TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Serhii Solomko vs Andrii Martyniuk 3-2 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 1Finished
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1144116111131210
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 06:34 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeSerhii Solomko to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingSerhii Solomko above · Andrii Martyniuk below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 11-3
Set 5 · 12-10
Point 83 set 5, 12-10 · our read held Serhii Solomko at 54.0%
83 points played in total.
H2H Serhii Solomko 9–9 Andrii Martyniuk Dead even across their 18 meetings.
Last 10 · 6–4Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 06:3454.0%Our read55.6%to break even at 1.80
short by 1.6pp55.6% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.80 they are the same number)
What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Solomko
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
9-9 in 18
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Solomko 1538 vs Martyniuk 1528
Solomko
Correct
both rated, 10 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Solomko 60% vs Martyniuk 40%
Solomko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Solomko 70% vs Martyniuk 50%
Solomko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Solomko +1 · Martyniuk -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Solomko) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Martyniuk form (40%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSolomko 1.80 / Martyniuk 1.909
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Solomko)-1.6pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13223543
Solomko1.80
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite63% won 116 of 185
Up 2–0, closes it89% 57 of 64
Up 1–0, closes it79% 82 of 104
Martyniuk1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog33% won 25 of 77
Down 0–1, comes back13% 5 of 38
Down 0–2, comes back5% 1 of 20
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSolomko6wins
AwayMartyniuk4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderSolomko leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSolomko80%4 of 5
AwayMartyniuk60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Solomko5Martyniuk5n = 10split evenly
S2Solomko4Martyniuk6n = 10Martyniuk took 6 of 10
S3Solomko6Martyniuk4n = 10Solomko took 6 of 10
S4Solomko5Martyniuk2n = 7Solomko took 5 of 7
S5Solomko2Martyniuk1n = 3Solomko took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricSolomkoMartyniukS − MBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match38.638.0+0.6per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSolomkoMartyniukBasisWin rate · lifetime542 / 1046 vs 185 / 35651.8%52%542 / 1046 vs 185 / 356Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.438.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
SolomkoSolomko 1.80/Martyniuk 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Solomko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Solomko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WOct 1 · 06:35S. Solomko44114611123A. Martyniuk39411113102
WSep 24 · 12:05S. Solomko331111113A. Martyniuk197660
LSep 13 · 09:50S. Solomko46119511102A. Martyniuk50911117123
WAug 31 · 12:05S. Solomko5611111110133A. Martyniuk54913912112
WAug 29 · 16:30S. Solomko4781611123A. Martyniuk4411149101
WAug 22 · 12:00S. Solomko3961111113A. Martyniuk33114991
WAug 5 · 09:35S. Solomko4011414113A. Martyniuk365111281
LAug 4 · 14:10S. Solomko2410680A. Martyniuk341211113
LJul 26 · 11:20S. Solomko189720A. Martyniuk331111113
S. Solomko10
WOct 1 · 08:05S. Solomko1.2891111113E. Populovskyi3.50115771WOct 1 · 05:05S. Solomko1.6191111113O. Osadchyi2.20118411LSep 30 · 11:30A. Kovalenko2.001111113S. Solomko1.735680WSep 30 · 10:00S. Solomko2.201111113O. Volynets1.613960LSep 30 · 08:00O. Shyshman1.281613113S. Solomko3.50141130WSep 30 · 06:00O. Osadchyi2.20861151S. Solomko1.6111119113WSep 30 · 05:00E. Populovskyi3.4077100S. Solomko1.301111123LSep 29 · 12:05S. Solomko1.503790A. Kovalenko2.501111113WSep 29 · 10:05I. Emets1.5311481172S. Solomko2.38911118113WSep 29 · 08:05O. Osadchyi2.2011411562S. Solomko1.61811711113
A. Martyniuk10
WOct 1 · 07:35A. Martyniuk1.2511911113O. Osadchyi3.75611421LOct 1 · 05:35A. Martyniuk1.4011551172E. Populovskyi2.75911117113WSep 28 · 11:30V. Bilobrov1.2210960A. Martyniuk4.001211113LSep 28 · 10:00A. Martyniuk2.256850A. Troyan1.571111113WSep 28 · 08:00Y. Volkov1.4091191142A. Martyniuk2.75118114113LSep 28 · 06:00V. Kolesnykov1.61121011113A. Martyniuk2.201012731WSep 28 · 05:00I. Emets2.204730A. Martyniuk1.611111113WSep 25 · 11:00A. Martyniuk2.7511135113O. Karpenko1.404111141LSep 25 · 09:00Y. Volkov1.3611115113A. Martyniuk3.00841181LSep 25 · 08:00A. Martyniuk2.20641181A. Troyan1.6111119113
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