TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Michal Lysakowski vs Jakub Chojnacki · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Oct 6No result
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
No score. The match was not completed
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
H2H Michal Lysakowski 3–2 Jakub Chojnacki Jakub Chojnacki has won 2 of their 5 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 4h before this match
Lysakowski beat Chojnacki 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLysakowski 1.34 / Chojnacki 3.00
TT Cup · #13254360
Lysakowski1.34
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite57% won 197 of 346
Up 2–0, closes it94% 122 of 130
Up 1–0, closes it78% 165 of 212
Chojnacki3.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog39% won 11 of 28
Down 0–1, comes back13% 2 of 16
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeLysakowski3wins
AwayChojnacki2wins
1 of 5 to a deciderLysakowski leads 3–2, and 1 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLysakowskin = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayChojnacki66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lysakowski2Chojnacki3n = 5Chojnacki took 3 of 5
S2Lysakowski3Chojnacki2n = 5Lysakowski took 3 of 5
S3Lysakowski3Chojnacki2n = 5Lysakowski took 3 of 5
S4Lysakowski2Chojnacki3n = 5Chojnacki took 3 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home240%
3–2Decider, home120%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away240%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 5 meetings
MetricLysakowskiChojnackiL − CBasisWins32+1in 5 meetingsFirst set23−1of 5Avg pointsper match42.437.4+5.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLysakowskiChojnackiBasisWin rate · lifetime663 / 1328 vs 18 / 4149.9%43.9%663 / 1328 vs 18 / 41Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.238.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
Lysakowski 1.34/Chojnacki 3.00
Not settled
What we said
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What happened
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Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
WOct 6 · 09:30M. Lysakowski3911611113J. Chojnacki33911761
WOct 3 · 12:05M. Lysakowski51911119113J. Chojnacki4111661172
LOct 2 · 10:30M. Lysakowski4271111131J. Chojnacki4711813153
WSep 29 · 10:00M. Lysakowski43111110113J. Chojnacki31461291
LSep 28 · 12:00M. Lysakowski37981191J. Chojnacki3511112113
M. Lysakowski10
LOct 6 · 11:00M. Lysakowski1.46111510882S. Radlo2.505131211113WOct 6 · 09:30M. Lysakowski1.3711611113J. Chojnacki2.87911761WOct 6 · 08:00M. Lysakowski1.391211113M. Burkacki2.8010880LOct 6 · 06:30M. Lysakowski2.00144561P. Gola1.70121111113LOct 6 · 05:00M. Lysakowski2.10129741M. Galus1.65101111113WOct 4 · 22:35M. Burkacki—8690M. Lysakowski—1111113LOct 4 · 21:35M. Lysakowski1.5899111192S. Radlo2.25111126113LOct 4 · 19:35B. Molka2.5511115113M. Lysakowski1.44781191LOct 4 · 18:35M. Lysakowski1.548911121J. Masternak2.2511118143LOct 4 · 17:35M. Burkacki2.4581111113M. Lysakowski1.49117791
J. Chojnacki10
WOct 6 · 11:30J. Chojnacki1.3811115113M. Galus2.81991181LOct 6 · 09:30M. Lysakowski1.3711611113J. Chojnacki2.87911761LOct 6 · 08:30J. Chojnacki2.85611781P. Gola1.3611811113LOct 6 · 07:30S. Radlo1.4113158113J. Chojnacki2.7011131191WOct 6 · 06:00J. Chojnacki2.401111113M. Burkacki1.512670WOct 5 · 13:10P. Gola1.3611691162J. Chojnacki2.90711118113LOct 5 · 12:00S. Wloszek1.4641117143J. Chojnacki2.5511915121WOct 5 · 10:30J. Chojnacki3.1012711113S. Radlo1.331011991LOct 5 · 08:30M. Galus1.281111118113J. Chojnacki3.4047131172LOct 5 · 06:30D. Stapor1.281111113J. Chojnacki3.409860
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