TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Viktor Sharpai vs Ivan Yelfimov 0-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 30Finished
Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 4
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
511711811––––
Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:06 and never touched: 58.6% is still 58.6%
Graded at full timeIvan Yelfimov to win
58.6%
58.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
RightSent to Pro: Ivan Yelfimov @ 1.67 · Won
How it is goingViktor Sharpai above · Ivan Yelfimov below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 53 set 3, 8-11 · our read held Ivan Yelfimov at 58.6%
53 points played in total.
H2H Viktor Sharpai 1–2 Ivan Yelfimov Viktor Sharpai has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 17:0658.6%Our read66.7%to break even at 1.50
short by 8.1pp66.7% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.50 they are the same number)
What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Yelfimov
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
1-2 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sharpai 1378 vs Yelfimov 1524
Yelfimov
Correct
both rated, 146 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sharpai 20% vs Yelfimov 80%
Yelfimov
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sharpai 20% vs Yelfimov 80%
Yelfimov
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sharpai -4 · Yelfimov -1
Sharpai
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent, and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 59% · Slight lean (leans Yelfimov) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Yelfimov form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSharpai 2.50 / Yelfimov 1.50
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Yelfimov)-8.1pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13219146
Sharpai2.50
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog29% won 8 of 28
Down 0–1, comes back16% 3 of 19
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 10
Yelfimov1.50
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As favourite75% won 9 of 12
Up 2–0, closes it88% 7 of 8
Up 1–0, closes it82% 9 of 11
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeSharpai1wins
AwayYelfimov2wins
Yelfimov leads 2–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sharpai1Yelfimov2n = 3Yelfimov took 2 of 3
S2Sharpai1Yelfimov2n = 3Yelfimov took 2 of 3
S3Sharpai0Yelfimov3n = 3Yelfimov took 3 of 3
S4
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away267%
These 3 meetings
MetricSharpaiYelfimovS − YBasisWins12−1in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match29.034.0−5.0per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSharpaiYelfimovBasisWin rate · lifetime242 / 530 vs 19 / 2945.7%65.5%242 / 530 vs 19 / 29Avg sets wonper match2.02.5per matchAvg pointsper match37.938.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
YelfimovSharpai 2.50/Yelfimov 1.50
Hit
What we said
58.6%
Yelfimov · sealed before the serve
Sent to Pro: Ivan Yelfimov @ 1.67 · Won
What happened
0–3
Yelfimov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LSep 29 · 16:05V. Sharpai237970I. Yelfimov331111113
LSep 22 · 13:55V. Sharpai2356120I. Yelfimov361111143
WSep 21 · 18:35V. Sharpai4113116113I. Yelfimov331151161
V. Sharpai10
LSep 30 · 17:05V. Sharpai1.8061111972A. Yakovenko1.91119611113LSep 30 · 15:35V. Sharpai1.67811361V. Chumak2.1011911113LSep 30 · 14:05V. Sharpai1.4091470D. Boltenkov2.751116113LSep 30 · 12:35V. Sharpai1.57117751V. Slabyshev2.2541111113WSep 29 · 19:05V. Sharpai1.251110119113V. Sydorenko3.7551281142LSep 29 · 17:05A. Lifanov1.80711117113V. Sharpai1.9111581192LSep 29 · 16:05V. Sharpai2.007970I. Yelfimov1.731111113WSep 29 · 15:05V. Kaganovych2.25861141V. Sharpai1.5711114113LSep 29 · 13:35V. Sharpai1.5311101011202V. Hainiuk2.38312127223LSep 28 · 18:35V. Sharpai2.3810115171O. Korobov1.5312711193
I. Yelfimov10
LSep 30 · 17:35I. Yelfimov2.2511513562V. Chumak1.572111111113WSep 30 · 16:35I. Yelfimov1.5711411113V. Slabyshev2.25611741WSep 30 · 15:05I. Yelfimov2.20111486113A. Yakovenko1.61312111132WSep 30 · 13:05I. Yelfimov1.4411511113D. Boltenkov2.63911891WSep 29 · 19:35V. Hainiuk2.2099111592I. Yelfimov1.611111613113WSep 29 · 18:05I. Yelfimov1.501112113V. Sydorenko2.5091060WSep 29 · 16:05V. Sharpai2.007970I. Yelfimov1.731111113LSep 29 · 14:05A. Lifanov1.5011115113I. Yelfimov2.50691151WSep 29 · 13:05V. Kaganovych1.67101181162I. Yelfimov2.10123119113WSep 23 · 20:25Y. Bielokon2.6348130I. Yelfimov1.441111153
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