TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Pawel Polok vs Sebastian Szostok 3-0 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 27Finished
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1141210116––––
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:29 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeSebastian Szostok to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingPawel Polok above · Sebastian Szostok below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 11-6
Point 54 set 3, 11-6 — our read held Sebastian Szostok at 54.0%
54 points played in total.
H2H Pawel Polok 3–4 Sebastian Szostok Pawel Polok has won 3 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:29What took a side0 for · 4 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Polok
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-4 in 7
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Polok 1455 vs Szostok 1435
Polok
Correct
both rated, 20 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Polok 60% vs Szostok 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Polok 70% vs Szostok 50%
Polok
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Polok +3 · Szostok +1
Polok
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Polok) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPolok 1.73 / Szostok 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Polok)+0.3pp
TT Elite Series · #13200662
Polok1.73
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite65% won 113 of 175
Up 2–0, closes it94% 65 of 69
Up 1–0, closes it82% 93 of 113
Szostok2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog46% won 71 of 154
Down 0–1, comes back31% 29 of 94
Down 0–2, comes back11% 5 of 45
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomePolok3wins
AwaySzostok4wins
2 of 7 to a deciderSzostok leads 4–3, and 2 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePolok60%3 of 5
AwaySzostokn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Polok5Szostok2n = 7Polok took 5 of 7
S2Polok2Szostok5n = 7Szostok took 5 of 7
S3Polok2Szostok5n = 7Szostok took 5 of 7
S4Polok3Szostok3n = 6split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home229%
3–2Decider, home114%
2–3Decider, away114%
1–3Four sets, away229%
0–3Straight, away114%
These 7 meetings
MetricPolokSzostokP − SBasisWins34−1in 7 meetingsFirst set52+3of 7Avg pointsper match41.042.3−1.3per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPolokSzostokBasisWin rate · lifetime162 / 253 vs 918 / 158464%58%162 / 253 vs 918 / 1584Avg sets wonper match2.32.3per matchAvg pointsper match38.040.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PolokPolok 1.73/Szostok 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Polok · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Polok won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
LSep 27 · 06:05P. Polok35119781S. Szostok3851111113
WSep 23 · 09:25P. Polok47131112113S. Szostok431191491
LSep 23 · 03:25P. Polok29581151S. Szostok3911116113
LSep 16 · 00:00P. Polok48121091162S. Szostok511012117113
WAug 31 · 00:45P. Polok571281410133S. Szostok5610111212112
WAug 30 · 22:20P. Polok4211119113S. Szostok33951181
LAug 11 · 23:45P. Polok2998120S. Szostok361111143
P. Polok10
WSep 27 · 13:05P. Polok1.53131112113Z. Sobkow2.381581061WSep 27 · 11:50P. Polok1.80811118123J. Wieczerzak1.91119611102WSep 27 · 10:10P. Polok2.631111153A. Cichocki1.4449130LSep 27 · 09:00P. Polok1.808890W. Wojtaszczyk1.911111113LSep 27 · 07:45A. Cichocki1.441111113P. Polok2.638490WSep 27 · 06:55Z. Sobkow2.2586111162P. Polok1.57111166113LSep 27 · 06:05P. Polok1.91119781S. Szostok1.8051111113LSep 27 · 04:30P. Polok1.80117151182W. Wojtaszczyk1.91811178113WSep 27 · 03:50J. Wieczerzak1.8312180P. Polok1.831411113WSep 26 · 13:55R. Piechnik3.254980P. Polok1.331111113
S. Szostok10
WSep 27 · 13:30S. Szostok1.911141111123W. Wojtaszczyk1.80611513102LSep 27 · 12:15Z. Sobkow2.50131112113S. Szostok1.501551081LSep 27 · 11:00J. Wieczerzak1.9191111113S. Szostok1.80118811WSep 27 · 09:25A. Cichocki1.50138791S. Szostok2.50111111113WSep 27 · 08:35Z. Sobkow2.506960S. Szostok1.501111113LSep 27 · 07:20S. Szostok2.00791191W. Wojtaszczyk1.7311118113WSep 27 · 06:05P. Polok1.91119781S. Szostok1.8051111113LSep 27 · 04:55J. Wieczerzak1.9111115113S. Szostok1.80751161WSep 27 · 03:25A. Cichocki1.4421111872S. Szostok2.63119611113LSep 26 · 17:05S. Szostok1.6441151182P. Gamrot2.14115119113
Upcoming Matches
P. Polok
Nothing scheduled
S. Szostok
Sep 28 · 03:00S. Szostok1.22I. Szymanski4.00—Sep 28 · 04:30S. Szostok1.91K. Hetnar1.80—Sep 28 · 05:15S. Szostok1.57P. Przewlocki2.25—Sep 28 · 07:20S. Szostok1.44W. Buczynski2.63—Sep 28 · 08:10S. Szostok1.50J. Kaczmarek2.50—Sep 28 · 09:00S. Szostok1.50J. Kaczmarek2.50—Sep 28 · 10:35S. Szostok1.22I. Szymanski4.00—Sep 28 · 11:25S. Szostok1.57P. Przewlocki2.25—Sep 28 · 13:30S. Szostok1.44W. Buczynski2.63—Sep 28 · 14:20S. Szostok1.40W. Jozala2.75—
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