TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Andrii Sydorenko 1979 vs Hennadii Buianover 3-1 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 8Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
117119511117––
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:50 and never touched: 74.7% is still 74.7%
Graded at full timeAndrii Sydorenko 1979 to win
74.7%
74.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingAndrii Sydorenko 1979 above · Hennadii Buianover below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 72 set 4, 11-7 · our read held Andrii Sydorenko 1979 at 74.7%
72 points played in total.
H2H Andrii Sydorenko 1979 69–15 Hennadii Buianover Hennadii Buianover has won 15 of their 84 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:5074.7%Our read76.9%to break even at 1.30
short by 2.2pp76.9% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.30 they are the same number)
What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.30 (72%)
Sydorenko
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
69-15 in 84
Sydorenko
Correct
gap of 54 in 84, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sydorenko 1343 vs Buianover 1210
Sydorenko
Correct
both rated, 133 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sydorenko 60% vs Buianover 20%
Sydorenko
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sydorenko 50% vs Buianover 30%
Sydorenko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sydorenko +3 · Buianover +1
Sydorenko
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 75% · Strong (leans Sydorenko) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sydorenko form (60%) is below what odds imply (77%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSydorenko 1.30 / Buianover 3.40
Signal prob.75% / 25%
Edge (Sydorenko)-2.2pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13260940
Sydorenko1.30
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite71% won 94 of 132
Up 2–0, closes it98% 39 of 40
Up 1–0, closes it82% 60 of 73
Buianover3.40
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog34% won 47 of 139
Down 0–1, comes back12% 9 of 78
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 54
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSydorenko8wins
AwayBuianover2wins
4 of 10 to a deciderSydorenko leads 8–2, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSydorenko100%7 of 7
AwayBuianover66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sydorenko7Buianover3n = 10Sydorenko took 7 of 10
S2Sydorenko6Buianover4n = 10Sydorenko took 6 of 10
S3Sydorenko4Buianover6n = 10Buianover took 6 of 10
S4Sydorenko5Buianover4n = 9Sydorenko took 5 of 9
S5Sydorenko4Buianover0n = 4Sydorenko took 4 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSydorenkoBuianoverS − BBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match41.040.0+1.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSydorenkoBuianoverBasisWin rate · lifetime209 / 320 vs 159 / 39365.3%40.5%209 / 320 vs 159 / 393Avg sets wonper match2.31.8per matchAvg pointsper match38.535.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
SydorenkoSydorenko 1.30/Buianover 3.40
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
74.7%
Sydorenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Sydorenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 22 · 14:05A. Sydorenko408911121H. Buianover4311117143
WSep 16 · 17:05A. Sydorenko44122811113H. Buianover45101111942
WSep 9 · 17:35A. Sydorenko48911116113H. Buianover4711881192
WSep 2 · 14:05A. Sydorenko3711113123H. Buianover349411101
LSep 1 · 18:05A. Sydorenko25211661H. Buianover4011711113
WAug 27 · 17:05A. Sydorenko46129311113H. Buianover49101111892
WAug 12 · 13:35A. Sydorenko4311129113H. Buianover327101141
WAug 9 · 17:35A. Sydorenko4211812113H. Buianover369111061
WAug 5 · 17:35A. Sydorenko341211113H. Buianover2710980
WJul 28 · 18:35A. Sydorenko51121297113H. Buianover471010111152
A. Sydorenko10
WOct 8 · 13:05A. Sydorenko1.301111113M. Karelov3.407970WSep 22 · 18:35A. Sydorenko1.50111911113V. Lukianevych2.5081111592WSep 22 · 17:05A. Sydorenko1.2211411113M. Karelov4.00711951LSep 22 · 15:35A. Sydorenko1.5771090V. Reva2.251112113LSep 22 · 14:05A. Sydorenko1.288911121H. Buianover3.5011117143LSep 22 · 12:35A. Sydorenko3.758820R. Serhyenko1.251111113WSep 16 · 17:05A. Sydorenko1.28122811113H. Buianover3.50101111942LSep 16 · 15:35A. Sydorenko1.61111014482V. Reva2.205121211113WSep 16 · 14:05A. Sydorenko1.251111143M. Karelov3.7577120LSep 16 · 12:35A. Sydorenko2.631110861V. Leonov1.4441211113
H. Buianover10
WOct 8 · 13:35H. Buianover2.201110117113V. Reva1.6151241142LOct 5 · 19:35A. Azarov1.4491111113H. Buianover2.63112831LOct 5 · 18:05H. Buianover3.004970R. Serhyenko1.361111113LOct 5 · 16:05V. Reva1.7361111113H. Buianover2.00115661LOct 5 · 14:05M. Karelov1.9151111113H. Buianover1.80118451WOct 5 · 13:05V. Lukianevych1.5795110H. Buianover2.251111133LOct 1 · 19:35H. Buianover2.25101111992A. Azarov1.57128411113LOct 1 · 17:35V. Leonov1.28111165123H. Buianover3.50741111102WSep 22 · 14:05A. Sydorenko1.288911121H. Buianover3.5011117143LSep 16 · 17:05A. Sydorenko1.28122811113H. Buianover3.50101111942
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.