TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Patryk Jendrzejewski vs Grzegorz Poliniewicz 1-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Oct 2Finished
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1012811118711––
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:44 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeGrzegorz Poliniewicz to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
78 points played in total.
Set by set
1012811118711––
H2H Patryk Jendrzejewski 2–3 Grzegorz Poliniewicz Patryk Jendrzejewski has won 2 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:4454.0%Our read55.6%to break even at 1.80
short by 1.6pp55.6% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.80 they are the same number)
What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Poliniewicz
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
2-3 in 5
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jendrzejewski 1702 vs Poliniewicz 1666
Jendrzejewski
Wrong
both rated, 36 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jendrzejewski 60% vs Poliniewicz 40%
Jendrzejewski
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jendrzejewski 70% vs Poliniewicz 40%
Jendrzejewski
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Jendrzejewski -1 · Poliniewicz -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Poliniewicz) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Poliniewicz form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJendrzejewski 1.90 / Poliniewicz 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Poliniewicz)-1.6pp (anti-value)
TT Elite Series · #13231349
Jendrzejewski1.90
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog42% won 61 of 146
Down 0–1, comes back21% 15 of 71
Down 0–2, comes back7% 3 of 43
Poliniewicz1.80
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite70% won 317 of 451
Up 2–0, closes it95% 144 of 151
Up 1–0, closes it83% 236 of 284
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeJendrzejewski2wins
AwayPoliniewicz3wins
3 of 5 to a deciderPoliniewicz leads 3–2, and 3 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJendrzejewski66.7%2 of 3
AwayPoliniewiczn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jendrzejewski3Poliniewicz2n = 5Jendrzejewski took 3 of 5
S2Jendrzejewski3Poliniewicz2n = 5Jendrzejewski took 3 of 5
S3Jendrzejewski1Poliniewicz4n = 5Poliniewicz took 4 of 5
S4Jendrzejewski3Poliniewicz2n = 5Jendrzejewski took 3 of 5
S5Jendrzejewski1Poliniewicz2n = 3Poliniewicz took 2 of 3
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home120%
3–2Decider, home120%
2–3Decider, away240%
1–3Four sets, away120%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 5 meetings
MetricJendrzejewskiPoliniewiczJ − PBasisWins23−1in 5 meetingsFirst set32+1of 5Avg pointsper match41.242.2−1.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJendrzejewskiPoliniewiczBasisWin rate · lifetime386 / 786 vs 1229 / 211549.1%58.1%386 / 786 vs 1229 / 2115Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.039.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
PoliniewiczJendrzejewski 1.90/Poliniewicz 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Poliniewicz · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Poliniewicz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
WSep 21 · 10:55P. Jendrzejewski4211119113G. Poliniewicz33871171
LSep 17 · 13:25P. Jendrzejewski4511871182G. Poliniewicz49911117113
WSep 16 · 09:20P. Jendrzejewski48118117113G. Poliniewicz3931191152
LSep 16 · 05:35P. Jendrzejewski4481161362G. Poliniewicz521181111113
LMar 14 · 13:50P. Jendrzejewski27511651G. Poliniewicz3811511113
P. Jendrzejewski10
LOct 2 · 12:35P. Jendrzejewski1.9068100K. Kapik1.801111123LOct 2 · 11:20P. Jendrzejewski1.657990K. Wisniewski2.051111113WOct 2 · 10:05D. Kosmal1.9511891182P. Jendrzejewski1.70611118113WOct 2 · 09:20P. Jendrzejewski1.701111113M. Rutkowski2.055430WOct 2 · 08:30P. Jendrzejewski1.8011913153K. Kapik1.8541111131LOct 2 · 06:50P. Jendrzejewski1.7511911592M. Rutkowski1.98911811113WOct 2 · 05:35P. Jendrzejewski1.85111198113K. Wisniewski1.8558111192WOct 2 · 04:00P. Jendrzejewski1.381215113J. Zochniak2.80101370LOct 2 · 03:00P. Jendrzejewski1.6011116892M. Kolek2.15771111113WOct 1 · 14:35J. Kwapis1.85351221P. Jendrzejewski1.85111110113
G. Poliniewicz10
LOct 2 · 13:00D. Kosmal2.1511117113G. Poliniewicz1.63881151WOct 2 · 12:10G. Poliniewicz2.051111133M. Rutkowski1.6588110LOct 2 · 10:30G. Poliniewicz1.80111101292K. Wisniewski1.914111210113LOct 2 · 09:45K. Kapik1.881161111113G. Poliniewicz1.8381181392WOct 2 · 08:30J. Kuzmicz1.7311581192G. Poliniewicz2.00911113113LOct 2 · 07:20G. Poliniewicz2.50781561K. Wloczko1.50111113113LOct 2 · 06:05M. Jadczyk1.251111113G. Poliniewicz3.756980LOct 2 · 04:55D. Michna1.3613613113G. Poliniewicz3.0011111191WOct 2 · 03:25J. Kwapis2.10611591G. Poliniewicz1.6711911113WOct 1 · 14:15G. Poliniewicz1.6212511123M. Kolek2.2010116101
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