TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Pawel Polok vs Aleksander Cichocki 3-0 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 27Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1141191513––––
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:56 and never touched — 67.3% is still 67.3%
Graded at full timeAleksander Cichocki to win
67.3%
67.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingPawel Polok above · Aleksander Cichocki below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 15-13
Point 63 set 3, 15-13 — our read held Aleksander Cichocki at 67.3%
63 points played in total.
H2H Pawel Polok 0–3 Aleksander Cichocki Pawel Polok has won 0 of their 3 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Cichocki beat Polok 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:56What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Cichocki
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-3 in 3
Cichocki
Wrong
gap of 3 in 3, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Polok 1421 vs Cichocki 1516
Cichocki
Wrong
both rated, 95 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Polok 20% vs Cichocki 60%
Cichocki
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Polok 40% vs Cichocki 60%
Cichocki
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Polok -2 · Cichocki -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Cichocki)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Polok form (20%) is below what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPolok 2.63 / Cichocki 1.44
Signal prob.33% / 67%
Edge (Cichocki)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13200764
Polok2.63
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog60% won 21 of 35
Down 0–1, comes back43% 6 of 14
Cichocki1.44
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite69% won 96 of 139
Up 2–0, closes it94% 45 of 48
Up 1–0, closes it89% 71 of 80
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomePolok0wins
AwayCichocki3wins
1 of 3 to a deciderCichocki leads 3–0, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Polok1Cichocki2n = 3Cichocki took 2 of 3
S2Polok1Cichocki2n = 3Cichocki took 2 of 3
S3Polok0Cichocki3n = 3Cichocki took 3 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away133%
1–3Four sets, away133%
0–3Straight, away133%
These 3 meetings
MetricPolokCichockiP − CBasisWins03−3in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match34.040.0−6.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPolokCichockiBasisWin rate · lifetime159 / 251 vs 132 / 20863.4%63.5%159 / 251 vs 132 / 208Avg sets wonper match2.32.3per matchAvg pointsper match37.938.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
CichockiPolok 2.63/Cichocki 1.44
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
67.3%
Cichocki · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Polok won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LSep 27 · 07:45P. Polok218490A. Cichocki331111113
LSep 26 · 10:35P. Polok49101191182A. Cichocki47127116113
LSep 26 · 04:10P. Polok32115881A. Cichocki4071111113
P. Polok10
LSep 27 · 09:00P. Polok1.808890W. Wojtaszczyk1.911111113LSep 27 · 07:45A. Cichocki1.441111113P. Polok2.638490WSep 27 · 06:55Z. Sobkow2.2586111162P. Polok1.57111166113LSep 27 · 06:05P. Polok1.91119781S. Szostok1.8051111113LSep 27 · 04:30P. Polok1.80117151182W. Wojtaszczyk1.91811178113WSep 27 · 03:50J. Wieczerzak1.8312180P. Polok1.831411113WSep 26 · 13:55R. Piechnik3.254980P. Polok1.331111113WSep 26 · 13:05M. Lach1.91711671P. Polok1.8011611113LSep 26 · 12:15P. Polok1.405990J. Jesiek2.751111113LSep 26 · 10:35P. Polok2.50101191182A. Cichocki1.50127116113
A. Cichocki10
LSep 27 · 09:25A. Cichocki1.50138791S. Szostok2.50111111113WSep 27 · 07:45A. Cichocki1.441111113P. Polok2.638490LSep 27 · 06:30A. Cichocki1.671191151J. Wieczerzak2.1013117113WSep 27 · 05:15A. Cichocki1.4412115113W. Wojtaszczyk2.631061191WSep 27 · 04:10Z. Sobkow2.631110111272A. Cichocki1.44712714113LSep 27 · 03:25A. Cichocki1.4421111872S. Szostok2.63119611113LSep 26 · 14:20R. Idaczyk3.751511113A. Cichocki1.2513860WSep 26 · 13:30J. Jesiek2.7561070A. Cichocki1.401112113WSep 26 · 11:25R. Piechnik5.503850A. Cichocki1.131111113WSep 26 · 10:35P. Polok2.50101191182A. Cichocki1.50127116113
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