TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Marcin Marchlewski vs Piotr Maruszak 3-0 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Oct 4Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
116117118––––
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
54 points played in total.
Set by set
116117118––––
H2H Marcin Marchlewski 17–13 Piotr Maruszak Piotr Maruszak has won 13 of their 30 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 5h before this match
Maruszak beat Marchlewski 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Marchlewski form (40%) is below what odds imply (70%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMarchlewski 1.42 / Maruszak 2.55
TT Elite Series · #13243817
Marchlewski1.42
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite64% won 92 of 144
Up 2–0, closes it97% 36 of 37
Up 1–0, closes it81% 70 of 86
Maruszak2.55
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog32% won 23 of 71
Down 0–1, comes back15% 6 of 41
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 22
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMarchlewski4wins
AwayMaruszak6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderMaruszak leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMarchlewskin = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayMaruszak75%6 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Marchlewski2Maruszak8n = 10Maruszak took 8 of 10
S2Marchlewski5Maruszak5n = 10split evenly
S3Marchlewski8Maruszak2n = 10Marchlewski took 8 of 10
S4Marchlewski3Maruszak4n = 7Maruszak took 4 of 7
S5Marchlewski1Maruszak2n = 3Maruszak took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricMarchlewskiMaruszakMarchlewski − MaruszakBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match38.939.7−0.8per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMarchlewskiMaruszakBasisWin rate · lifetime453 / 934 vs 238 / 49848.5%47.8%453 / 934 vs 238 / 498Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.236.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
MarchlewskiMarchlewski 1.42/Maruszak 2.55
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
—
no pick shipped on this market
What happened
3–0
Marchlewski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WOct 4 · 13:50M. Marchlewski331111113P. Maruszak216780
LOct 4 · 08:30M. Marchlewski44107111152P. Maruszak48121177113
WMay 17 · 13:50M. Marchlewski50512911133P. Maruszak521110119112
WMay 17 · 07:30M. Marchlewski4491311113P. Maruszak361111771
LMay 17 · 05:00M. Marchlewski48101113592P. Maruszak531281111113
LMay 16 · 11:45M. Marchlewski351151181P. Maruszak4213117113
LJan 25 · 05:15M. Marchlewski389101181P. Maruszak4011126113
WJan 24 · 11:20M. Marchlewski331111113P. Maruszak268990
LDec 7 · 14:50M. Marchlewski26510110P. Maruszak361112133
LNov 15 · 20:30M. Marchlewski381191171P. Maruszak4313118113
M. Marchlewski10
LOct 4 · 12:35M. Marchlewski2.15961151K. Makowski1.6311113113WOct 4 · 11:20M. Marchlewski1.551111113P. Staniszewski2.258690WOct 4 · 10:05M. Zagajewski2.946950M. Marchlewski1.351111113LOct 4 · 09:20M. Marchlewski1.85111181342K. Szurlej1.859131111113LOct 4 · 08:30M. Marchlewski1.55107111152P. Maruszak2.25121177113WOct 4 · 06:50M. Marchlewski1.3012811113M. Zagajewski3.101011881WOct 4 · 05:35M. Marchlewski1.60111164113P. Staniszewski2.1576111182WOct 4 · 04:00M. Marchlewski1.421111113T. Piotrowski2.656790WOct 4 · 03:00M. Marchlewski1.4911911113K. Makowski2.46711991LOct 3 · 14:35M. Marchlewski1.579620M. Misiak2.251111113
P. Maruszak10
LOct 4 · 13:00M. Zagajewski1.91115119113P. Maruszak1.8061171172LOct 4 · 12:10P. Maruszak3.501681121K. Szurlej1.2718115113WOct 4 · 10:30P. Maruszak1.8611214113P. Staniszewski1.856111281LOct 4 · 09:45K. Makowski2.30323119113P. Maruszak1.55112171192WOct 4 · 08:30M. Marchlewski1.55107111152P. Maruszak2.25121177113LOct 4 · 07:15P. Maruszak1.854711111K. Makowski1.8511114133WOct 4 · 06:00M. Zagajewski2.209640P. Maruszak1.601111113WOct 4 · 04:50P. Staniszewski2.10128991P. Maruszak1.65101111113LOct 4 · 03:20T. Piotrowski1.85911611133P. Maruszak1.85113117112WOct 3 · 14:35K. Makowski3.00751191P. Maruszak1.3211117113
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