TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Rafal Idaczyk vs Aleksander Cichocki 3-0 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 26Finished
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1513118116––––
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:55 and never touched — 77.8% is still 77.8%
Graded at full timeAleksander Cichocki to win
77.8%
77.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingRafal Idaczyk above · Aleksander Cichocki below
Set 1 · 15-13
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-6
Point 64 set 3, 11-6 — our read held Aleksander Cichocki at 77.8%
64 points played in total.
H2H Rafal Idaczyk 1–3 Aleksander Cichocki Rafal Idaczyk has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:55What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.25 (75%)
Cichocki
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-3 in 4
Cichocki
Wrong
gap of 2 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Idaczyk 1370 vs Cichocki 1579
Cichocki
Wrong
both rated, 209 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Idaczyk 60% vs Cichocki 80%
Cichocki
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Idaczyk 70% vs Cichocki 70%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Idaczyk +1 · Cichocki +3
Cichocki
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 78% — Strong (leans Cichocki)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Idaczyk form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (27%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsIdaczyk 3.75 / Cichocki 1.25
Signal prob.22% / 78%
Edge (Cichocki)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13194595
Idaczyk3.75
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog36% won 100 of 276
Down 0–1, comes back16% 26 of 165
Down 0–2, comes back2% 2 of 111
Cichocki1.25
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite70% won 91 of 130
Up 2–0, closes it96% 42 of 44
Up 1–0, closes it91% 67 of 74
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeIdaczyk1wins
AwayCichocki3wins
Cichocki leads 3–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeIdaczykn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayCichocki100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Idaczyk1Cichocki3n = 4Cichocki took 3 of 4
S2Idaczyk2Cichocki2n = 4split evenly
S3Idaczyk0Cichocki4n = 4Cichocki took 4 of 4
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home125%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away125%
0–3Straight, away250%
These 4 meetings
MetricIdaczykCichockiI − CBasisWins13−2in 4 meetingsFirst set13−2of 4Avg pointsper match27.533.2−5.7per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricIdaczykCichockiBasisWin rate · lifetime474 / 951 vs 129 / 20149.8%64.2%474 / 951 vs 129 / 201Avg sets wonper match1.92.3per matchAvg pointsper match35.738.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
CichockiIdaczyk 3.75/Cichocki 1.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
77.8%
Cichocki · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Idaczyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
LAug 30 · 09:25R. Idaczyk31611591A. Cichocki3911611113
WAug 30 · 03:25R. Idaczyk4211119113A. Cichocki28861131
LAug 29 · 13:05R. Idaczyk184860A. Cichocki331111113
LAug 29 · 06:55R. Idaczyk196850A. Cichocki331111113
R. Idaczyk10
WSep 26 · 12:40R. Piechnik2.009111281R. Idaczyk1.7311814113LSep 26 · 11:50M. Lach1.281111113R. Idaczyk3.508570WSep 26 · 11:00R. Idaczyk1.83411116113J. Jesiek1.8311831172WSep 26 · 09:50R. Idaczyk2.5011119113P. Polok1.50871151LSep 26 · 08:00M. Adamus1.7811414143R. Idaczyk1.9371112121WSep 26 · 07:10K. Adamus1.687870R. Idaczyk2.051111113LSep 26 · 06:25R. Idaczyk1.557560R. Adach2.251111113WSep 26 · 04:50R. Idaczyk1.70711511113T. Lojtek2.0011511772WSep 26 · 04:00P. Mecik2.159960R. Idaczyk1.621111113WSep 25 · 13:55R. Idaczyk2.251111133P. Gumulinski1.5796110
A. Cichocki10
WSep 26 · 13:30J. Jesiek2.7561070A. Cichocki1.401112113WSep 26 · 11:25R. Piechnik5.503850A. Cichocki1.131111113WSep 26 · 10:35P. Polok2.50101191182A. Cichocki1.50127116113LSep 26 · 09:00M. Lach2.631011811113A. Cichocki1.4412311592WSep 26 · 07:45A. Cichocki1.3071111113R. Szymik3.40116551LSep 26 · 06:30A. Cichocki1.4411116792M. Lach2.63891111113WSep 26 · 05:15A. Cichocki1.301111113R. Piechnik3.407680WSep 26 · 04:10P. Polok2.10115881A. Cichocki1.6771111113LSep 26 · 03:25A. Cichocki1.301511111182J. Jesiek3.40177139113WSep 13 · 13:55A. Cichocki1.4011611113Z. Sobkow2.75711881
Upcoming Matches
R. Idaczyk
Nothing scheduled
A. Cichocki
Sep 27 · 03:25A. Cichocki1.44S. Szostok2.63—Sep 27 · 05:15A. Cichocki1.44W. Wojtaszczyk2.63—Sep 27 · 06:30A. Cichocki1.67J. Wieczerzak2.10—Sep 27 · 07:45A. Cichocki1.44P. Polok2.63—Sep 27 · 09:25A. Cichocki1.44S. Szostok2.63—Sep 27 · 10:10A. Cichocki1.44P. Polok2.63—Sep 27 · 11:25A. Cichocki1.44W. Wojtaszczyk2.63—Sep 27 · 12:40A. Cichocki1.67J. Wieczerzak2.10—Sep 27 · 13:55A. Cichocki1.40Z. Sobkow2.75—
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