TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Daniel Unzeitig vs Daniel Langer 3-1 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Oct 5Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
13111198111311––
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:27 and never touched: 54.3% is still 54.3%
Graded at full timeDaniel Langer to win
54.3%
54.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingDaniel Unzeitig above · Daniel Langer below
Set 1 · 13-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 13-11
Point 87 set 4, 13-11 · our read held Daniel Langer at 54.3%
87 points played in total.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 15:2754.3%Our read55.6%to break even at 1.80
short by 1.3pp55.6% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.80 they are the same number)
What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Langer
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Unzeitig 1606 vs Langer 1715
Langer
Wrong
both rated, 109 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Unzeitig 40% vs Langer 60%
Langer
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Unzeitig 40% vs Langer 70%
Langer
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Unzeitig -1 · Langer -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent, and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Langer) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Unzeitig form (40%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsUnzeitig 1.909 / Langer 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Langer)-1.3pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13243888
Unzeitig1.91
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog33% won 34 of 102
Down 0–1, comes back22% 13 of 58
Down 0–2, comes back10% 3 of 31
Langer1.80
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite71% won 103 of 145
Up 2–0, closes it98% 58 of 59
Up 1–0, closes it86% 75 of 87
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands: it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricUnzeitigLangerBasisWin rate · lifetime147 / 313 vs 131 / 19547%67.2%147 / 313 vs 131 / 195Avg sets wonper match2.02.4per matchAvg pointsper match38.539.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
LangerUnzeitig 1.91/Langer 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.3%
Langer · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Unzeitig won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together: one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
D. Unzeitig10
WOct 5 · 16:30Z. Pagac1.50971471D. Unzeitig2.50111112113LOct 5 · 14:30J. Holubec1.731116113D. Unzeitig2.0081490WSep 30 · 17:10D. Unzeitig1.7391111113J. Holubec2.00117671LSep 30 · 16:30D. Unzeitig2.00121179122J. Simecek1.731091111143WSep 30 · 15:00D. Unzeitig2.25117811133J. Holubec1.57911111112LSep 30 · 14:00M. Holub1.73311511113D. Unzeitig2.0011511792LSep 27 · 17:30D. Unzeitig2.008850Z. Pagac1.731111113WSep 27 · 16:30Z. Pagac1.5061090D. Unzeitig2.501112113WSep 27 · 15:30D. Unzeitig2.501191011113D. Szotek1.5071112752LSep 27 · 14:30T. Kypr1.731441111113D. Unzeitig2.0016119582
D. Langer10
LOct 5 · 16:58Z. Pagac1.501111113D. Langer2.507790WOct 5 · 16:00D. Langer1.831116133J. Holubec1.83714110LOct 5 · 14:00D. Langer2.388460Z. Pagac1.531111113WOct 4 · 09:28R. Skacelik1.9161151152D. Langer1.80119117113WOct 4 · 08:00D. Langer1.361311113D. Heczko3.0011970WOct 4 · 07:30E. Rychlik1.91311412112D. Langer1.801181110133LOct 4 · 06:00D. Langer1.5711980R. Skacelik2.251311113WSep 29 · 17:30D. Langer1.6711711113A. Walek2.10711461WSep 29 · 16:00D. Langer1.739111313113A. Walek2.00117111572WSep 29 · 15:30V. Adamczyk2.6310960D. Langer1.441211113
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.