25R. Cherevko391711113A. Tuzhylin3015960
LSep 20 · 20:25R. Cherevko247890A. Tuzhylin331111113
WSep 19 · 19:25R. Cherevko341111123A. Tuzhylin2578100
LSep 19 · 04:25R. Cherevko2569100A. Tuzhylin341111123
WSep 13 · 15:25R. Cherevko49117146113A. Tuzhylin49611121192
LSep 12 · 20:25R. Cherevko259880A. Tuzhylin331111113
WSep 12 · 03:25R. Cherevko351112123A. Tuzhylin29910100
WSep 5 · 13:25R. Cherevko551481110123A. Tuzhylin541211912102
R. Cherevko10
LOct 9 · 22:55R. Cherevko1.50761261E. Pismenniy2.50111110113LOct 9 · 21:25R. Cherevko2.209811131Y. Masko1.6111119153LOct 4 · 20:25R. Cherevko1.4071040R. Reznychenko2.751112113LOct 4 · 18:25V. Melnik1.30111112113R. Cherevko3.40731441WOct 4 · 16:25O. Dukhovenko3.258760R. Cherevko1.331111113WOct 4 · 15:25R. Cherevko2.00119119113Y. Masko1.7341191162WOct 4 · 14:25E. Pismenniy4.5031090R. Cherevko1.171112113LOct 3 · 20:25Y. Masko1.6711411113R. Cherevko2.10711881WOct 3 · 18:55R. Cherevko1.331111113E. Pismenniy3.259650LOct 3 · 16:55R. Reznychenko2.101611493R. Cherevko1.671461161
A. Tuzhylin10
WOct 9 · 22:25D. Neborak4.504240A. Tuzhylin1.171111113LSep 27 · 20:25R. Cherevko2.501111113A. Tuzhylin1.507850WSep 27 · 18:55A. Tuzhylin1.111113113E. Pismenniy6.0041190WSep 27 · 16:55Y. Masko2.63771181A. Tuzhylin1.4411117113WSep 27 · 14:55R. Reznychenko5.508970A. Tuzhylin1.131111113WSep 27 · 13:55V. Melnik2.201111581A. Tuzhylin1.6161311113WSep 26 · 19:25A. Tuzhylin1.611211113V. Melnik2.2010480WSep 26 · 17:55A. Tuzhylin1.4081111113Y. Masko2.75118971WSep 26 · 16:25A. Tuzhylin1.1312112R. Reznychenko5.501090WSep 26 · 14:55A. Tuzhylin1.111111113E. Pismenniy6.009820
Upcoming Matches
R. Cherevko
Oct 10 · 01:55R. Cherevko1.57D. Neborak2.25—Oct 10 · 03:25R. Cherevko2.20V. Melnik1.61—Oct 10 · 13:25R. Cherevko2.63A. Tuzhylin1.44—Oct 10 · 15:25R. Cherevko1.53D. Neborak2.38—Oct 10 · 17:25R. Cherevko1.91V. Melnik1.80—Oct 10 · 18:55R. Cherevko2.20Y. Masko1.61—Oct 10 · 19:55R. Cherevko1.50E. Pismenniy2.50—
A. Tuzhylin
Oct 10 · 02:25A. Tuzhylin1.61V. Melnik2.20—Oct 10 · 04:25A. Tuzhylin1.11E. Pismenniy6.00—Oct 10 · 13:25A. Tuzhylin1.44R. Cherevko2.63—Oct 10 · 14:55A. Tuzhylin1.44Y. Masko2.63—Oct 10 · 16:25A. Tuzhylin—D. Neborak——Oct 10 · 17:55A. Tuzhylin1.11E. Pismenniy6.00—Oct 10 · 19:25A. Tuzhylin1.61V. Melnik2.20—
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