TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Roman Piechnik vs Rafal Idaczyk 1-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 26Finished
Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
9111181214811––
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:55 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeRafal Idaczyk to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRoman Piechnik above · Rafal Idaczyk below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 12-14
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 84 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Rafal Idaczyk at 54.0%
84 points played in total.
H2H Roman Piechnik 1–1 Rafal Idaczyk Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:55What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Idaczyk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Piechnik 1245 vs Idaczyk 1362
Idaczyk
Correct
both rated, 116 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Piechnik 20% vs Idaczyk 60%
Idaczyk
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Piechnik 20% vs Idaczyk 60%
Idaczyk
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Piechnik -1 · Idaczyk -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Idaczyk) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Piechnik form (20%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPiechnik 2.00 / Idaczyk 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 55%
Edge (Idaczyk)+0.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13194582
Piechnik2.00
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog28% won 8 of 29
Down 0–1, comes back11% 2 of 18
Down 0–2, comes back15% 2 of 13
Idaczyk1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite62% won 111 of 179
Up 2–0, closes it96% 67 of 70
Up 1–0, closes it81% 91 of 113
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomePiechnik1wins
AwayIdaczyk1wins
Level at 1–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricPiechnikIdaczykP − IBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set20+2of 2Avg pointsper match35.533.5+2.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPiechnikIdaczykBasisWin rate · lifetime21 / 58 vs 473 / 95036.2%49.8%21 / 58 vs 473 / 950Avg sets wonper match1.61.9per matchAvg pointsper match34.935.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
IdaczykPiechnik 2.00/Idaczyk 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.5%
Idaczyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Idaczyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LSep 5 · 16:20R. Piechnik38147981R. Idaczyk45121111113
WSep 5 · 06:45R. Piechnik331111113R. Idaczyk229490
R. Piechnik10
LSep 26 · 13:55R. Piechnik3.254980P. Polok1.331111113LSep 26 · 11:25R. Piechnik5.503850A. Cichocki1.131111113WSep 26 · 10:10M. Lach1.61111261172R. Piechnik2.20814116113LSep 26 · 09:25R. Piechnik1.83108100J. Jesiek1.831211123LSep 26 · 08:10M. Lach1.571111113R. Piechnik2.259740LSep 26 · 07:20J. Jesiek1.83119511113R. Piechnik1.8341111772LSep 26 · 05:15A. Cichocki1.301111113R. Piechnik3.407680LSep 26 · 04:30R. Szymik1.731111133R. Piechnik2.0036110LSep 26 · 03:00P. Polok1.401011711113R. Piechnik2.7512511682WSep 6 · 16:20M. Lach1.6071040R. Piechnik2.151112113
R. Idaczyk10
LSep 26 · 11:50M. Lach1.281111113R. Idaczyk3.508570WSep 26 · 11:00R. Idaczyk1.83411116113J. Jesiek1.8311831172WSep 26 · 09:50R. Idaczyk2.5011119113P. Polok1.50871151LSep 26 · 08:00M. Adamus1.7811414143R. Idaczyk1.9371112121WSep 26 · 07:10K. Adamus1.687870R. Idaczyk2.051111113LSep 26 · 06:25R. Idaczyk1.557560R. Adach2.251111113WSep 26 · 04:50R. Idaczyk1.70711511113T. Lojtek2.0011511772WSep 26 · 04:00P. Mecik2.159960R. Idaczyk1.621111113WSep 25 · 13:55R. Idaczyk2.251111133P. Gumulinski1.5796110LSep 25 · 12:40R. Idaczyk1.735970S. Juzek2.001111113
Upcoming Matches
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R. Idaczyk
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