TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Tadeusz Piotrowski vs Adrian Myszewski 2-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Oct 3Finished
Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1194111012113611
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 02:54 and never touched: 57.3% is still 57.3%
Graded at full timeAdrian Myszewski to win
57.3%
57.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
88 points played in total.
Set by set
1194111012113611
H2H Tadeusz Piotrowski 7–13 Adrian Myszewski Tadeusz Piotrowski has won 7 of their 20 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 02:5457.3%Our read60.6%to break even at 1.65
short by 3.3pp60.6% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.65 they are the same number)
What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.65 (56%)
Myszewski
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
7-13 in 20
Myszewski
Correct
gap of 6 in 20, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Piotrowski 1311 vs Myszewski 1379
Myszewski
Correct
both rated, 69 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Piotrowski 20% vs Myszewski 60%
Myszewski
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Piotrowski 20% vs Myszewski 70%
Myszewski
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Piotrowski -2 · Myszewski -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% · Slight lean (leans Myszewski) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Piotrowski form (20%) is below what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPiotrowski 2.10 / Myszewski 1.65
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Myszewski)-3.3pp (anti-value)
TT Elite Series · #13233278
Piotrowski2.10
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 7 days ago (Sep 26) · back after a break
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog26% won 23 of 87
Down 0–1, comes back16% 9 of 57
Down 0–2, comes back5% 2 of 38
Myszewski1.65
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 1 day ago (Oct 02)
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite65% won 76 of 117
Up 2–0, closes it90% 34 of 38
Up 1–0, closes it79% 65 of 82
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePiotrowski4wins
AwayMyszewski6wins
5 of 10 to a deciderMyszewski leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePiotrowski60%3 of 5
AwayMyszewski80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Piotrowski5Myszewski5n = 10split evenly
S2Piotrowski4Myszewski6n = 10Myszewski took 6 of 10
S3Piotrowski6Myszewski4n = 10Piotrowski took 6 of 10
S4Piotrowski4Myszewski2n = 6Piotrowski took 4 of 6
S5Piotrowski1Myszewski4n = 5Myszewski took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricPiotrowskiMyszewskiP − MBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match38.038.00.0per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPiotrowskiMyszewskiBasisWin rate · lifetime556 / 884 vs 442 / 90062.9%49.1%556 / 884 vs 442 / 900Avg sets wonper match2.32.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.938.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
MyszewskiPiotrowski 2.10/Myszewski 1.65
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57.3%
Myszewski · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Myszewski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 9 · 10:55T. Piotrowski4081111552A. Myszewski44112911113
LMay 3 · 07:10T. Piotrowski45113912102A. Myszewski484111110123
WMay 2 · 14:25T. Piotrowski46118511113A. Myszewski4691111692
WApr 25 · 11:50T. Piotrowski341211113A. Myszewski2410680
LApr 25 · 08:20T. Piotrowski2797110A. Myszewski351111133
LJan 18 · 06:40T. Piotrowski3969111122A. Myszewski45111184113
WJan 11 · 10:25T. Piotrowski331111113A. Myszewski247980
LJan 11 · 06:40T. Piotrowski227870A. Myszewski331111113
LJan 10 · 12:50T. Piotrowski51119111192A. Myszewski46711413113
WNov 30 · 12:50T. Piotrowski43101111113A. Myszewski35129771
T. Piotrowski10
LSep 26 · 14:15T. Filbrandt1.25111187113T. Piotrowski3.2172111152LSep 26 · 13:25A. Wos1.301111113T. Piotrowski3.156260WSep 26 · 11:20I. Dabrowski1.7011111672T. Piotrowski2.00711511113LSep 26 · 10:30B. Mleczko1.5211168133T. Piotrowski2.3081411111LSep 26 · 09:00D. Kosmal1.221111113T. Piotrowski4.008860WSep 26 · 08:05J. Wozniak1.77109111192T. Piotrowski1.93121166113LSep 26 · 07:15B. Mleczko1.9041111113T. Piotrowski1.75116571LSep 26 · 05:15J. Zochniak1.371112113T. Piotrowski2.8061090LSep 26 · 04:25D. Kosmal1.3511116113T. Piotrowski2.95371131LSep 26 · 03:00I. Dabrowski2.05811117113T. Piotrowski1.6811951162
A. Myszewski10
LOct 2 · 00:10W. Iwasyszyn1.8511185123A. Myszewski1.8571611101WOct 1 · 23:45A. Myszewski1.901211113K. Klocek1.8010680WOct 1 · 22:55A. Myszewski1.85117118113J. Lamperski1.8061191182WOct 1 · 21:05A. Myszewski1.701111113J. Rolak2.006940LOct 1 · 20:05J. Lamperski1.75114117123A. Myszewski1.95411811102WOct 1 · 19:20J. Rolak4.4171111972A. Myszewski1.17119911113WOct 1 · 17:20M. Kowalczyk2.1531291342A. Myszewski1.6211101111113WOct 1 · 16:35D. Wrobel2.154880A. Myszewski1.631111113WOct 1 · 15:00W. Iwasyszyn1.859760A. Myszewski1.851111113LSep 22 · 00:10A. Myszewski1.9021111692K. Marchlewski1.75117811113
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