TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Ales Drozd vs Miroslav Kliment 3-2 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Oct 7Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
13115111214119117
Miroslav Kliment
Away
3.75
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:30 and never touched: 75.0% is still 75.0%
Graded at full timeAles Drozd to win
75.0%
75.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingAles Drozd above · Miroslav Kliment below
Set 1 · 13-11
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 12-14
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 11-7
Point 104 set 5, 11-7 · our read held Ales Drozd at 75.0%
104 points played in total.
H2H Ales Drozd 2–0 Miroslav Kliment Miroslav Kliment has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:3075.0%Our read80.0%to break even at 1.25
short by 5.0pp80.0% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.25 they are the same number)
What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.25 (75%)
Drozd
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
2-0 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Drozd 1476 vs Kliment 1231
Drozd
Correct
both rated, 245 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Drozd 80% vs Kliment 20%
Drozd
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Drozd 60% vs Kliment 20%
Drozd
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Drozd +4 · Kliment -4
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 75% · Strong (leans Drozd) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDrozd 1.25 / Kliment 3.75
Signal prob.75% / 25%
Edge (Drozd)-5.0pp (anti-value)
TT Cup · #13256658
Drozd1.25
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 8 days ago (Sep 29) · back after a break
Won last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite57% won 52 of 92
Up 2–0, closes it94% 29 of 31
Up 1–0, closes it72% 38 of 53
Kliment3.75
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 8 days ago (Sep 29) · back after a break
Lost last 4
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog20% won 3 of 15
Down 0–1, comes back20% 1 of 5
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeDrozd2wins
AwayKliment0wins
1 of 2 to a deciderDrozd leads 2–0, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricDrozdKlimentD − KBasisWins20+2in 2 meetingsFirst set02−2of 2Avg pointsper match44.034.5+9.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDrozdKlimentBasisWin rate · lifetime148 / 287 vs 3 / 1551.6%20%148 / 287 vs 3 / 15Avg sets wonper match2.11.7per matchAvg pointsper match38.736.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
DrozdDrozd 1.25/Kliment 3.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
75%
Drozd · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Drozd won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WSep 29 · 11:45A. Drozd48691111113M. Kliment4111118382
WSep 21 · 10:10A. Drozd4071111113M. Kliment28113771
A. Drozd10
WOct 7 · 11:40A. Drozd1.91911118113M. Lorenc1.8011871152LOct 7 · 10:40A. Drozd1.44116711112J. Sindler2.63511118133WSep 29 · 13:14A. Drozd1.7311116113O. Vaclahovsky2.00831161WSep 29 · 11:45A. Drozd1.40691111113M. Kliment2.7511118382WSep 29 · 10:45A. Drozd1.731111113J. Sindler2.008680WSep 29 · 09:45A. Drozd1.806111011113O. Vaclahovsky1.9111512682LSep 25 · 12:49M. Janik1.915111111113A. Drozd1.8011481392LSep 25 · 11:45A. Drozd1.67571151O. Skvor2.1011117113WSep 25 · 10:45A. Drozd2.0091115113M. Janik1.731181371LSep 25 · 09:45A. Drozd1.611221071T. Ogrocki2.20101112113
M. Kliment10
WOct 7 · 12:40M. Lorenc1.28641191M. Kliment3.5011116113WOct 7 · 12:10J. Sindler1.2546100M. Kliment3.751111123LOct 7 · 11:10M. Kliment2.50911101162M. Lorenc1.50119129113LSep 29 · 12:45J. Sindler1.4061111113M. Kliment2.75118631LSep 29 · 11:45A. Drozd1.40691111113M. Kliment2.7511118382LSep 29 · 11:15O. Vaclahovsky1.7391111113M. Kliment2.00113911LSep 29 · 10:15M. Kliment2.00711661J. Sindler1.7311911113WSep 21 · 12:38P. Jokiel1.25129118112M. Kliment3.751011911133LSep 21 · 12:10M. Kliment3.40391161P. Jokiel1.3011117113LSep 21 · 10:40O. Skvor1.53911711113M. Kliment2.3811711882
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