TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Tadeusz Piotrowski vs Kacper Makowski 3-0 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Oct 3Finished
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
116118114––––
Kacper Makowski
Away
2.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 05:24 and never touched: 62.9% is still 62.9%
Graded at full timeTadeusz Piotrowski to win
62.9%
62.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
51 points played in total.
Set by set
116118114––––
H2H Tadeusz Piotrowski 12–1 Kacper Makowski Kacper Makowski has won 1 of their 13 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 05:2462.9%Our read64.5%to break even at 1.55
short by 1.6pp64.5% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.55 they are the same number)
What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.55 (59%)
Piotrowski
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
12-1 in 13
Piotrowski
Correct
gap of 11 in 13, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Piotrowski 1314 vs Makowski 1301
Piotrowski
Correct
both rated, 13 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Piotrowski 40% vs Makowski 60%
Makowski
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Piotrowski 30% vs Makowski 50%
Makowski
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Piotrowski +1 · Makowski +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% · Clear lean (leans Piotrowski) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Makowski form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPiotrowski 1.55 / Makowski 2.25
Signal prob.63% / 37%
Edge (Piotrowski)-1.6pp (anti-value)
TT Elite Series · #13236602
Piotrowski1.55
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite67% won 157 of 233
Up 2–0, closes it94% 80 of 85
Up 1–0, closes it81% 118 of 146
Makowski2.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog40% won 26 of 65
Down 0–1, comes back14% 5 of 37
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 18
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePiotrowski9wins
AwayMakowski1wins
2 of 10 to a deciderPiotrowski leads 9–1, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePiotrowski100%7 of 7
AwayMakowski33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Piotrowski7Makowski3n = 10Piotrowski took 7 of 10
S2Piotrowski7Makowski3n = 10Piotrowski took 7 of 10
S3Piotrowski9Makowski1n = 10Piotrowski took 9 of 10
S4Piotrowski3Makowski2n = 5Piotrowski took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home550%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricPiotrowskiMakowskiP − MBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match39.531.7+7.8per matchSweeps50+53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPiotrowskiMakowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime552 / 879 vs 136 / 33262.8%41%552 / 879 vs 136 / 332Avg sets wonper match2.31.8per matchAvg pointsper match38.936.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
PiotrowskiPiotrowski 1.55/Makowski 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.9%
Piotrowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Piotrowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WMay 30 · 13:05T. Piotrowski341112113K. Makowski1951040
WMay 24 · 08:45T. Piotrowski541051311153K. Makowski551211118132
WMay 23 · 08:10T. Piotrowski54118119153K. Makowski45311711132
WApr 12 · 06:55T. Piotrowski341111123K. Makowski1761100
LMar 14 · 07:30T. Piotrowski31711941K. Makowski4111811113
WMar 8 · 10:25T. Piotrowski331111113K. Makowski165560
WMar 8 · 06:40T. Piotrowski331111113K. Makowski162770
WFeb 22 · 09:35T. Piotrowski4915911143K. Makowski4513119121
WJan 25 · 14:55T. Piotrowski3811112143K. Makowski4111810121
WJan 25 · 09:35T. Piotrowski351311113K. Makowski2211470
T. Piotrowski10
WOct 3 · 04:00T. Piotrowski1.65101413113D. Wrobel2.1012121191LOct 3 · 03:00T. Piotrowski2.10114101162A. Myszewski1.65911123113LSep 26 · 14:15T. Filbrandt1.25111187113T. Piotrowski3.2172111152LSep 26 · 13:25A. Wos1.301111113T. Piotrowski3.156260WSep 26 · 11:20I. Dabrowski1.7011111672T. Piotrowski2.00711511113LSep 26 · 10:30B. Mleczko1.5211168133T. Piotrowski2.3081411111LSep 26 · 09:00D. Kosmal1.221111113T. Piotrowski4.008860WSep 26 · 08:05J. Wozniak1.77109111192T. Piotrowski1.93121166113LSep 26 · 07:15B. Mleczko1.9041111113T. Piotrowski1.75116571LSep 26 · 05:15J. Zochniak1.371112113T. Piotrowski2.8061090
K. Makowski10
WOct 3 · 06:25D. Wrobel1.801091161K. Makowski1.8512116113WOct 3 · 04:50K. Makowski2.101111123M. Sinicki1.6569100LOct 3 · 03:40K. Makowski1.81117101172P. Maruszak1.90811128113WJun 14 · 14:00M. Olejnik1.737780K. Makowski2.001111113LJun 14 · 13:10M. Minda1.44101111113K. Makowski2.63126491WJun 14 · 12:20K. Makowski2.00511411133W. Gronowski1.73118118112LJun 14 · 10:40K. Makowski1.67713951A. Szoltysek2.10111111113LJun 14 · 09:55A. Mugowski1.91111017113K. Makowski1.809121581WJun 14 · 08:35K. Marchlewski2.10111112892K. Makowski1.60581411113LJun 14 · 07:20K. Makowski1.9111780M. Olejnik1.801311113
Upcoming Matches
T. Piotrowski
K. Makowski
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.