TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Karol Sulkowski vs Milosz Kukawka 0-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Oct 7Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
5111012611––––
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:33 and never touched: 66.0% is still 66.0%
Graded at full timeMilosz Kukawka to win
66.0%
66.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
55 points played in total.
Set by set
5111012611––––
H2H Karol Sulkowski 7–9 Milosz Kukawka Karol Sulkowski has won 7 of their 16 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:3366.0%Our read70.9%to break even at 1.41
short by 4.9pp70.9% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.41 they are the same number)
What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.41 (65%)
Kukawka
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
7-9 in 16
Kukawka
Correct
gap of 2 in 16, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sulkowski 1309 vs Kukawka 1418
Kukawka
Correct
both rated, 109 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sulkowski 40% vs Kukawka 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sulkowski 50% vs Kukawka 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Sulkowski +1 · Kukawka +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% · Clear lean (leans Kukawka) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kukawka form (40%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSulkowski 2.60 / Kukawka 1.41
Signal prob.34% / 66%
Edge (Kukawka)-4.9pp (anti-value)
TT Elite Series · #13259135
Sulkowski2.60
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog36% won 136 of 383
Down 0–1, comes back15% 36 of 234
Down 0–2, comes back1% 1 of 128
Kukawka1.41
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite63% won 236 of 372
Up 2–0, closes it98% 124 of 127
Up 1–0, closes it84% 194 of 231
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSulkowski4wins
AwayKukawka6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderKukawka leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSulkowski33.3%1 of 3
AwayKukawka57.1%4 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sulkowski3Kukawka7n = 10Kukawka took 7 of 10
S2Sulkowski4Kukawka6n = 10Kukawka took 6 of 10
S3Sulkowski5Kukawka5n = 10split evenly
S4Sulkowski7Kukawka2n = 9Sulkowski took 7 of 9
S5Sulkowski1Kukawka3n = 4Kukawka took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSulkowskiKukawkaS − KBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match39.339.7−0.4per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSulkowskiKukawkaBasisWin rate · lifetime657 / 1335 vs 521 / 84249.2%61.9%657 / 1335 vs 521 / 842Avg sets wonper match2.02.3per matchAvg pointsper match37.838.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
KukawkaSulkowski 2.60/Kukawka 1.41
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66%
Kukawka · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Kukawka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WOct 4 · 19:40K. Sulkowski4181111113M. Kukawka26113571
LOct 1 · 08:10K. Sulkowski4786131282M. Kukawka5411111110113
LSep 30 · 07:20K. Sulkowski228770M. Kukawka331111113
WJun 28 · 11:45K. Sulkowski44711411113M. Kukawka4211711492
LJun 27 · 10:55K. Sulkowski357111251M. Kukawka45111310113
LJun 14 · 01:30K. Sulkowski3811741152M. Kukawka41411114113
WJun 13 · 23:00K. Sulkowski45121111113M. Kukawka33146491
LJun 13 · 16:40K. Sulkowski4212791132M. Kukawka491011116113
LJun 1 · 19:05K. Sulkowski37613991M. Kukawka44111111113
WMay 20 · 05:50K. Sulkowski4211911113M. Kukawka30711661
K. Sulkowski10
WOct 7 · 11:25K. Sulkowski2.6011311113M. Minda1.44611871LOct 7 · 10:10D. Solilo2.22511811113K. Sulkowski1.5911711462WOct 7 · 09:25K. Sulkowski3.1511115113B. Czerwinski1.30971181LOct 7 · 08:35K. Sulkowski2.606490J. Lamperski1.441111113LOct 7 · 06:55K. Sulkowski3.056970B. Sulkowski1.331111113LOct 7 · 05:40K. Sulkowski2.151266101B. Warpas1.61101111123LOct 7 · 04:10K. Sulkowski1.8511811882B. Wisniewski1.80711911113WOct 7 · 03:00K. Sulkowski1.7011511113M. Lukaszewski2.00811861WOct 6 · 00:10B. Kwodawski1.7581111972K. Sulkowski1.98114511113WOct 5 · 23:45K. Sulkowski1.65114812113J. Przewlocki2.10711111072
M. Kukawka10
WOct 7 · 11:50D. Solilo1.801211111152M. Kukawka1.85146813113LOct 7 · 11:00M. Kukawka2.251311771B. Czerwinski1.5715511113LOct 7 · 09:50M. Kukawka1.785117141R. Stapor1.9311911163LOct 6 · 08:10M. Kukawka1.75851191J. Lamperski1.9511117113WOct 6 · 06:30D. Wrobel1.6871112942M. Kukawka2.081151011113WOct 6 · 05:40A. Sobel2.136490M. Kukawka1.641111113LOct 6 · 04:55M. Kukawka1.9561160B. Warpas1.751113113WOct 6 · 03:50M. Kukawka1.271111113M. Lukaszewski3.306760WOct 5 · 00:35M. Kukawka2.201111113J. Nadolny1.613590LOct 4 · 23:45B. Sulkowski2.1011611113M. Kukawka1.67311791
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