TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Dalibor Kolek vs Matej Levicky 1-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Oct 3Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1199111113611––
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:46 and never touched: 57.7% is still 57.7%
Graded at full timeMatej Levicky to win
57.7%
57.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingDalibor Kolek above · Matej Levicky below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-13
Set 4 · 4-8
Point 76 set 4, 4-8 · our read held Matej Levicky at 57.7%
76 points drawn · the score is 5 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
H2H Dalibor Kolek 1–2 Matej Levicky Dalibor Kolek has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:4657.7%Our read61.9%to break even at 1.615
short by 4.2pp61.9% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.615 they are the same number)
What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Levicky
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
1-2 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kolek 1307 vs Levicky 1312
Levicky
Correct
both rated, 6 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kolek 60% vs Levicky 80%
Levicky
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kolek 40% vs Levicky 70%
Levicky
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kolek -1 · Levicky +3
Levicky
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% · Slight lean (leans Levicky) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Levicky form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKolek 2.20 / Levicky 1.615
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Levicky)-4.2pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13232053
Kolek2.20
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 3 days ago (Sep 30)
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog32% won 6 of 19
Down 0–1, comes back18% 2 of 11
Down 0–2, comes back10% 1 of 10
Levicky1.61
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 4 days ago (Sep 29)
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite67% won 58 of 86
Up 2–0, closes it89% 32 of 36
Up 1–0, closes it80% 45 of 56
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeKolek1wins
AwayLevicky2wins
Levicky leads 2–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kolek2Levicky1n = 3Kolek took 2 of 3
S2Kolek1Levicky2n = 3Levicky took 2 of 3
S3Kolek1Levicky2n = 3Levicky took 2 of 3
S4
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home133%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away133%
0–3Straight, away133%
These 3 meetings
MetricKolekLevickyK − LBasisWins12−1in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match31.734.0−2.3per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKolekLevickyBasisWin rate · lifetime18 / 46 vs 211 / 40339.1%52.4%18 / 46 vs 211 / 403Avg sets wonper match1.62.0per matchAvg pointsper match35.837.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
LevickyKolek 2.20/Levicky 1.61
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57.7%
Levicky · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Levicky won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WOct 3 · 18:30D. Kolek331111113M. Levicky249780
LOct 3 · 14:00D. Kolek371191161M. Levicky4491113113
LAug 15 · 15:30D. Kolek2561090M. Levicky341112113
D. Kolek10
LOct 3 · 21:29D. Kolek1.83118917102A. Schneeberger1.838111115123WOct 3 · 20:30A. Schneeberger1.6196111262D. Kolek2.201111510113WOct 3 · 19:30D. Kolek1.731111113Z. Zientek2.007980WOct 3 · 18:30M. Levicky1.619780D. Kolek2.201111113LOct 3 · 17:00R. Adamczyk2.301211113D. Kolek1.5510670LOct 3 · 16:00D. Kolek1.619740P. Banot2.201111113WOct 3 · 15:30R. Adamczyk2.20481141D. Kolek1.6111119113LSep 30 · 13:30P. Varecha1.4891111113D. Kolek2.45117791WSep 30 · 12:30J. Stach1.6771211552D. Kolek2.101110811113LSep 30 · 11:30D. Kolek2.25115981P. Varecha1.5741111113
M. Levicky10
LOct 3 · 20:59M. Levicky2.20119761Z. Zientek1.6141111113WOct 3 · 20:00Z. Zientek1.53111411362M. Levicky2.38816611113LOct 3 · 19:00A. Schneeberger1.501111113M. Levicky2.507870LOct 3 · 18:30M. Levicky1.619780D. Kolek2.201111113WOct 3 · 17:30M. Levicky2.25111133113P. Banot1.5787111182WOct 3 · 16:30M. Levicky1.50146119113R. Adamczyk2.50121191192WOct 3 · 15:00M. Levicky1.91111011113P. Banot1.80612561WSep 29 · 13:30M. Levicky2.1011511113V. Kocian1.67911861WSep 29 · 12:00M. Levicky2.501111113P. Banot1.507980WSep 29 · 11:30R. Adamczyk2.38912591M. Levicky1.53111011113
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