TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Michal Cabis vs Libor Prikasky 1-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Oct 2Finished
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
5111191214711––
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:51 and never touched: 56.1% is still 56.1%
Graded at full timeMichal Cabis to win
56.1%
56.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMichal Cabis above · Libor Prikasky below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 12-14
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 80 set 4, 7-11 · our read held Michal Cabis at 56.1%
80 points played in total.
H2H Michal Cabis 1–2 Libor Prikasky Michal Cabis has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:5156.1%Our read63.7%to break even at 1.571
short by 7.6pp63.7% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.571 they are the same number)
What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Cabis
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
1-2 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Cabis 1723 vs Prikasky 1777
Prikasky
Correct
both rated, 54 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Cabis 40% vs Prikasky 20%
Cabis
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Cabis 30% vs Prikasky 60%
Prikasky
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Cabis +1 · Prikasky -4
Prikasky
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% · Slight lean (leans Cabis) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Prikasky form (20%) is below what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsCabis 1.571 / Prikasky 2.25
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Cabis)-7.6pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13228019
Cabis1.57
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 7 days ago (Sep 25) · back after a break
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite54% won 115 of 212
Up 2–0, closes it93% 56 of 60
Up 1–0, closes it75% 74 of 99
Prikasky2.25
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 6 days ago (Sep 26)
Lost last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog44% won 84 of 192
Down 0–1, comes back23% 25 of 108
Down 0–2, comes back8% 5 of 61
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeCabis1wins
AwayPrikasky2wins
2 of 3 to a deciderPrikasky leads 2–1, and 2 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Cabis2Prikasky1n = 3Cabis took 2 of 3
S2Cabis1Prikasky2n = 3Prikasky took 2 of 3
S3Cabis2Prikasky1n = 3Cabis took 2 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home133%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away267%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricCabisPrikaskyC − PBasisWins12−1in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match41.342.3−1.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricCabisPrikaskyBasisWin rate · lifetime368 / 715 vs 267 / 48151.5%55.5%368 / 715 vs 267 / 481Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.136.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
CabisCabis 1.57/Prikasky 2.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.1%
Cabis · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Prikasky won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LFeb 12 · 21:00M. Cabis44112121182L. Prikasky51611149113
LJan 27 · 13:57M. Cabis4576121192L. Prikasky501111107113
WJan 27 · 11:00M. Cabis351112123L. Prikasky26610100
M. Cabis10
LOct 2 · 16:00M. Cabis1.731011611122P. Wawrosz2.00128116143LOct 2 · 15:30M. Grundel1.83111179123M. Cabis1.83691111102WSep 25 · 20:59M. Navedla2.25881181M. Cabis1.5711117113LSep 25 · 20:30M. Navedla2.20118611113M. Cabis1.6191111692WSep 25 · 19:30M. Cabis2.10111274113R. Revay1.67910111152LSep 25 · 18:30M. Vavrecka2.0061111113M. Cabis1.73118781LSep 25 · 17:05M. Cabis2.3812730J. Dzida1.531411113LSep 25 · 16:30J. Dzida1.50511915113M. Cabis2.50114111392WSep 25 · 15:30M. Cabis2.381512113M. Biolek1.53131070LSep 25 · 14:30O. Paril2.101111113M. Cabis1.674770
L. Prikasky10
LOct 2 · 16:30L. Prikasky2.0011119862M. Grundel1.73681111113LOct 2 · 15:00L. Prikasky1.8311881172P. Wawrosz1.83911118113LSep 26 · 13:09M. Navedla1.50111111113L. Prikasky2.40791311LSep 26 · 12:00J. Pilch1.831111113L. Prikasky1.839670LSep 26 · 11:00D. Tomica2.639111113113L. Prikasky1.4411461582LSep 26 · 10:30L. Prikasky2.104450M. Navedla1.671111113WSep 20 · 17:29L. Prikasky1.401111123M. Zahradka2.7548100WSep 20 · 16:30R. Rose2.1089140L. Prikasky1.671111163WSep 20 · 15:30L. Prikasky1.67112119113J. Mecl Jr2.1071181152WSep 20 · 14:30M. Zahradka2.63112111462L. Prikasky1.44811516113
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