Marcin Marchlewski vs Kacper Makowski 3-1

TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series

TT Elite Series

Played Oct 4Finished

Marcin Marchlewski

Home

1.49

At publish

Lost last 2

Form at publish

6–4Last 10Lost last 2

Final

3 – 1

Set by set

117911119119––

Kacper Makowski

Away

2.46

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Lost last 1

The read, and what happenedsealed at 02:52 and never touched: 74.7% is still 74.7%

Graded at full time

Marcin Marchlewski to win

74.7%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Right

not sent

«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.

How it is going

Point-by-point unavailable

BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.

78 points played in total.

Set by set

117911119119––

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 02:52

74.7%Our read67.1%to break even at 1.49

clears by 7.6pp

67.1% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.49 they are the same number)

What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.49 (62%)

Marchlewski

Correct

no bar to clear: a priced side always votes

H2H

No meetings

—

No value

they have never met

Rating (G2)

Marchlewski 1529 vs Makowski 1296

Marchlewski

Correct

both rated, 233 points apart, no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Marchlewski 40% vs Makowski 40%

—

Too close

0pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Marchlewski 60% vs Makowski 50%

—

Too close

10pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Streak

Marchlewski -2 · Makowski -1

—

Too close

neither holds a run of 3 on their own

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

2 for, 4 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 75% · Strong (leans Marchlewski) · sealed before the serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Marchlewski form (40%) is below what odds imply (67%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsMarchlewski 1.49 / Makowski 2.46

Signal prob.75% / 25%

Edge (Marchlewski)+7.6pp

TT Elite Series · #13239084

Marchlewski1.49

60%won 6 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Lost last 2

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As favourite64% won 86 of 134

Up 2–0, closes it97% 34 of 35

Up 1–0, closes it82% 67 of 82

Makowski2.46

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As underdog40% won 26 of 65

Down 0–1, comes back14% 5 of 37

Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 18

Head to head

H2H window

First meeting

These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands: it is the only comparison available.

Career, not this matchup

MetricMarchlewskiMakowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime451 / 934 vs 141 / 34248.3%41.2%451 / 934 vs 141 / 342Avg sets wonper match1.91.8per matchAvg pointsper match37.236.0per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

Forecastthe model predicts this market

Match Winner

Marchlewski

Marchlewski 1.49/Makowski 2.46

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

74.7%

Marchlewski · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–1

Marchlewski won

Handicap · Total sets · Score

These two have never met.

The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together: one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.

Recent Results

M. Marchlewski10