TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Michal Syroha vs Miroslav Vaclavik 0-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Oct 2Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 4
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
1012811711––––
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 03:27 and never touched: 65.4% is still 65.4%
Graded at full timeMichal Syroha to win
65.4%
65.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMichal Syroha above · Miroslav Vaclavik below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 59 set 3, 7-11 · our read held Michal Syroha at 65.4%
59 points played in total.
H2H Michal Syroha 6–0 Miroslav Vaclavik Miroslav Vaclavik has won 0 of their 6 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Syroha beat Vaclavik 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 03:2765.4%Our read69.0%to break even at 1.45
short by 3.6pp69.0% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.45 they are the same number)
What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.45 (64%)
Syroha
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
6-0 in 6
Syroha
Wrong
gap of 6 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Syroha 1256 vs Vaclavik 1283
Vaclavik
Correct
both rated, 28 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Syroha 80% vs Vaclavik 60%
Syroha
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Syroha 60% vs Vaclavik 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Syroha +4 · Vaclavik +1
Syroha
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% · Clear lean (leans Syroha) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vaclavik form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (39%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSyroha 1.45 / Vaclavik 2.55
Signal prob.65% / 35%
Edge (Syroha)-3.6pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13231137
Syroha1.45
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite59% won 88 of 149
Up 2–0, closes it94% 43 of 46
Up 1–0, closes it78% 61 of 78
Vaclavik2.55
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog41% won 20 of 49
Down 0–1, comes back15% 4 of 26
Down 0–2, comes back15% 3 of 20
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeSyroha6wins
AwayVaclavik0wins
1 of 6 to a deciderSyroha leads 6–0, and 1 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSyroha100%4 of 4
AwayVaclavikn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Syroha4Vaclavik2n = 6Syroha took 4 of 6
S2Syroha6Vaclavik0n = 6Syroha took 6 of 6
S3Syroha4Vaclavik2n = 6Syroha took 4 of 6
S4Syroha3Vaclavik0n = 3Syroha took 3 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home350%
3–1Four sets, home233%
3–2Decider, home117%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 6 meetings
MetricSyrohaVaclavikS − VBasisWins60+6in 6 meetingsFirst set42+2of 6Avg pointsper match37.227.0+10.2per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSyrohaVaclavikBasisWin rate · lifetime348 / 693 vs 127 / 22750.2%56%348 / 693 vs 127 / 227Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.837.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
SyrohaSyroha 1.45/Vaclavik 2.55
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
65.4%
Syroha · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Vaclavik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WOct 2 · 01:30M. Syroha42711112113M. Vaclavik42116111042
WJun 12 · 03:30M. Syroha331111113M. Vaclavik209650
WJun 11 · 22:00M. Syroha4181111113M. Vaclavik25112661
WJun 7 · 09:30M. Syroha341111123M. Vaclavik2679100
WJun 7 · 06:00M. Syroha4011117113M. Vaclavik26831141
WMay 28 · 22:00M. Syroha331111113M. Vaclavik238870
M. Syroha10
WOct 2 · 01:30M. Syroha1.33711112113M. Vaclavik3.25116111042WOct 2 · 00:30A. Hejduk1.67781251M. Syroha2.10111110113WOct 1 · 23:30J. Grohsgott1.57111188112M. Syroha2.25941111133WOct 1 · 22:30M. Syroha1.91114126133S. Mazanek1.809111011112LOct 1 · 21:00M. Varcl1.6711613113M. Syroha2.103111141LOct 1 · 20:00M. Syroha1.9111591182M. Varcl1.80911119113LOct 1 · 19:30M. Barta1.401111113M. Syroha2.759840LOct 1 · 18:00M. Syroha1.807770M. Lubas1.911111113WSep 30 · 17:03L. Havrda3.7510811101M. Syroha1.2512114123WSep 30 · 16:30M. Syroha1.2215119113L. Havrda4.001331161
M. Vaclavik10
WOct 2 · 02:30M. Vaclavik1.671111113J. Grohsgott2.108360LOct 2 · 01:30M. Syroha1.33711112113M. Vaclavik3.25116111042WOct 2 · 00:00M. Vaclavik2.38121211113S. Mazanek1.531410551WOct 1 · 23:00A. Hejduk2.7551190M. Vaclavik1.401113113LOct 1 · 17:30M. Vaclavik1.6041121162V. Stach2.20117114113WOct 1 · 16:00M. Vaclavik1.361111113J. Cernik3.004160WOct 1 · 15:30Z. Kasinski2.2510570M. Vaclavik1.571211113WOct 1 · 14:00M. Vaclavik1.53611116123V. Stach2.38116311102WSep 30 · 13:00J. Cernik4.0088111182M. Vaclavik1.22111194113LSep 30 · 12:00M. Vaclavik1.22111211862J. Cernik4.00614611113
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