TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Vaclav Hejda Jr vs Ondrej Fiklik 3-1 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Oct 8Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
118119211118––
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:15 and never touched: 57.7% is still 57.7%
Graded at full timeOndrej Fiklik to win
57.7%
57.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingVaclav Hejda Jr above · Ondrej Fiklik below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 2-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 71 set 4, 11-8 · our read held Ondrej Fiklik at 57.7%
71 points played in total.
H2H Vaclav Hejda Jr 12–36 Ondrej Fiklik Vaclav Hejda Jr has won 12 of their 48 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:1557.7%Our read63.7%to break even at 1.571
short by 6.0pp63.7% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.571 they are the same number)
What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Fiklik
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
12-36 in 48
Fiklik
Wrong
gap of 24 in 48, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hejda Jr 1577 vs Fiklik 1511
Hejda Jr
Correct
both rated, 66 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hejda Jr 40% vs Fiklik 60%
Fiklik
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hejda Jr 50% vs Fiklik 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Hejda Jr -2 · Fiklik +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% · Slight lean (leans Fiklik) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHejda Jr 2.25 / Fiklik 1.571
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Fiklik)-6.0pp (anti-value)
TT Cup · #13261573
Hejda Jr2.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog49% won 91 of 187
Down 0–1, comes back28% 23 of 81
Down 0–2, comes back9% 3 of 32
Fiklik1.57
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite54% won 89 of 166
Up 2–0, closes it93% 41 of 44
Up 1–0, closes it72% 60 of 83
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHejda Jr5wins
AwayFiklik5wins
7 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 7 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHejda Jr80%4 of 5
AwayFiklik80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hejda Jr5Fiklik5n = 10split evenly
S2Hejda Jr7Fiklik3n = 10Hejda Jr took 7 of 10
S3Hejda Jr4Fiklik6n = 10Fiklik took 6 of 10
S4Hejda Jr7Fiklik3n = 10Hejda Jr took 7 of 10
S5Hejda Jr2Fiklik5n = 7Fiklik took 5 of 7
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away550%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricHejda JrFiklikH − FBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match43.045.3−2.3per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHejda JrFiklikBasisWin rate · lifetime381 / 776 vs 550 / 121149.1%45.4%381 / 776 vs 550 / 1211Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match39.337.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
FiklikHejda Jr 2.25/Fiklik 1.57
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
57.7%
Fiklik · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Hejda Jr won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WOct 8 · 08:25V. Hejda Jr3511112113O. Fiklik36891181
WOct 7 · 07:25V. Hejda Jr4111611133O. Fiklik387119111
WSep 30 · 07:25V. Hejda Jr4212811113O. Fiklik331011391
LSep 24 · 10:45V. Hejda Jr49811111092O. Fiklik49119612113
WSep 24 · 07:25V. Hejda Jr49115911133O. Fiklik49911117112
LSep 18 · 07:55V. Hejda Jr4411129932O. Fiklik507101111113
LSep 14 · 14:00V. Hejda Jr4491141192O. Fiklik46119114113
LSep 14 · 11:50V. Hejda Jr4331114782O. Fiklik521171211113
LSep 11 · 12:55V. Hejda Jr3571131132O. Fiklik50118119113
WSep 1 · 13:25V. Hejda Jr48511714113O. Fiklik50117111292
V. Hejda Jr10
LOct 8 · 06:55A. Langer1.911111612113V. Hejda Jr1.8044111442LOct 7 · 10:23J. Vonasek1.67951111113V. Hejda Jr2.1011115952WOct 7 · 08:55A. Langer2.25461191V. Hejda Jr1.5711119113LOct 7 · 08:25J. Vonasek1.613111110113V. Hejda Jr2.2011851292WOct 7 · 07:25V. Hejda Jr2.3811611133O. Fiklik1.537119111LSep 30 · 10:29A. Langer1.83101111113V. Hejda Jr1.83125471LSep 30 · 08:55A. Langer1.8311115113V. Hejda Jr1.83881161WSep 30 · 08:25J. Vonasek1.7391311111V. Hejda Jr2.0011158133WSep 30 · 07:25V. Hejda Jr2.6312811113O. Fiklik1.441011391WSep 29 · 13:18A. Langer2.0011119952V. Hejda Jr1.73661111113
O. Fiklik10
WOct 8 · 07:25O. Fiklik1.8311119113J. Vonasek1.83691171WOct 7 · 09:54O. Fiklik1.53941312113A. Langer2.381111111082LOct 7 · 09:25O. Fiklik1.8310480J. Vonasek1.831211113WOct 7 · 07:55A. Langer2.107150O. Fiklik1.671111113LOct 7 · 07:25V. Hejda Jr2.3811611133O. Fiklik1.537119111WOct 5 · 14:05A. Kral1.7311111612102O. Fiklik2.00851814123LOct 5 · 12:55O. Fiklik1.83611714102J. Vonasek1.831191112123LOct 5 · 11:55O. Fiklik1.5071161182M. Filipek2.50115116113LOct 5 · 10:55O. Fiklik1.578670A. Kral2.251111113LSep 30 · 07:25V. Hejda Jr2.6312811113O. Fiklik1.441011391
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