TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Pawel Polok vs Oskar Jadach 0-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 29Finished
Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
411911811––––
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:19 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timePawel Polok to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
54 points played in total.
Set by set
411911811––––
H2H Pawel Polok 2–4 Oskar Jadach Pawel Polok has won 2 of their 6 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 4h before this match
Polok beat Jadach 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:19What took a side4 for · 2 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Polok
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
2-4 in 6
Jadach
Correct
gap of 2 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Polok 1473 vs Jadach 1383
Polok
Wrong
both rated, 91 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Polok 80% vs Jadach 40%
Polok
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Polok 80% vs Jadach 30%
Polok
Wrong
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Polok +1 · Jadach -3
Jadach
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 0 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Polok) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jadach form (40%) is below what odds imply (53%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPolok 1.80 / Jadach 1.90
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Polok)+2.6pp
TT Elite Series · #13216487
Polok1.80
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite65% won 117 of 181
Up 2–0, closes it94% 67 of 71
Up 1–0, closes it82% 95 of 116
Jadach1.90
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog45% won 75 of 168
Down 0–1, comes back27% 28 of 105
Down 0–2, comes back8% 5 of 64
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomePolok2wins
AwayJadach4wins
3 of 6 to a deciderJadach leads 4–2, and 3 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePolok50%2 of 4
AwayJadachn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Polok4Jadach2n = 6Polok took 4 of 6
S2Polok3Jadach3n = 6split evenly
S3Polok1Jadach5n = 6Jadach took 5 of 6
S4Polok1Jadach3n = 4Jadach took 3 of 4
S5Polok1Jadach2n = 3Jadach took 2 of 3
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home117%
3–2Decider, home117%
2–3Decider, away233%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away233%
These 6 meetings
MetricPolokJadachP − JBasisWins24−2in 6 meetingsFirst set42+2of 6Avg pointsper match36.738.3−1.6per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPolokJadachBasisWin rate · lifetime167 / 261 vs 784 / 131164%59.8%167 / 261 vs 784 / 1311Avg sets wonper match2.32.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.037.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
PolokPolok 1.80/Jadach 1.90
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Polok · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Jadach won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
LSep 29 · 12:20P. Polok214980O. Jadach331111113
WSep 29 · 08:20P. Polok521110119113O. Jadach4351271182
LSep 3 · 14:45P. Polok199550O. Jadach331111113
WSep 3 · 11:05P. Polok3811115113O. Jadach27341191
LAug 27 · 12:20P. Polok4511126882O. Jadach518101111113
LAug 27 · 08:20P. Polok4511117972O. Jadach43551111113
P. Polok10
WSep 29 · 10:40P. Polok1.381171110113M. Baron2.8051191252LSep 29 · 09:05S. Juzek3.15111199113P. Polok1.3078111162WSep 29 · 08:20O. Jadach2.2551271182P. Polok1.571110119113WSep 29 · 07:30P. Polok1.4011117113W. Ptak2.65891191WSep 29 · 06:20P. Polok1.4511112113O. Vincenec2.55861131WSep 27 · 14:40P. Polok1.731112113S. Szostok2.0041060WSep 27 · 13:05P. Polok1.53131112113Z. Sobkow2.381581061WSep 27 · 11:50P. Polok1.80811118123J. Wieczerzak1.91119611102WSep 27 · 10:10P. Polok2.631111153A. Cichocki1.4449130LSep 27 · 09:00P. Polok1.808890W. Wojtaszczyk1.911111113
O. Jadach10
WSep 29 · 11:05O. Jadach1.801111113W. Ptak1.856270LSep 29 · 09:30O. Jadach1.47111112862O. Vincenec2.451371011113LSep 29 · 08:20O. Jadach2.2551271182P. Polok1.571110119113LSep 29 · 06:45O. Jadach2.41147651S. Juzek1.51121111113WSep 29 · 05:30O. Jadach1.751151111113M. Baron1.9513119782WSep 28 · 17:05O. Jadach1.6011811113P. Slosarczyk2.22711781LSep 28 · 15:30O. Jadach1.7013931142Y. Fomin2.001111116113LSep 28 · 14:20O. Jadach2.04810110R. Niemiec1.701112133LSep 28 · 12:45O. Jadach1.855760G. Wichowski1.851111113WSep 28 · 11:30O. Jadach1.371113113W. Tobiasz2.8761130
Upcoming Matches
P. Polok
Nothing scheduled
O. Jadach
Sep 29 · 13:10O. Jadach1.57M. Baron2.25—Sep 29 · 16:20O. Jadach—S. Juzek——Sep 30 · 03:25O. Jadach1.83K. Adamus1.83—Sep 30 · 04:55O. Jadach1.28K. Kowalski3.50—Sep 30 · 06:05O. Jadach1.73P. Przewlocki2.00—Sep 30 · 07:20O. Jadach1.83P. Brozek1.83—Sep 30 · 08:35O. Jadach1.17I. Szymanski4.50—Sep 30 · 09:25O. Jadach1.83K. Adamus1.83—Sep 30 · 12:15O. Jadach1.17I. Szymanski4.50—Sep 30 · 13:30O. Jadach1.83P. Brozek1.83—
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