TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Blazej Warpas vs Jakub Lamperski 1-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Oct 8Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
4119111191214––
Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 04:08 and never touched: 64.3% is still 64.3%
Graded at full timeJakub Lamperski to win
64.3%
64.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
81 points played in total.
Set by set
4119111191214––
H2H Blazej Warpas 1–1 Jakub Lamperski Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 04:0864.3%Our read67.1%to break even at 1.49
short by 2.8pp67.1% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.49 they are the same number)
What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.49 (62%)
Lamperski
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Warpas 1315 vs Lamperski 1522
Lamperski
Correct
both rated, 207 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Warpas 40% vs Lamperski 80%
Lamperski
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Warpas 50% vs Lamperski 80%
Lamperski
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Warpas -1 · Lamperski +3
Lamperski
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% · Clear lean (leans Lamperski) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lamperski form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWarpas 2.45 / Lamperski 1.49
Signal prob.36% / 64%
Edge (Lamperski)-2.8pp (anti-value)
TT Elite Series · #13262659
Warpas2.45
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog40% won 93 of 231
Down 0–1, comes back13% 18 of 134
Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 79
Lamperski1.49
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite81% won 25 of 31
Up 2–0, closes it100% 16 of 16
Up 1–0, closes it96% 22 of 23
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeWarpas1wins
AwayLamperski1wins
Level at 1–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricWarpasLamperskiW − LBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set20+2of 2Avg pointsper match34.034.5−0.5per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWarpasLamperskiBasisWin rate · lifetime440 / 857 vs 37 / 5551.3%67.3%440 / 857 vs 37 / 55Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.236.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
LamperskiWarpas 2.45/Lamperski 1.49
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64.3%
Lamperski · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Lamperski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LOct 7 · 04:55B. Warpas32117861J. Lamperski4181111113
WOct 6 · 07:20B. Warpas361311123J. Lamperski28117100
B. Warpas10
LOct 8 · 03:00B. Warpas1.427980B. Wisniewski2.601111113WOct 7 · 08:10B. Warpas1.601111113M. Lukaszewski2.157790LOct 7 · 06:30B. Wisniewski1.69111178113B. Warpas2.0687111162WOct 7 · 05:40K. Sulkowski2.151266101B. Warpas1.61101111123LOct 7 · 04:55B. Warpas2.25117861J. Lamperski1.5781111113LOct 7 · 03:50B. Warpas2.651171071B. Sulkowski1.4061112113LOct 6 · 08:35A. Sobel1.331111113B. Warpas3.108890WOct 6 · 07:20B. Warpas2.251311123J. Lamperski1.55117100WOct 6 · 06:05M. Lukaszewski2.5511990B. Warpas1.451311113WOct 6 · 04:55M. Kukawka1.9561160B. Warpas1.751113113
J. Lamperski10
WOct 8 · 03:25J. Lamperski1.72111110113M. Kukawka2.01571261WOct 7 · 08:35K. Sulkowski2.606490J. Lamperski1.441111113WOct 7 · 07:20J. Lamperski1.5715813113M. Lukaszewski2.2013111181LOct 7 · 06:05B. Sulkowski1.601411113J. Lamperski2.1012370WOct 7 · 04:55B. Warpas2.25117861J. Lamperski1.5781111113WOct 7 · 03:25B. Wisniewski—74110J. Lamperski—1111133WOct 6 · 08:10M. Kukawka1.75851191J. Lamperski1.9511117113LOct 6 · 07:20B. Warpas2.251311123J. Lamperski1.55117100WOct 6 · 05:15D. Wrobel3.0538111332J. Lamperski1.301111811113WOct 6 · 04:30M. Lukaszewski3.105550J. Lamperski1.321111113
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