TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Richard Skacelik vs Vladimir Adamczyk 1-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Oct 6Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1185116111113––
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 04:54 and never touched: 58.2% is still 58.2%
Graded at full timeRichard Skacelik to win
58.2%
58.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
WrongSent to Pro: Richard Skacelik @ 1.67 · Lost
How it is goingRichard Skacelik above · Vladimir Adamczyk below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 11-13
Point 76 set 4, 11-13 · our read held Richard Skacelik at 58.2%
76 points played in total.
H2H Richard Skacelik 4–2 Vladimir Adamczyk Vladimir Adamczyk has won 2 of their 6 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 04:5458.2%Our read60.0%to break even at 1.666
short by 1.8pp60.0% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.666 they are the same number)
What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Skacelik
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
4-2 in 6
Skacelik
Wrong
gap of 2 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Skacelik 1638 vs Adamczyk 1570
Skacelik
Wrong
both rated, 68 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Skacelik 40% vs Adamczyk 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Skacelik 40% vs Adamczyk 70%
Adamczyk
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Skacelik -1 · Adamczyk +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent, and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 58% · Slight lean (leans Skacelik) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Skacelik form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSkacelik 1.666 / Adamczyk 2.10
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Skacelik)-1.8pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13248048
Skacelik1.67
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 2 days ago (Oct 04)
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite58% won 68 of 118
Up 2–0, closes it92% 34 of 37
Up 1–0, closes it70% 51 of 73
Adamczyk2.10
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 5 days ago (Oct 01)
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog41% won 28 of 69
Down 0–1, comes back29% 14 of 48
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 26
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeSkacelik4wins
AwayAdamczyk2wins
Skacelik leads 4–2.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSkacelik80%4 of 5
AwayAdamczykn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Skacelik5Adamczyk1n = 6Skacelik took 5 of 6
S2Skacelik4Adamczyk2n = 6Skacelik took 4 of 6
S3Skacelik2Adamczyk4n = 6Adamczyk took 4 of 6
S4Skacelik3Adamczyk2n = 5Skacelik took 3 of 5
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home117%
3–1Four sets, home350%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away233%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 6 meetings
MetricSkacelikAdamczykS − ABasisWins42+2in 6 meetingsFirst set51+4of 6Avg pointsper match40.036.2+3.8per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSkacelikAdamczykBasisWin rate · lifetime242 / 496 vs 125 / 23248.8%53.9%242 / 496 vs 125 / 232Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.838.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
SkacelikSkacelik 1.67/Adamczyk 2.10
Miss
What we said
58.2%
Skacelik · sealed before the serve
Sent to Pro: Richard Skacelik @ 1.67 · Lost
What happened
1–3
Adamczyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WSep 30 · 13:30R. Skacelik4111118113V. Adamczyk32671181
LSep 30 · 12:30R. Skacelik381091181V. Adamczyk4212118113
WSep 30 · 07:30R. Skacelik4317114113V. Adamczyk391551181
LSep 23 · 13:30R. Skacelik401199111V. Adamczyk4491111133
WSep 23 · 11:30R. Skacelik45121111113V. Adamczyk381061391
WJun 22 · 10:30R. Skacelik331111113V. Adamczyk228770
R. Skacelik10
WOct 6 · 08:00R. Skacelik1.57118113113S. Byrtus2.2541181192LOct 6 · 07:30A. Rinka2.20116711113R. Skacelik1.6191111782LOct 4 · 09:28R. Skacelik1.9161151152D. Langer1.80119117113WOct 4 · 08:30R. Skacelik2.00125811113E. Rychlik1.73101111892LOct 4 · 07:00R. Skacelik1.807121191D. Heczko1.9111147113WOct 4 · 06:00D. Langer1.5711980R. Skacelik2.251311113LOct 2 · 09:16R. Skacelik1.92711991J. Mikula1.7811611113LOct 2 · 08:00R. Skacelik1.80111091192J. Schwan1.91712115113WOct 2 · 07:30J. Mikula1.7351111772R. Skacelik2.00116411113LOct 2 · 06:00R. Skacelik1.3014881182J. Levicky3.401211117113
V. Adamczyk10
WOct 6 · 07:00V. Adamczyk1.571111113S. Byrtus2.258560WOct 1 · 13:00V. Adamczyk1.67671111113D. Heczko2.1011119552WOct 1 · 12:30L. Martinak1.408990V. Adamczyk2.751111113LOct 1 · 11:30V. Adamczyk2.2510970T. Petrek1.571211113LOct 1 · 10:30D. Heczko2.20981711113V. Adamczyk1.61111115892LSep 30 · 13:30V. Adamczyk2.20671181R. Skacelik1.6111118113WSep 30 · 12:30V. Adamczyk1.8312118113R. Skacelik1.831091181WSep 30 · 11:00V. Adamczyk1.531111123R. Vavrecka2.3876100WSep 30 · 10:00J. Cabak1.44116913102V. Adamczyk2.636111111123WSep 30 · 08:58J. Schwan1.363118101V. Adamczyk3.0011711123
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