TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Jiri Stach vs Matej Levicky 3-1 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Oct 5Finished
Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 6
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
711118116116––
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:56 and never touched: 61.7% is still 61.7%
Graded at full timeJiri Stach to win
61.7%
61.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingJiri Stach above · Matej Levicky below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 71 set 4, 11-6 · our read held Jiri Stach at 61.7%
71 points played in total.
H2H Jiri Stach 1–0 Matej Levicky Matej Levicky has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:5661.7%Our read69.3%to break even at 1.444
short by 7.6pp69.3% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.444 they are the same number)
What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Stach
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Stach 1290 vs Levicky 1314
Levicky
Wrong
both rated, 24 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Stach 0% vs Levicky 40%
Levicky
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Stach 20% vs Levicky 70%
Levicky
Wrong
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Stach -6 · Levicky -1
Stach
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% · Slight lean (leans Stach) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Stach form (0%) is below what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStach 1.444 / Levicky 2.625
Signal prob.62% / 38%
Edge (Stach)-7.6pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13242864
Stach1.44
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 5 days ago (Sep 30)
Lost last 6
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite56% won 37 of 66
Up 2–0, closes it100% 22 of 22
Up 1–0, closes it91% 29 of 32
Levicky2.63
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 2 days ago (Oct 03)
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog38% won 40 of 106
Down 0–1, comes back25% 16 of 65
Down 0–2, comes back9% 3 of 34
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeStach1wins
AwayLevicky0wins
Stach leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricStachLevickyS − LBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match44.042.0+2.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStachLevickyBasisWin rate · lifetime142 / 320 vs 211 / 40444.4%52.2%142 / 320 vs 211 / 404Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.437.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
StachStach 1.44/Levicky 2.63
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
61.7%
Stach · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Stach won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WAug 17 · 07:30J. Stach4416511123M. Levicky4214117101
J. Stach10
WOct 5 · 11:30A. Schneeberger3.00116121152J. Stach1.36711149113LSep 30 · 13:10E. Sionkala1.83101111113J. Stach1.83126601LSep 30 · 12:30J. Stach1.6771211552D. Kolek2.101110811113LSep 30 · 11:00J. Stach2.381194141E. Sionkala1.5371111163LSep 30 · 10:00P. Varecha2.10121110113J. Stach1.671081291LSep 28 · 09:30J. Stach1.43119111072M. Kolek2.60511712113LSep 28 · 08:30A. Virag1.5011411113J. Stach2.50511491WSep 28 · 07:30J. Stach2.2011311113T. Kraninger1.61711991WSep 28 · 06:30M. Kolek2.105780J. Stach1.671111113LSep 22 · 13:30A. Virag1.5711911113J. Stach2.25611571
M. Levicky10
LOct 5 · 11:00M. Levicky2.25112891Z. Zientek1.57111011113LOct 3 · 20:59M. Levicky2.20119761Z. Zientek1.6141111113WOct 3 · 20:00Z. Zientek1.53111411362M. Levicky2.38816611113LOct 3 · 19:00A. Schneeberger1.501111113M. Levicky2.507870LOct 3 · 18:30M. Levicky1.619780D. Kolek2.201111113WOct 3 · 17:30M. Levicky2.25111133113P. Banot1.5787111182WOct 3 · 16:30M. Levicky1.50146119113R. Adamczyk2.50121191192WOct 3 · 15:00M. Levicky1.91111011113P. Banot1.80612561WOct 3 · 14:00D. Kolek2.201191161M. Levicky1.6191113113WSep 29 · 13:30M. Levicky2.1011511113V. Kocian1.67911861
Upcoming Matches
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M. Levicky
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