TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Volodymyr Ivnytskyi vs Vitalii Klymenko 2-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 30Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
911311118119911
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:22 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeVolodymyr Ivnytskyi to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingVolodymyr Ivnytskyi above · Vitalii Klymenko below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 3-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 93 set 5, 9-11 · our read held Volodymyr Ivnytskyi at 54.0%
93 points played in total.
H2H Volodymyr Ivnytskyi 8–13 Vitalii Klymenko Volodymyr Ivnytskyi has won 8 of their 21 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:2254.0%Our read54.6%to break even at 1.833
short by 0.6pp54.6% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.833 they are the same number)
What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Klymenko
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
8-13 in 21
Klymenko
Correct
gap of 5 in 21, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Ivnytskyi 1045 vs Klymenko 1018
Ivnytskyi
Wrong
both rated, 27 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Ivnytskyi 60% vs Klymenko 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Ivnytskyi 60% vs Klymenko 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Ivnytskyi +1 · Klymenko +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Ivnytskyi) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsIvnytskyi 1.833 / Klymenko 1.833
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Ivnytskyi)-0.6pp
Setka Cup · #13218647
Ivnytskyi1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 7 days ago (Sep 23) · back after a break
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Klymenko1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 2 days ago (Sep 28)
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeIvnytskyi6wins
AwayKlymenko4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderIvnytskyi leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeIvnytskyi71.4%5 of 7
AwayKlymenko66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Ivnytskyi7Klymenko3n = 10Ivnytskyi took 7 of 10
S2Ivnytskyi5Klymenko5n = 10split evenly
S3Ivnytskyi5Klymenko5n = 10split evenly
S4Ivnytskyi4Klymenko2n = 6Ivnytskyi took 4 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricIvnytskyiKlymenkoI − KBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match37.133.8+3.3per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricIvnytskyiKlymenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime42 / 110 vs 97 / 24638.2%39.4%42 / 110 vs 97 / 246Avg sets wonper match1.71.7per matchAvg pointsper match35.434.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
IvnytskyiIvnytskyi 1.83/Klymenko 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Ivnytskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Klymenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 23 · 12:30V. Ivnytskyi30119731V. Klymenko3851111113
WSep 21 · 17:14V. Ivnytskyi331111113V. Klymenko137150
LSep 21 · 12:30V. Ivnytskyi31881141V. Klymenko3811115113
WSep 19 · 10:00V. Ivnytskyi4512912123V. Klymenko41101110101
WSep 14 · 17:38V. Ivnytskyi3812114113V. Klymenko331061161
WSep 14 · 15:00V. Ivnytskyi331111113V. Klymenko167630
WSep 7 · 17:29V. Ivnytskyi541213711113V. Klymenko50141111682
WAug 31 · 15:00V. Ivnytskyi331111113V. Klymenko219840
LAug 17 · 17:18V. Ivnytskyi29117110V. Klymenko371311133
LAug 17 · 15:00V. Ivnytskyi4511891252V. Klymenko518111110113
V. Ivnytskyi10
LSep 30 · 14:30V. Ivnytskyi3.2561181162R. Boklah1.33115119113LSep 30 · 13:30O. Kolos1.331111123V. Ivnytskyi3.2596100WSep 23 · 16:59V. Ivnytskyi1.731111113D. Aldayev2.009690LSep 23 · 16:00V. Ivnytskyi3.2511108101R. Boklah1.3371211123WSep 23 · 15:00O. Kolos1.17111011892V. Ivnytskyi4.50812711113WSep 23 · 14:00D. Aldayev2.20118111082V. Ivnytskyi1.61811912113LSep 23 · 12:30V. Klymenko2.3851111113V. Ivnytskyi1.53119731WSep 21 · 17:14V. Klymenko1.837150V. Ivnytskyi1.831111113WSep 21 · 15:30D. Aldayev2.1011119622V. Ivnytskyi1.67481111113WSep 21 · 14:30V. Ivnytskyi4.50117118113R. Boklah1.1741161152
V. Klymenko10
WSep 30 · 14:00D. Aldayev2.1011881192V. Klymenko1.67511118113WSep 28 · 17:05V. Klymenko1.73119211123D. Aldayev2.00711117102LSep 28 · 16:00V. Klymenko2.751141171O. Kolos1.4091113113WSep 28 · 15:00R. Boklah1.5091111131V. Klymenko2.5011513153LSep 28 · 14:00D. Aldayev2.25111115113V. Klymenko1.57911781WSep 28 · 12:30A. Fastov1.14311811102V. Klymenko5.00116117123WSep 26 · 10:02V. Klymenko3.25114611113O. Kolos1.2751111572LSep 26 · 08:00A. Fastov1.13511811113V. Klymenko5.5011711772WSep 23 · 12:30V. Klymenko2.3851111113V. Ivnytskyi1.53119731LSep 21 · 17:14V. Klymenko1.837150V. Ivnytskyi1.831111113
Upcoming Matches
V. Ivnytskyi
V. Klymenko
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.