TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Ruslan Serhyenko vs Vadym Slabyshev 2-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 6Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 4
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
119114911911411
Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 6
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:31 and never touched: 67.3% is still 67.3%
Graded at full timeVadym Slabyshev to win
67.3%
67.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingRuslan Serhyenko above · Vadym Slabyshev below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 4-11
Point 90 set 5, 4-11 · our read held Vadym Slabyshev at 67.3%
90 points played in total.
H2H Ruslan Serhyenko 0–1 Vadym Slabyshev Ruslan Serhyenko has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:3167.3%Our read69.3%to break even at 1.444
short by 2.0pp69.3% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.444 they are the same number)
What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Slabyshev
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Serhyenko 1214 vs Slabyshev 1521
Slabyshev
Correct
both rated, 307 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Serhyenko 20% vs Slabyshev 100%
Slabyshev
Correct
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Serhyenko 50% vs Slabyshev 90%
Slabyshev
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Serhyenko -4 · Slabyshev +6
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% · Clear lean (leans Slabyshev) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Slabyshev form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSerhyenko 2.625 / Slabyshev 1.444
Signal prob.33% / 67%
Edge (Slabyshev)-2.0pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13251224
Serhyenko2.63
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog35% won 60 of 172
Down 0–1, comes back23% 22 of 94
Down 0–2, comes back13% 8 of 60
Slabyshev1.44
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 6
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite90% won 9 of 10
Up 2–0, closes it100% 6 of 6
Up 1–0, closes it88% 7 of 8
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeSerhyenko0wins
AwaySlabyshev1wins
1 of 1 to a deciderSlabyshev leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricSerhyenkoSlabyshevSerhyenko − SlabyshevBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match44.046.0−2.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSerhyenkoSlabyshevBasisWin rate · lifetime253 / 573 vs 21 / 3444.2%61.8%253 / 573 vs 21 / 34Avg sets wonper match1.92.2per matchAvg pointsper match36.637.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
SlabyshevSerhyenko 2.63/Slabyshev 1.44
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
67.3%
Slabyshev · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Slabyshev won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LOct 6 · 17:35R. Serhyenko4411119942V. Slabyshev46941111113
R. Serhyenko10
LOct 6 · 18:35V. Sydorenko1.501111113R. Serhyenko2.505970LOct 6 · 16:35R. Serhyenko1.61101070A. Azarov2.201212113LOct 6 · 15:05R. Serhyenko2.5011711572Y. Bielokon1.50911911113LOct 6 · 13:05R. Serhyenko3.751113121272D. Boltenkov1.2513111014113LOct 5 · 19:05V. Reva1.801111113R. Serhyenko1.919760WOct 5 · 18:05H. Buianover3.004970R. Serhyenko1.361111113WOct 5 · 16:35V. Lukianevych3.25814851R. Serhyenko1.33111211113WOct 5 · 14:35A. Azarov2.00961141R. Serhyenko1.7311119113WOct 5 · 12:35M. Karelov2.0081070R. Serhyenko1.731112113LOct 1 · 19:05V. Reva1.8311811113R. Serhyenko1.83911951
V. Slabyshev10
WOct 6 · 19:35V. Slabyshev1.3311116113D. Boltenkov3.25981171WOct 6 · 15:35V. Sydorenko2.7551113101V. Slabyshev1.4011915123WOct 6 · 14:35V. Slabyshev1.2591111113A. Azarov3.75117931WOct 6 · 13:35Y. Bielokon3.7511970V. Slabyshev1.251311113WOct 1 · 19:55V. Husiev2.20981131V. Slabyshev1.6111113113WOct 1 · 18:55D. Boltenkov3.251581191V. Slabyshev1.33131113113WOct 1 · 17:25Y. Bielokon2.5010670V. Slabyshev1.501211113LOct 1 · 15:25V. Chumak1.6711127113V. Slabyshev2.106101171WOct 1 · 13:25V. Sydorenko2.50813811102V. Slabyshev1.501111119123WSep 30 · 19:05A. Yakovenko1.737480V. Slabyshev2.001111113
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