TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Milan Jasek vs Antonin Schneeberger 1-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Oct 8Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
116811811611––
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:53 and never touched: 74.8% is still 74.8%
Graded at full timeMilan Jasek to win
74.8%
74.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMilan Jasek above · Antonin Schneeberger below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 72 set 4, 6-11 · our read held Milan Jasek at 74.8%
72 points played in total.
H2H Milan Jasek 5–1 Antonin Schneeberger Antonin Schneeberger has won 1 of their 6 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:5374.8%Our read76.9%to break even at 1.30
short by 2.1pp76.9% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.30 they are the same number)
What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.30 (71%)
Jasek
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
5-1 in 6
Jasek
Wrong
gap of 4 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jasek 1416 vs Schneeberger 1332
Jasek
Wrong
both rated, 84 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jasek 80% vs Schneeberger 60%
Jasek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jasek 60% vs Schneeberger 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Jasek +2 · Schneeberger -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 75% · Strong (leans Jasek) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Schneeberger form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (32%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJasek 1.30 / Schneeberger 3.15
Signal prob.75% / 25%
Edge (Jasek)-2.1pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13265701
Jasek1.30
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite61% won 37 of 61
Up 2–0, closes it100% 24 of 24
Up 1–0, closes it87% 32 of 37
Schneeberger3.15
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog27% won 29 of 109
Down 0–1, comes back11% 8 of 70
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 45
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeJasek5wins
AwaySchneeberger1wins
Jasek leads 5–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJasek83.3%5 of 6
AwaySchneebergern = 0, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jasek6Schneeberger0n = 6Jasek took 6 of 6
S2Jasek3Schneeberger3n = 6split evenly
S3Jasek4Schneeberger2n = 6Jasek took 4 of 6
S4Jasek3Schneeberger1n = 4Jasek took 3 of 4
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home233%
3–1Four sets, home350%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away117%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 6 meetings
MetricJasekSchneebergerJ − SBasisWins51+4in 6 meetingsFirst set60+6of 6Avg pointsper match37.331.2+6.1per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJasekSchneebergerBasisWin rate · lifetime128 / 266 vs 135 / 29648.1%45.6%128 / 266 vs 135 / 296Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.437.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
JasekJasek 1.30/Schneeberger 3.15
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
74.8%
Jasek · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Schneeberger won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
LOct 8 · 19:00M. Jasek33118861A. Schneeberger3961111113
WJul 10 · 21:28M. Jasek4011711113A. Schneeberger31911741
WJul 10 · 18:00M. Jasek4212154113A. Schneeberger4310131191
WJun 23 · 19:30M. Jasek4313811113A. Schneeberger361111681
WMar 28 · 21:58M. Jasek331111113A. Schneeberger176560
WMar 28 · 21:30M. Jasek331111113A. Schneeberger215790
M. Jasek10
WOct 8 · 18:00R. Guliak2.381111871M. Jasek1.5313811113WOct 6 · 21:28M. Jasek1.671111113R. Guliak2.106580LOct 6 · 20:30I. Taichman1.5711119113M. Jasek2.25781161WOct 6 · 19:30M. Jasek2.381111113M. Kowolowski1.535680WOct 6 · 18:30R. Guliak1.91119861M. Jasek1.8081111113WSep 27 · 12:59D. Priesol3.2510870M. Jasek1.331211113LSep 27 · 12:00F. Zurek1.6111611113M. Jasek2.20511661LSep 27 · 11:00T. Hrabec1.831111103M. Jasek1.838860WSep 27 · 10:30M. Jasek1.401111113D. Priesol2.758550LSep 25 · 21:30T. Kraninger1.501111113M. Jasek2.405580
A. Schneeberger10
LOct 8 · 18:29A. Schneeberger3.75117981P. Hanel1.2571111113WOct 5 · 13:30J. Stach1.45511471A. Schneeberger2.5011711113WOct 5 · 12:30M. Levicky2.75118881A. Schneeberger1.4081111113LOct 5 · 11:30A. Schneeberger3.00116121152J. Stach1.36711149113WOct 5 · 10:30Z. Zientek2.10116421A. Schneeberger1.6761111113WOct 3 · 21:29D. Kolek1.83118917102A. Schneeberger1.838111115123LOct 3 · 20:30A. Schneeberger1.6196111262D. Kolek2.201111510113WOct 3 · 19:00A. Schneeberger1.501111113M. Levicky2.507870WOct 3 · 18:00Z. Zientek2.0011851162A. Schneeberger1.73811115113LOct 3 · 09:00M. Kolek1.36114311113A. Schneeberger3.0051111682
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