TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Oleksandr Leonenko vs Dmytro Khairov 0-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 29Finished
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
911711711––––
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 06:20 and never touched: 57.7% is still 57.7%
Graded at full timeDmytro Khairov to win
57.7%
57.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksandr Leonenko above · Dmytro Khairov below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 56 set 3, 7-11 · our read held Dmytro Khairov at 57.7%
56 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Leonenko 0–2 Dmytro Khairov Oleksandr Leonenko has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 06:20What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Khairov
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
0-2 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Leonenko 1515 vs Khairov 1551
Khairov
Correct
both rated, 36 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Leonenko 60% vs Khairov 20%
Leonenko
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Leonenko 70% vs Khairov 30%
Leonenko
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Leonenko -1 · Khairov -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% · Slight lean (leans Khairov) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Khairov form (20%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLeonenko 2.20 / Khairov 1.61
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Khairov)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13212656
Leonenko2.20
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog45% won 73 of 163
Down 0–1, comes back24% 21 of 86
Down 0–2, comes back11% 6 of 53
Khairov1.61
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite58% won 56 of 97
Up 2–0, closes it83% 25 of 30
Up 1–0, closes it77% 39 of 51
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeLeonenko0wins
AwayKhairov2wins
1 of 2 to a deciderKhairov leads 2–0, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
These 2 meetings
MetricLeonenkoKhairovL − KBasisWins02−2in 2 meetingsFirst set02−2of 2Avg pointsper match32.541.0−8.5per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLeonenkoKhairovBasisWin rate · lifetime419 / 818 vs 205 / 43351.2%47.3%419 / 818 vs 205 / 433Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.937.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
KhairovLeonenko 2.20/Khairov 1.61
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57.7%
Khairov · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Khairov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LSep 29 · 06:30O. Leonenko239770D. Khairov331111113
LApr 23 · 09:00O. Leonenko4271171162D. Khairov49118118113
O. Leonenko10
LSep 29 · 05:30O. Leonenko1.83781151A. Troyan1.8311119113WSep 24 · 11:05A. Kurtenko1.67811111292O. Leonenko2.10116414113WSep 24 · 10:05O. Leonenko1.83131485113A. Martyniuk1.831112111172WSep 24 · 09:05O. Leonenko2.0011117113E. Populovskyi1.73841171LSep 24 · 07:35O. Leonenko3.7581311592O. Lipeiko1.251111811113LSep 24 · 05:35O. Leonenko2.20811119122S. Solomko1.61115711143WSep 22 · 11:35O. Leonenko1.73126113113A. Kovalenko2.00101151152WSep 22 · 09:35O. Osadchyi1.7351181152O. Leonenko2.00118117113WSep 22 · 08:35O. Leonenko2.001111113F. Voinarovskyi1.739660WSep 22 · 07:35I. Emets1.449860O. Leonenko2.631111113
D. Khairov10
LSep 29 · 05:00Y. Kovshun1.301111113D. Khairov3.406470LSep 26 · 11:35D. Khairov2.25711141A. Troyan1.5711411113WSep 26 · 09:35Y. Volkov1.57118861D. Khairov2.2571111113LSep 26 · 08:35D. Khairov3.251341110112Y. Kovshun1.331111312133LSep 26 · 07:35I. Efimenko1.44111198113D. Khairov2.6397111192LSep 26 · 06:05D. Khairov2.381012771V. Vietrov1.53121011113WSep 23 · 11:00D. Khairov1.91118119113O. Volynets1.8061121192LSep 23 · 09:00V. Kolesnykov1.911121011113D. Khairov1.80111012972WSep 23 · 08:00D. Khairov2.3811116113O. Karpenko1.53871141LSep 23 · 07:00I. Emets1.911211113D. Khairov1.8010890
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