TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Frantisek Chaloupka vs Jiri Skalicky 2-3 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Oct 4Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
611119118511511
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 06:42 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeFrantisek Chaloupka to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingFrantisek Chaloupka above · Jiri Skalicky below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 5-11
Set 5 · 5-11
Point 88 set 5, 5-11 · our read held Frantisek Chaloupka at 54.0%
88 points played in total.
H2H Frantisek Chaloupka 10–11 Jiri Skalicky Frantisek Chaloupka has won 10 of their 21 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 06:4254.0%Our read54.6%to break even at 1.833
short by 0.6pp54.6% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.833 they are the same number)
What took a side1 for · 1 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Skalicky
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
10-11 in 21
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Chaloupka 1667 vs Skalicky 1633
Chaloupka
Wrong
both rated, 34 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Chaloupka 60% vs Skalicky 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Chaloupka 60% vs Skalicky 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Chaloupka +2 · Skalicky +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 4 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Chaloupka) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsChaloupka 1.833 / Skalicky 1.833
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Chaloupka)-0.6pp
TT Cup · #13240609
Chaloupka1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Skalicky1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeChaloupka5wins
AwaySkalicky5wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeChaloupka71.4%5 of 7
AwaySkalicky100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Chaloupka7Skalicky3n = 10Chaloupka took 7 of 10
S2Chaloupka6Skalicky4n = 10Chaloupka took 6 of 10
S3Chaloupka5Skalicky5n = 10split evenly
S4Chaloupka2Skalicky6n = 8Skalicky took 6 of 8
S5Chaloupka2Skalicky3n = 5Skalicky took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricChaloupkaSkalickyC − SBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match39.340.1−0.8per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricChaloupkaSkalickyBasisWin rate · lifetime297 / 566 vs 111 / 21752.5%51.2%297 / 566 vs 111 / 217Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.539.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
ChaloupkaChaloupka 1.83/Skalicky 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Chaloupka · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Skalicky won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LOct 4 · 06:45F. Chaloupka3861111552J. Skalicky50119811113
WSep 20 · 16:15F. Chaloupka331111113J. Skalicky175570
WSep 13 · 06:10F. Chaloupka501311510113J. Skalicky49117111282
LSep 12 · 08:40F. Chaloupka259970J. Skalicky331111113
WSep 12 · 08:10F. Chaloupka4111118113J. Skalicky31591161
WAug 30 · 08:49F. Chaloupka44111011123J. Skalicky326124101
LAug 30 · 07:10F. Chaloupka33791161J. Skalicky4211119113
LAug 22 · 19:40F. Chaloupka49116129112J. Skalicky516111011133
WJul 12 · 13:40F. Chaloupka45111256113J. Skalicky49910111182
LJun 21 · 07:15F. Chaloupka3511114452J. Skalicky47771111113
F. Chaloupka10
WOct 4 · 07:45F. Chaloupka1.7311126113J. Krupnik2.006101191WOct 4 · 05:45F. Chaloupka1.5711719113J. Travnicek2.255111771WOct 3 · 08:55P. Marsalek2.501111491F. Chaloupka1.5013811113LOct 3 · 07:45B. Moravec1.7311114113F. Chaloupka2.00551191LOct 3 · 07:15P. Marsalek3.40811514113F. Chaloupka1.30115111262WOct 3 · 06:15F. Chaloupka1.5011911113D. Velky Jr2.50911591WOct 1 · 16:35F. Chaloupka1.611111113D. Velky Jr2.208760LOct 1 · 15:40B. Moravec1.50118115113F. Chaloupka2.5051191162LOct 1 · 15:10K. Kleprlik1.83117119113F. Chaloupka1.8391171162WOct 1 · 14:10F. Chaloupka1.67111511133D. Velky Jr2.107175111
J. Skalicky10
LOct 4 · 08:15J. Skalicky1.83811431J. Travnicek1.8311911113WOct 4 · 06:15J. Krupnik2.00881181J. Skalicky1.7311116113WSep 27 · 08:39J. Skalicky1.671111153A. Kanak2.1069130LSep 27 · 07:40J. Skalicky2.1081111872D. Stusek1.67113611113LSep 27 · 06:40J. Skalicky1.53951171A. Veliiev2.3811119113WSep 27 · 05:40J. Skalicky1.73691111113A. Kanak2.0011119732WSep 26 · 08:44A. Veliiev1.834870J. Skalicky1.831111113LSep 26 · 07:45J. Skalicky1.67119111172A. Veliiev2.10131159113LSep 26 · 06:45J. Skalicky1.738760D. Velky Jr2.001111113WSep 26 · 05:45J. Skalicky1.83126115113J. Travnicek1.83101161192
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.