TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Ivo Palmi vs Miroslav Stolba 0-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Oct 5Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
511611611––––
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:22 and never touched: 62.5% is still 62.5%
Graded at full timeMiroslav Stolba to win
62.5%
62.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingIvo Palmi above · Miroslav Stolba below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Point 50 set 3, 6-11 · our read held Miroslav Stolba at 62.5%
50 points played in total.
H2H Ivo Palmi 0–3 Miroslav Stolba Ivo Palmi has won 0 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:2262.5%Our read66.7%to break even at 1.50
short by 4.2pp66.7% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.50 they are the same number)
What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Stolba
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
0-3 in 3
Stolba
Correct
gap of 3 in 3, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Palmi 1181 vs Stolba 1182
Stolba
Correct
both rated, 0 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Palmi 40% vs Stolba 60%
Stolba
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Palmi 50% vs Stolba 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Palmi +1 · Stolba -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% · Clear lean (leans Stolba) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPalmi 2.50 / Stolba 1.50
Signal prob.38% / 63%
Edge (Stolba)-4.2pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13244278
Palmi2.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 6 days ago (Sep 29)
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog42% won 14 of 33
Down 0–1, comes back22% 4 of 18
Down 0–2, comes back8% 1 of 12
Stolba1.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 5 days ago (Sep 30)
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite58% won 11 of 19
Up 2–0, closes it100% 6 of 6
Up 1–0, closes it88% 7 of 8
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomePalmi0wins
AwayStolba3wins
1 of 3 to a deciderStolba leads 3–0, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePalmin = 0, below the 3 needed
AwayStolba100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Palmi0Stolba3n = 3Stolba took 3 of 3
S2Palmi0Stolba3n = 3Stolba took 3 of 3
S3Palmi2Stolba1n = 3Palmi took 2 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away133%
1–3Four sets, away133%
0–3Straight, away133%
These 3 meetings
MetricPalmiStolbaP − SBasisWins03−3in 3 meetingsFirst set03−3of 3Avg pointsper match32.741.3−8.6per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPalmiStolbaBasisWin rate · lifetime58 / 135 vs 55 / 11243%49.1%58 / 135 vs 55 / 112Avg sets wonper match1.82.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.637.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
StolbaPalmi 2.50/Stolba 1.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.5%
Stolba · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Stolba won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LAug 15 · 13:30I. Palmi44115121152M. Stolba531311108113
LAug 15 · 11:00I. Palmi32861171M. Stolba3811115113
LJun 2 · 14:00I. Palmi226790M. Stolba331111113
I. Palmi10
WOct 5 · 11:00I. Kolenciak1.73129551I. Palmi2.00101111113WSep 29 · 12:59J. Toth1.919760I. Palmi1.801111113LSep 29 · 12:00Z. Luksa2.10381111113I. Palmi1.6711114992LSep 29 · 11:00J. Toth2.00111238113I. Palmi1.73610111172LSep 29 · 10:30I. Palmi2.10101070A. Kanak1.671212113WSep 18 · 13:28I. Palmi2.20118811113A. Kanak1.6191111842WSep 18 · 12:30I. Palmi2.2511715113I. Kolenciak1.572111381WSep 18 · 11:00I. Palmi1.8351111123J. Toth1.831185101LSep 18 · 10:00A. Kanak1.611191311113I. Palmi2.2081115872WSep 9 · 13:01I. Palmi1.6711912113Z. Luksa2.109111041
M. Stolba10
LOct 5 · 11:30M. Stolba2.109111391M. Derco1.6711915113LSep 30 · 09:28Z. Luksa1.4413118113M. Stolba2.631181181WSep 30 · 08:30A. Kanak1.73113751M. Stolba2.0071111113LSep 30 · 07:30M. Stolba2.6381161192Z. Luksa1.44114118113WSep 30 · 06:30J. Toth1.7389100M. Stolba2.001111123WSep 22 · 20:58M. Stolba1.401111113S. Blabla2.755940WSep 22 · 20:30S. Blabla2.0010580M. Stolba1.731211113LSep 22 · 19:30M. Stolba3.25781141M. Blaha1.3311119113LSep 22 · 18:30Z. Luksa1.671111123M. Stolba2.1096100WAug 29 · 20:59D. Vavrecka1.53111081122M. Stolba2.38612115113
Upcoming Matches
I. Palmi
Nothing scheduled
M. Stolba
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