TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Volodymyr Hainiuk vs Viktor Sharpai 3-2 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 6Finished
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 5
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
711117611111119
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:06 and never touched: 58.1% is still 58.1%
Graded at full timeViktor Sharpai to win
58.1%
58.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingVolodymyr Hainiuk above · Viktor Sharpai below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 11-1
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 85 set 5, 11-9 · our read held Viktor Sharpai at 58.1%
85 points played in total.
H2H Volodymyr Hainiuk 13–18 Viktor Sharpai Volodymyr Hainiuk has won 13 of their 31 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:0658.1%Our read61.9%to break even at 1.615
short by 3.8pp61.9% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.615 they are the same number)
What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Sharpai
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
13-18 in 31
Sharpai
Wrong
gap of 5 in 31, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hainiuk 1372 vs Sharpai 1383
Sharpai
Wrong
both rated, 11 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hainiuk 0% vs Sharpai 20%
Sharpai
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hainiuk 30% vs Sharpai 30%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Hainiuk -5 · Sharpai +1
Hainiuk
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% · Slight lean (leans Sharpai) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sharpai form (20%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHainiuk 2.20 / Sharpai 1.615
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Sharpai)-3.8pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13251650
Hainiuk2.20
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 5
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog35% won 48 of 136
Down 0–1, comes back18% 14 of 80
Down 0–2, comes back6% 3 of 49
Sharpai1.61
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite54% won 64 of 119
Up 2–0, closes it92% 35 of 38
Up 1–0, closes it70% 50 of 71
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHainiuk5wins
AwaySharpai5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHainiuk100%3 of 3
AwaySharpai71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hainiuk3Sharpai7n = 10Sharpai took 7 of 10
S2Hainiuk4Sharpai6n = 10Sharpai took 6 of 10
S3Hainiuk6Sharpai4n = 10Hainiuk took 6 of 10
S4Hainiuk4Sharpai2n = 6Hainiuk took 4 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricHainiukSharpaiH − SBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match36.736.5+0.2per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHainiukSharpaiBasisWin rate · lifetime361 / 672 vs 238 / 52053.7%45.8%361 / 672 vs 238 / 520Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.837.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
SharpaiHainiuk 2.20/Sharpai 1.61
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.1%
Sharpai · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Hainiuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 29 · 13:35V. Hainiuk56312127223V. Sharpai6211101011202
LSep 28 · 15:35V. Hainiuk49101191182V. Sharpai45126115113
LSep 22 · 18:25V. Hainiuk209650V. Sharpai331111113
WSep 21 · 17:35V. Hainiuk3611311113V. Sharpai22611231
LSep 17 · 15:25V. Hainiuk33119130V. Sharpai391311153
WSep 14 · 13:35V. Hainiuk351113113V. Sharpai2271140
LSep 7 · 14:35V. Hainiuk23310100V. Sharpai351112123
LSep 1 · 15:25V. Hainiuk33971161V. Sharpai4011117113
WAug 31 · 15:35V. Hainiuk4211911113V. Sharpai30311881
WAug 24 · 17:35V. Hainiuk4061211113V. Sharpai371110881
V. Hainiuk10
LOct 6 · 14:25A. Lifanov1.401111113V. Hainiuk2.757420LOct 5 · 20:25V. Hainiuk2.107111371I. Yelfimov1.6711615113LOct 5 · 18:25A. Yakovenko1.611101111113V. Hainiuk2.2011124962LOct 5 · 16:25O. Korobov1.6191111113V. Hainiuk2.20116991LOct 5 · 15:25V. Hainiuk2.38116961V. Kaganovych1.5361111113WOct 5 · 14:25V. Chumak1.67117341V. Hainiuk2.1081111113LSep 29 · 19:35V. Hainiuk2.2099111592I. Yelfimov1.611111613113LSep 29 · 17:35V. Kaganovych1.501011117113V. Hainiuk2.5012751172WSep 29 · 15:35A. Lifanov1.3671111942V. Hainiuk3.00117211113WSep 29 · 14:35V. Hainiuk1.501111133V. Sydorenko2.5058110
V. Sharpai10
WOct 6 · 13:25V. Kaganovych2.251156101V. Sharpai1.5781111123LSep 30 · 18:35V. Sharpai2.505780I. Yelfimov1.501111113LSep 30 · 17:05V. Sharpai1.8061111972A. Yakovenko1.91119611113LSep 30 · 15:35V. Sharpai1.67811361V. Chumak2.1011911113LSep 30 · 14:05V. Sharpai1.4091470D. Boltenkov2.751116113LSep 30 · 12:35V. Sharpai1.57117751V. Slabyshev2.2541111113WSep 29 · 19:05V. Sharpai1.251110119113V. Sydorenko3.7551281142LSep 29 · 17:05A. Lifanov1.80711117113V. Sharpai1.9111581192LSep 29 · 16:05V. Sharpai2.007970I. Yelfimov1.731111113WSep 29 · 15:05V. Kaganovych2.25861141V. Sharpai1.5711114113
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