TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Daniel Langer vs Jiri Holubec 3-0 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Oct 5Finished
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
11716141311––––
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:58 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeDaniel Langer to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingDaniel Langer above · Jiri Holubec below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 16-14
Set 3 · 13-11
Point 72 set 3, 13-11 · our read held Daniel Langer at 54.0%
72 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:5854.0%Our read54.6%to break even at 1.833
short by 0.6pp54.6% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.833 they are the same number)
What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Holubec
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Langer 1700 vs Holubec 1605
Langer
Correct
both rated, 95 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Langer 60% vs Holubec 40%
Langer
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Langer 70% vs Holubec 30%
Langer
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Langer -2 · Holubec +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Langer) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Holubec form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLanger 1.833 / Holubec 1.833
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Langer)-0.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13244020
Langer1.83
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Holubec1.83
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands: it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricLangerHolubecBasisWin rate · lifetime131 / 196 vs 48 / 10266.8%47.1%131 / 196 vs 48 / 102Avg sets wonper match2.42.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.038.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
LangerLanger 1.83/Holubec 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Langer · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Langer won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together: one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
D. Langer10
LOct 5 · 16:58Z. Pagac1.501111113D. Langer2.507790LOct 5 · 15:30D. Unzeitig1.9113118133D. Langer1.8011911111LOct 5 · 14:00D. Langer2.388460Z. Pagac1.531111113WOct 4 · 09:28R. Skacelik1.9161151152D. Langer1.80119117113WOct 4 · 08:00D. Langer1.361311113D. Heczko3.0011970WOct 4 · 07:30E. Rychlik1.91311412112D. Langer1.801181110133LOct 4 · 06:00D. Langer1.5711980R. Skacelik2.251311113WSep 29 · 17:30D. Langer1.6711711113A. Walek2.10711461WSep 29 · 16:00D. Langer1.739111313113A. Walek2.00117111572WSep 29 · 15:30V. Adamczyk2.6310960D. Langer1.441211113
J. Holubec10
WOct 5 · 15:00Z. Pagac1.576131011102J. Holubec2.251111125123WOct 5 · 14:30J. Holubec1.731116113D. Unzeitig2.0081490LSep 30 · 17:10D. Unzeitig1.7391111113J. Holubec2.00117671LSep 30 · 16:00M. Holub1.80911119133J. Holubec1.91119811112LSep 30 · 15:00D. Unzeitig2.25117811133J. Holubec1.57911111112LSep 30 · 14:30J. Holubec1.61111110772J. Simecek2.20491211113LSep 20 · 16:58J. Holubec1.9191111182J. Stolfa1.80114113113LSep 20 · 16:00J. Holubec1.401111117102D. Tuma2.75771311123WSep 20 · 15:30T. Holik2.5081181182J. Holubec1.50113118113LSep 20 · 14:00J. Holubec1.57881181J. Stolfa2.2511116113
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