TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Viktor Sharpai vs Anton Yakovenko 2-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 30Finished
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
611119116911711
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:01 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeAnton Yakovenko to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingViktor Sharpai above · Anton Yakovenko below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 7-11
Point 92 set 5, 7-11 · our read held Anton Yakovenko at 54.0%
92 points played in total.
H2H Viktor Sharpai 5–2 Anton Yakovenko Anton Yakovenko has won 2 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:0154.0%Our read52.4%to break even at 1.909
clears by 1.6pp52.4% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.909 they are the same number)
What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Sharpai
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
5-2 in 7
Sharpai
Wrong
gap of 3 in 7, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sharpai 1386 vs Yakovenko 1472
Yakovenko
Correct
both rated, 86 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sharpai 20% vs Yakovenko 80%
Yakovenko
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sharpai 30% vs Yakovenko 70%
Yakovenko
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sharpai -3 · Yakovenko +1
Sharpai
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Yakovenko) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Yakovenko form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSharpai 1.80 / Yakovenko 1.909
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Yakovenko)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13219003
Sharpai1.80
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite56% won 64 of 115
Up 2–0, closes it92% 35 of 38
Up 1–0, closes it71% 50 of 70
Yakovenko1.91
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog40% won 61 of 153
Down 0–1, comes back23% 20 of 89
Down 0–2, comes back9% 5 of 55
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeSharpai5wins
AwayYakovenko2wins
2 of 7 to a deciderSharpai leads 5–2, and 2 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSharpai100%5 of 5
AwayYakovenkon = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sharpai5Yakovenko2n = 7Sharpai took 5 of 7
S2Sharpai4Yakovenko3n = 7Sharpai took 4 of 7
S3Sharpai4Yakovenko3n = 7Sharpai took 4 of 7
S4Sharpai2Yakovenko1n = 3Sharpai took 2 of 3
S5
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home229%
3–1Four sets, home229%
3–2Decider, home114%
2–3Decider, away114%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away114%
These 7 meetings
MetricSharpaiYakovenkoS − YBasisWins52+3in 7 meetingsFirst set52+3of 7Avg pointsper match39.235.0+4.2per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSharpaiYakovenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime242 / 530 vs 229 / 46045.7%49.8%242 / 530 vs 229 / 460Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.937.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
YakovenkoSharpai 1.80/Yakovenko 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Yakovenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Yakovenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
LSep 22 · 15:55V. Sharpai4259111162A. Yakovenko49111197113
LAug 19 · 13:25V. Sharpai2981380A. Yakovenko371115113
WAug 12 · 17:25V. Sharpai5511111210113A. Yakovenko51813101282
WMar 18 · 18:05V. Sharpai4111118113A. Yakovenko30681151
WMar 17 · 18:25V. Sharpai331111113A. Yakovenko174580
WFeb 24 · 20:25V. Sharpai351211123A. Yakovenko26106100
V. Sharpai10
LSep 30 · 15:35V. Sharpai1.67811361V. Chumak2.1011911113LSep 30 · 14:05V. Sharpai1.4091470D. Boltenkov2.751116113LSep 30 · 12:35V. Sharpai1.57117751V. Slabyshev2.2541111113WSep 29 · 19:05V. Sharpai1.251110119113V. Sydorenko3.7551281142LSep 29 · 17:05A. Lifanov1.80711117113V. Sharpai1.9111581192LSep 29 · 16:05V. Sharpai2.007970I. Yelfimov1.731111113WSep 29 · 15:05V. Kaganovych2.25861141V. Sharpai1.5711114113LSep 29 · 13:35V. Sharpai1.5311101011202V. Hainiuk2.38312127223LSep 28 · 18:35V. Sharpai2.3810115171O. Korobov1.5312711193WSep 28 · 17:05V. Sharpai2.10111012113A. Lifanov1.679121091
A. Yakovenko10
WSep 30 · 16:05A. Yakovenko1.611111113D. Boltenkov2.207980LSep 30 · 15:05I. Yelfimov2.20111486113A. Yakovenko1.61312111132WSep 30 · 13:35A. Yakovenko1.4411712113V. Chumak2.639111081WSep 22 · 19:55A. Yakovenko2.20111197113A. Lifanov1.6186111152WSep 22 · 17:55V. Kaganovych2.1011861262A. Yakovenko1.676111110113LSep 22 · 16:55A. Yakovenko1.4411981162I. Yelfimov2.63911119113WSep 22 · 15:55V. Sharpai1.7359111162A. Yakovenko2.00111197113WSep 22 · 14:25A. Yakovenko1.6711511113V. Hainiuk2.10811961LSep 15 · 19:05A. Yakovenko1.808490A. Lifanov1.911111113WSep 15 · 17:05V. Kaganovych2.003880A. Yakovenko1.731111113
Upcoming Matches
V. Sharpai
Nothing scheduled
A. Yakovenko
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