TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Marek Kulisek vs Adam Kosacky 3-1 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 29Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
511114115118––
Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:41 and never touched: 70.0% is still 70.0%
Graded at full timeAdam Kosacky to win
70.0%
70.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMarek Kulisek above · Adam Kosacky below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 66 set 4, 11-8 · our read held Adam Kosacky at 70.0%
66 points played in total.
H2H Marek Kulisek 38–71 Adam Kosacky Marek Kulisek has won 38 of their 109 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:41What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Kosacky
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
38-71 in 109
Kosacky
Wrong
gap of 33 in 109, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kulisek 1603 vs Kosacky 1684
Kosacky
Wrong
both rated, 80 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kulisek 40% vs Kosacky 80%
Kosacky
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kulisek 40% vs Kosacky 80%
Kosacky
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kulisek +1 · Kosacky +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 70% · Strong (leans Kosacky) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKulisek 3.00 / Kosacky 1.36
Signal prob.30% / 70%
Edge (Kosacky)+1.2pp
TT Cup · #13216008
Kulisek3.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog38% won 103 of 271
Down 0–1, comes back24% 38 of 157
Down 0–2, comes back5% 4 of 87
Kosacky1.36
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite65% won 52 of 80
Up 2–0, closes it97% 29 of 30
Up 1–0, closes it84% 42 of 50
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKulisek1wins
AwayKosacky9wins
1 of 10 to a deciderKosacky leads 9–1, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKulisekn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayKosacky100%8 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kulisek2Kosacky8n = 10Kosacky took 8 of 10
S2Kulisek3Kosacky7n = 10Kosacky took 7 of 10
S3Kulisek1Kosacky9n = 10Kosacky took 9 of 10
S4Kulisek1Kosacky2n = 3Kosacky took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away660%
These 10 meetings
MetricKulisekKosackyKulisek − KosackyBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match28.535.7−7.2per matchSweeps16−53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKulisekKosackyBasisWin rate · lifetime390 / 871 vs 329 / 58944.8%55.9%390 / 871 vs 329 / 589Avg sets wonper match1.92.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.138.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
KosackyKulisek 3.00/Kosacky 1.36
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
70%
Kosacky · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kulisek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 28 · 19:25M. Kulisek194870A. Kosacky331111113
LSep 27 · 22:38M. Kulisek2265110A. Kosacky351111133
WSep 27 · 19:55M. Kulisek331111113A. Kosacky144640
LJun 4 · 22:25M. Kulisek361110781A. Kosacky4171211113
LJun 4 · 21:25M. Kulisek2611870A. Kosacky351311113
LMay 30 · 22:00M. Kulisek2495100A. Kosacky341111123
LMay 30 · 19:25M. Kulisek188370A. Kosacky331111113
LMay 8 · 22:03M. Kulisek177910A. Kosacky331111113
LMay 8 · 20:55M. Kulisek355125131A. Kosacky47111011153
LMay 6 · 19:05M. Kulisek5510111311102A. Kosacky52129154123
M. Kulisek10
WSep 29 · 19:20M. Sulc2.25127551M. Kulisek1.57101111113LSep 29 · 18:50O. Fiklik2.00118711113M. Kulisek1.7391111962LSep 28 · 21:53M. Kulisek1.8081411662O. Fiklik1.911112811113WSep 28 · 20:55O. Fiklik1.9161170M. Kulisek1.801113113LSep 28 · 20:25P. Benes1.53121111113M. Kulisek2.38148771LSep 28 · 19:25M. Kulisek2.754870A. Kosacky1.401111113LSep 27 · 22:38M. Kulisek3.0065110A. Kosacky1.361111133LSep 27 · 21:25M. Kulisek2.50111377112P. Vanek1.509111111133WSep 27 · 19:55A. Kosacky1.444640M. Kulisek2.631111113WSep 27 · 19:25O. Fiklik2.10711691M. Kulisek1.6711811113
A. Kosacky10
WSep 29 · 19:50A. Kosacky1.4411116113O. Fiklik2.63311181WSep 29 · 18:20M. Sulc3.75814131192A. Kosacky1.251116119113LSep 28 · 22:25A. Kosacky1.67119161042P. Benes2.103111412113WSep 28 · 21:25A. Kosacky1.7391111113P. Benes2.00116881WSep 28 · 19:55O. Fiklik2.6311880A. Kosacky1.441311113WSep 28 · 19:25M. Kulisek2.754870A. Kosacky1.401111113WSep 27 · 22:38M. Kulisek3.0065110A. Kosacky1.361111133WSep 27 · 20:55A. Kosacky1.531171111113O. Fiklik2.3881181342LSep 27 · 19:55A. Kosacky1.444640M. Kulisek2.631111113WSep 27 · 18:55A. Kosacky2.25911111113P. Vanek1.5711981172
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