TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Adam Kral vs Martin Filipek 0-3 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 29Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
811811611––––
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:19 and never touched: 58.9% is still 58.9%
Graded at full timeMartin Filipek to win
58.9%
58.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingAdam Kral above · Martin Filipek below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Point 55 set 3, 6-11 · our read held Martin Filipek at 58.9%
55 points played in total.
H2H Adam Kral 40–47 Martin Filipek Adam Kral has won 40 of their 87 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:19What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Filipek
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
40-47 in 87
Filipek
Correct
gap of 7 in 87, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kral 1497 vs Filipek 1568
Filipek
Correct
both rated, 71 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kral 40% vs Filipek 60%
Filipek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kral 50% vs Filipek 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kral +1 · Filipek +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% · Slight lean (leans Filipek) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKral 2.20 / Filipek 1.61
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Filipek)+1.2pp
TT Cup · #13213888
Kral2.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog45% won 88 of 195
Down 0–1, comes back27% 27 of 100
Down 0–2, comes back14% 7 of 50
Filipek1.61
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite58% won 49 of 84
Up 2–0, closes it95% 18 of 19
Up 1–0, closes it77% 37 of 48
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKral3wins
AwayFilipek7wins
5 of 10 to a deciderFilipek leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKral66.7%2 of 3
AwayFilipek85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kral3Filipek7n = 10Filipek took 7 of 10
S2Kral5Filipek5n = 10split evenly
S3Kral4Filipek6n = 10Filipek took 6 of 10
S4Kral4Filipek5n = 9Filipek took 5 of 9
S5Kral2Filipek3n = 5Filipek took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKralFilipekK − FBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match43.145.1−2.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKralFilipekBasisWin rate · lifetime411 / 786 vs 267 / 59752.3%44.7%411 / 786 vs 267 / 597Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match40.639.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
FilipekKral 2.20/Filipek 1.61
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.9%
Filipek · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Filipek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 23 · 10:30A. Kral41261111113M. Filipek4211118392
WSep 23 · 09:25A. Kral4111811113M. Filipek34911861
LSep 21 · 12:55A. Kral54971513102M. Filipek5811111311123
LSep 17 · 12:55A. Kral2796120M. Filipek361111143
LSep 14 · 10:35A. Kral51121111982M. Filipek52148811113
LSep 14 · 08:25A. Kral35913761M. Filipek44111111113
WSep 4 · 12:25A. Kral6511111517113M. Filipek5448171962
LSep 3 · 21:58A. Kral36811891M. Filipek4211911113
LSep 3 · 19:50A. Kral48101171192M. Filipek50129117113
LAug 15 · 08:25A. Kral331148101M. Filipek3951111123
A. Kral10
WSep 29 · 06:55J. Srnka2.501161281A. Kral1.5031114113LSep 27 · 09:59A. Kral1.7356120Z. Zahradka2.001111143WSep 27 · 09:25Z. Zahradka1.838411101A. Kral1.8311118123LSep 27 · 08:25A. Kral1.9191111772R. Jamrich1.80116711113LSep 27 · 06:55J. Kulveit1.805111611113A. Kral1.91115141342LSep 24 · 14:45R. Jamrich2.10101111113A. Kral1.65127771LSep 24 · 13:25R. Jamrich2.50121189113A. Kral1.50109111192WSep 24 · 12:25A. Kral1.8381111113F. Marat1.83118861WSep 24 · 10:55L. Moravec2.6310490A. Kral1.441211113WSep 23 · 10:30A. Kral1.91261111113M. Filipek1.8011118392
M. Filipek10
WSep 29 · 07:25M. Filipek2.101111113F. Marat1.673680LSep 23 · 10:30A. Kral1.91261111113M. Filipek1.8011118392LSep 23 · 09:25M. Filipek1.73911861A. Kral2.0011811113WSep 23 · 07:55F. Balcar1.91612101152M. Filipek1.801110127113WSep 23 · 07:25R. Jamrich1.8369111192M. Filipek1.83111167113WSep 22 · 10:40M. Filipek2.0011411133B. Budik1.647118111WSep 22 · 08:55R. Muller2.109890M. Filipek1.671111113LSep 22 · 08:25F. Balcar1.91612811133M. Filipek1.801110119112WSep 22 · 07:25M. Filipek1.86911117113B. Budik1.8311741152LSep 21 · 14:45F. Balcar1.801111113M. Filipek1.906670
Upcoming Matches
A. Kral
M. Filipek
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