TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Ondrej Fiklik vs Ales Langer 3-2 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Oct 7Finished
Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
91141113111210118
Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 4
How it is goingOndrej Fiklik above · Ales Langer below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 13-11
Set 4 · 12-10
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 100 set 5, 11-8
100 points played in total.
H2H Ondrej Fiklik 24–16 Ales Langer Ales Langer has won 16 of their 40 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Fiklik beat Langer 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Langer form (20%) is below what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFiklik 1.533 / Langer 2.375
TT Cup · #13258443
Fiklik1.53
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As favourite54% won 88 of 164
Up 2–0, closes it93% 40 of 43
Up 1–0, closes it72% 59 of 82
Langer2.38
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 4
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog42% won 78 of 186
Down 0–1, comes back26% 26 of 102
Down 0–2, comes back6% 3 of 52
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeFiklik7wins
AwayLanger3wins
4 of 10 to a deciderFiklik leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeFiklik83.3%5 of 6
AwayLanger50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Fiklik6Langer4n = 10Fiklik took 6 of 10
S2Fiklik6Langer4n = 10Fiklik took 6 of 10
S3Fiklik8Langer2n = 10Fiklik took 8 of 10
S4Fiklik4Langer3n = 7Fiklik took 4 of 7
S5Fiklik2Langer2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricFiklikLangerF − LBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match39.935.0+4.9per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFiklikLangerBasisWin rate · lifetime550 / 1211 vs 268 / 57045.4%47%550 / 1211 vs 268 / 570Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.238.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
FiklikFiklik 1.53/Langer 2.38
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
—
no pick shipped on this market
What happened
3–2
Fiklik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WOct 7 · 07:55O. Fiklik331111113A. Langer137150
WOct 2 · 12:20O. Fiklik4061111123A. Langer351177101
LSep 30 · 07:55O. Fiklik36911791A. Langer4211911113
LSep 27 · 06:20O. Fiklik4111651182A. Langer50811119113
WSep 24 · 08:55O. Fiklik331111113A. Langer208390
WSep 21 · 10:15O. Fiklik50119118113A. Langer4581171182
WSep 21 · 07:55O. Fiklik3961111113A. Langer28113771
WSep 20 · 13:30O. Fiklik331111113A. Langer259880
LSep 20 · 10:20O. Fiklik47811111162A. Langer48111349113
WSep 18 · 09:25O. Fiklik47116118113A. Langer4481161182
O. Fiklik10
LOct 7 · 09:25O. Fiklik1.8310480J. Vonasek1.831211113WOct 7 · 07:55A. Langer2.107150O. Fiklik1.671111113LOct 7 · 07:25V. Hejda Jr2.3811611133O. Fiklik1.537119111WOct 5 · 14:05A. Kral1.7311111612102O. Fiklik2.00851814123LOct 5 · 12:55O. Fiklik1.83611714102J. Vonasek1.831191112123LOct 5 · 11:55O. Fiklik1.5071161182M. Filipek2.50115116113LOct 5 · 10:55O. Fiklik1.578670A. Kral2.251111113LOct 4 · 21:55A. Kosacky1.3611511113O. Fiklik3.00911581LOct 4 · 21:25O. Fiklik2.388150M. Brozek1.531111113LOct 4 · 19:55A. Kosacky1.3612911113O. Fiklik3.001011571
A. Langer10
LOct 7 · 08:55A. Langer2.25461191V. Hejda Jr1.5711119113LOct 7 · 07:55A. Langer2.107150O. Fiklik1.671111113LOct 7 · 06:55A. Langer2.63711681J. Vonasek1.4411711113LOct 6 · 13:55P. Benes1.331111123A. Langer2.9027100WOct 6 · 12:20A. Langer2.631111113J. Vonasek1.448980LOct 6 · 11:20A. Langer3.007111281P. Benes1.3611714113LOct 6 · 10:20A. Langer2.7510111091M. Brozek1.4012912113LOct 4 · 09:34A. Langer1.735116101P. Rissky2.0011911123LOct 4 · 08:20A. Langer2.2098111492M. Sulc1.611111612113WOct 4 · 07:20A. Langer2.00111110113P. Rissky1.73751231
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