TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
David Sykora vs Robert Jamrich 0-3 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Oct 4Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
311611911––––
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:11 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeDavid Sykora to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingDavid Sykora above · Robert Jamrich below
Set 1 · 3-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 51 set 3, 9-11 · our read held David Sykora at 54.0%
51 points played in total.
H2H David Sykora 4–10 Robert Jamrich David Sykora has won 4 of their 14 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:1154.0%Our read54.6%to break even at 1.833
short by 0.6pp54.6% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.833 they are the same number)
What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Jamrich
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
4-10 in 14
Jamrich
Correct
gap of 6 in 14, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sykora 1540 vs Jamrich 1420
Sykora
Wrong
both rated, 120 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sykora 80% vs Jamrich 20%
Sykora
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sykora 60% vs Jamrich 30%
Sykora
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sykora +3 · Jamrich -4
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Sykora) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jamrich form (20%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSykora 1.833 / Jamrich 1.833
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Jamrich)-8.6pp (anti-value)
TT Cup · #13242841
Sykora1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Jamrich1.83
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 4
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSykora1wins
AwayJamrich9wins
2 of 10 to a deciderJamrich leads 9–1, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSykora0%0 of 5
AwayJamrich80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sykora5Jamrich5n = 10split evenly
S2Sykora2Jamrich8n = 10Jamrich took 8 of 10
S3Sykora4Jamrich6n = 10Jamrich took 6 of 10
S4Sykora1Jamrich7n = 8Jamrich took 7 of 8
S5
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away550%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricSykoraJamrichS − JBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match36.742.9−6.2per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSykoraJamrichBasisWin rate · lifetime273 / 501 vs 137 / 30754.5%44.6%273 / 501 vs 137 / 307Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.737.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
SykoraSykora 1.83/Jamrich 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Sykora · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Jamrich won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LApr 10 · 14:25D. Sykora33911491R. Jamrich4011711113
LApr 10 · 11:25D. Sykora37981191R. Jamrich4011117113
LApr 7 · 15:50D. Sykora401451381R. Jamrich49121115113
LJan 18 · 22:50D. Sykora4512101581R. Jamrich50101217113
LJan 18 · 21:50D. Sykora206590R. Jamrich331111113
WOct 12 · 10:55D. Sykora3851111113R. Jamrich29116751
LOct 11 · 16:55D. Sykora249870R. Jamrich331111113
LOct 11 · 15:55D. Sykora4212211892R. Jamrich521011911113
LSep 7 · 11:55D. Sykora411281291R. Jamrich46101114113
LAug 19 · 08:25D. Sykora4712616672R. Jamrich5710111411113
D. Sykora10
WOct 4 · 14:20J. Kulveit2.0011990D. Sykora1.731311113WOct 2 · 17:50J. Melichar1.6013811942D. Sykora2.201111711113WOct 2 · 16:50J. Dvorak2.637780D. Sykora1.441111113LOct 2 · 15:50D. Sykora1.91781161J. Melichar1.8011115113WOct 2 · 14:20A. Kral2.63912841D. Sykora1.44111011113LSep 17 · 17:30D. Sykora1.709630M. Dvorak2.021111113LSep 17 · 16:20D. Sykora1.83116761J. Hendrych1.8391111113LSep 17 · 15:20D. Sykora3.00910100M. Sochor1.361112123WSep 17 · 14:20D. Sykora1.8311111113M. Dvorak1.83841151WSep 14 · 17:50Z. Zahradka3.00101191182D. Sykora1.36127118113
R. Jamrich10
LOct 4 · 16:20J. Kulveit1.571111113R. Jamrich2.257850LOct 4 · 14:50R. Jamrich2.007980O. Varecka1.731111113LSep 30 · 14:08R. Jamrich1.839811121M. Filipek1.8311116143LSep 30 · 13:25R. Jamrich1.831011115132F. Marat1.83125911153LSep 30 · 11:55P. Chlumsky1.911115113R. Jamrich1.8091360WSep 30 · 11:25M. Filipek1.731111871R. Jamrich2.0081311113WSep 28 · 18:10O. Varecka2.0011351192R. Jamrich1.73911115113LSep 28 · 17:25R. Jamrich2.2511123392J. Kulveit1.578101111113WSep 28 · 15:55O. Varecka1.57711581R. Jamrich2.2511611113LSep 28 · 15:25J. Melichar1.441212113R. Jamrich2.63101080
Upcoming Matches
D. Sykora
R. Jamrich
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