TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Jakub Lamperski vs Milosz Kukawka 3-1 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Oct 8Finished
Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1151171012116––
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 03:24 and never touched: 55.8% is still 55.8%
Graded at full timeMilosz Kukawka to win
55.8%
55.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
73 points played in total.
Set by set
1151171012116––
H2H Jakub Lamperski 1–0 Milosz Kukawka Milosz Kukawka has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 03:2455.8%Our read49.8%to break even at 2.01
clears by 6.0pp49.8% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 2.01 they are the same number)
What took a side0 for · 4 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.72 (54%)
Lamperski
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Lamperski 1511 vs Kukawka 1415
Lamperski
Correct
both rated, 96 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lamperski 80% vs Kukawka 40%
Lamperski
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lamperski 80% vs Kukawka 50%
Lamperski
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Lamperski +2 · Kukawka -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% · Slight lean (leans Kukawka) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lamperski form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLamperski 1.72 / Kukawka 2.01
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Lamperski)-13.9pp (anti-value)
TT Elite Series · #13259076
Lamperski1.72
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite81% won 25 of 31
Up 2–0, closes it100% 16 of 16
Up 1–0, closes it96% 22 of 23
Kukawka2.01
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog51% won 51 of 100
Down 0–1, comes back33% 19 of 57
Down 0–2, comes back14% 4 of 29
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeLamperski1wins
AwayKukawka0wins
Lamperski leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricLamperskiKukawkaL − KBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match40.033.0+7.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLamperskiKukawkaBasisWin rate · lifetime36 / 54 vs 522 / 84466.7%61.9%36 / 54 vs 522 / 844Avg sets wonper match2.22.3per matchAvg pointsper match36.538.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
KukawkaLamperski 1.72/Kukawka 2.01
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55.8%
Kukawka · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Lamperski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WOct 6 · 08:10J. Lamperski4011117113M. Kukawka33851191
J. Lamperski10
WOct 8 · 04:10B. Warpas2.454911121J. Lamperski1.4911119143WOct 7 · 08:35K. Sulkowski2.606490J. Lamperski1.441111113WOct 7 · 07:20J. Lamperski1.5715813113M. Lukaszewski2.2013111181LOct 7 · 06:05B. Sulkowski1.601411113J. Lamperski2.1012370WOct 7 · 04:55B. Warpas2.25117861J. Lamperski1.5781111113WOct 7 · 03:25B. Wisniewski—74110J. Lamperski—1111133WOct 6 · 08:10M. Kukawka1.75851191J. Lamperski1.9511117113LOct 6 · 07:20B. Warpas2.251311123J. Lamperski1.55117100WOct 6 · 05:15D. Wrobel3.0538111332J. Lamperski1.301111811113WOct 6 · 04:30M. Lukaszewski3.105550J. Lamperski1.321111113
M. Kukawka10
LOct 7 · 14:20M. Kukawka1.85115761M. Minda1.8061111113WOct 7 · 12:40K. Sulkowski2.6051060M. Kukawka1.411112113WOct 7 · 11:50D. Solilo1.801211111152M. Kukawka1.85146813113LOct 7 · 11:00M. Kukawka2.251311771B. Czerwinski1.5715511113LOct 7 · 09:50M. Kukawka1.785117141R. Stapor1.9311911163LOct 6 · 08:10M. Kukawka1.75851191J. Lamperski1.9511117113WOct 6 · 06:30D. Wrobel1.6871112942M. Kukawka2.081151011113WOct 6 · 05:40A. Sobel2.136490M. Kukawka1.641111113LOct 6 · 04:55M. Kukawka1.9561160B. Warpas1.751113113WOct 6 · 03:50M. Kukawka1.271111113M. Lukaszewski3.306760
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