TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Jacek Mitas vs Patryk Jendrzejewski 2-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Oct 8Finished
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
17156111171012711
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:27 and never touched: 62.0% is still 62.0%
Graded at full timePatryk Jendrzejewski to win
62.0%
62.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
107 points played in total.
Set by set
17156111171012711
H2H Jacek Mitas 1–7 Patryk Jendrzejewski Jacek Mitas has won 1 of their 8 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:2762.0%Our read54.3%to break even at 1.84
clears by 7.7pp54.3% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.84 they are the same number)
What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.84 (50%)
Jendrzejewski
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
1-7 in 8
Jendrzejewski
Correct
gap of 6 in 8, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Mitas 1661 vs Jendrzejewski 1692
Jendrzejewski
Correct
both rated, 31 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mitas 40% vs Jendrzejewski 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mitas 30% vs Jendrzejewski 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Mitas -1 · Jendrzejewski +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% · Clear lean (leans Jendrzejewski) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jendrzejewski form (40%) is below what odds imply (54%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMitas 1.87 / Jendrzejewski 1.84
Signal prob.38% / 62%
Edge (Jendrzejewski)+7.7pp
TT Elite Series · #13264899
Mitas1.87
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog36% won 48 of 133
Down 0–1, comes back19% 14 of 73
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 46
Jendrzejewski1.84
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite56% won 116 of 207
Up 2–0, closes it95% 60 of 63
Up 1–0, closes it82% 94 of 115
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeMitas1wins
AwayJendrzejewski7wins
2 of 8 to a deciderJendrzejewski leads 7–1, and 2 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMitasn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayJendrzejewski100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mitas2Jendrzejewski6n = 8Jendrzejewski took 6 of 8
S2Mitas0Jendrzejewski8n = 8Jendrzejewski took 8 of 8
S3Mitas5Jendrzejewski3n = 8Mitas took 5 of 8
S4Mitas1Jendrzejewski5n = 6Jendrzejewski took 5 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home113%
2–3Decider, away113%
1–3Four sets, away450%
0–3Straight, away225%
These 8 meetings
MetricMitasJendrzejewskiM − JBasisWins17−6in 8 meetingsFirst set26−4of 8Avg pointsper match32.541.8−9.3per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMitasJendrzejewskiBasisWin rate · lifetime139 / 286 vs 390 / 79748.6%48.9%139 / 286 vs 390 / 797Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.739.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
JendrzejewskiMitas 1.87/Jendrzejewski 1.84
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62%
Jendrzejewski · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Jendrzejewski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
LOct 8 · 03:40J. Mitas216690P. Jendrzejewski331111113
LSep 12 · 01:10J. Mitas30771151P. Jendrzejewski3911116113
WSep 11 · 20:05J. Mitas45116143113P. Jendrzejewski47711121162
LAug 7 · 00:10J. Mitas44171312112P. Jendrzejewski5611111110133
LAug 6 · 20:05J. Mitas33661381P. Jendrzejewski44111111113
LJun 13 · 01:30J. Mitas237790P. Jendrzejewski331111113
LJun 12 · 23:00J. Mitas356811101P. Jendrzejewski4111117123
LJun 12 · 16:40J. Mitas29119631P. Jendrzejewski4181111113
J. Mitas10
LOct 8 · 13:00J. Mitas1.9831110G. Poliniewicz1.731113113WOct 8 · 11:45J. Mitas1.9012811113K. Kapik1.801011671WOct 8 · 10:05J. Mitas2.8311311113J. Stecyszyn1.38911971LOct 8 · 09:00J. Mitas2.00117111552M. Rutkowski1.71511517113LOct 8 · 08:05J. Mitas2.558880J. Stecyszyn1.461111113LOct 8 · 06:25K. Wloczko1.401111113J. Mitas2.653590LOct 8 · 05:35D. Michna1.52711411113J. Mitas2.3011511472LOct 8 · 04:50J. Mitas2.2591112111G. Poliniewicz1.5711414133LOct 8 · 03:40J. Mitas2.256690P. Jendrzejewski1.541111113WSep 30 · 00:35K. Rudomina3.40115681J. Mitas1.3041111113
P. Jendrzejewski10
WOct 8 · 13:25P. Jendrzejewski1.471211911123M. Rutkowski2.40144113102LOct 8 · 12:10G. Poliniewicz1.86131176113P. Jendrzejewski1.80118111182LOct 8 · 10:55K. Kapik1.9111119113P. Jendrzejewski1.80681171LOct 8 · 09:20J. Stecyszyn1.5171111113P. Jendrzejewski2.41115571WOct 8 · 07:40K. Wloczko1.508880P. Jendrzejewski2.401111113LOct 8 · 06:50D. Michna1.4211138113P. Jendrzejewski2.555111151WOct 8 · 06:00P. Jendrzejewski1.90111153113G. Poliniewicz1.8099111152LOct 8 · 04:25P. Jendrzejewski2.451512781J. Stecyszyn1.47171011113WOct 8 · 03:40J. Mitas2.256690P. Jendrzejewski1.541111113LOct 2 · 13:50P. Jendrzejewski1.901081171G. Poliniewicz1.8012118113
Upcoming Matches
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P. Jendrzejewski
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